Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BOGOTA509
2007-01-24 20:10:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Bogota
Cable title:  

GOC AND ELN WORK ON CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT; SENIOR

Tags:  PTER PGOV PREL PHUM CO 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0000
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBO #0509/01 0242010
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 242010Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY BOGOTA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2198
INFO RUEHSW/AMEMBASSY BERN PRIORITY 1215
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 7367
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS PRIORITY 8604
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ JAN 8472
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA PRIORITY 4669
RUEHMD/AMEMBASSY MADRID PRIORITY 9562
RUEHNY/AMEMBASSY OSLO PRIORITY 0363
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO PRIORITY 5322
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA PRIORITY 0134
C O N F I D E N T I A L BOGOTA 000509 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/24/2016
TAGS: PTER PGOV PREL PHUM CO
SUBJECT: GOC AND ELN WORK ON CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT; SENIOR
ELN FIGURE SAYS CHOICE IS PEACE OR NARCOTRAFFICKING

REF: A. BOGOTA 416


B. 06 BOGOTA 11305

Classified By: Political Counselor John S. Creamer
Reason: 1.4 (b,d)

-------
Summary
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L BOGOTA 000509

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/24/2016
TAGS: PTER PGOV PREL PHUM CO
SUBJECT: GOC AND ELN WORK ON CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT; SENIOR
ELN FIGURE SAYS CHOICE IS PEACE OR NARCOTRAFFICKING

REF: A. BOGOTA 416


B. 06 BOGOTA 11305

Classified By: Political Counselor John S. Creamer
Reason: 1.4 (b,d)

--------------
Summary
--------------


1. (C) GOC and ELN representatives meet in Venezuela on
January 24 to discuss a ceasefire agreement. Peace
Commissioner Luis Carlos Restrepo told us in December the GOC
would insist the ELN implement a ceasefire in February and
would link political space for the ELN to release of its
kidnap victims. Civil society guarantor Moritz Akerman told
us of a recent letter ELN negotiator Francisco Galan wrote to
the ELN Central Command, saying the ELN's choice is peace or
narcotrafficking, and Father Dario Echeverri said the
international community could not ignore the ELN's drug
trafficking for much longer. Spanish Charge Pablo Gomez de
Olea told us lack of public interest in the process reflected
skepticism about the ELN's ability to take difficult
decisions. End summary.

--------------
Ceasefire Talks in Caracas
--------------


2. (C) GOC and ELN representatives meet January 24 in
Caracas to discuss a mutual ceasefire. Akerman claimed the
ELN understands it has only two things to offer the GOC: a
ceasefire, and release of kidnap victims. In return for a
ceasefire, the ELN wants GOC approval to expand the number of
ELN members permitted to travel within Colombia, and an
increase in the number of "Houses of Peace" in the country.
The ELN's purpose is to expand its "political outreach."


3. (C) Akerman reported Restrepo planned to tell the ELN it
should agree to a ceasefire or the GOC would freeze the
talks. In mid-December, Restrepo told us the GOC wants
agreement on implementation of a ceasefire in February and
would link increased political space for the ELN to a
suspension of hostilities and release of its kidnap victims.
Guarantor Alvaro Jimenez noted the ELN's Central Command had
sent two COCE members to Caracas, adding Pablo Beltran to the
delegation headed by military commander Antonio Garcia, which

Jimenez said suggested a seriousness of purpose the ELN had
not shown in the past.


4. (C) Akerman said the GOC would not insist on immediate
disarmament or concentration of ELN forces as part of a
ceasefire. Still, the GOC would insist on "placing the ELN's
arms beyond use." The GOC also favored a "national"
ceasefire verification commission composed of GOC and ELN
representatives. The ELN was pushing for UN involvement in
verification and rejected OAS participation because it wanted
to avoid being associated with the paramilitary
demobilization process. Jimenez told us Bogota Mayor Lucho
Garzon had agreed to serve as a facilitator of the talks
should a ceasefire be implemented and had the consent of both
parties for this role.


5. (C) While Akerman and Jimenez said the parties could use
the financing mechanism already in place to fund the talks
and adapt it for the ceasefire phase, Norwegian Charge Dag
Nylander was less sanguine. Currently, international
community contributions to the negotiation phase are
channeled through the UNDP's Bogota office. Nylander told us
the ceasefire phase could involve substantial sums for the
ELN and raise challenging political issues that would require
broad discussion. Also sounding a cautious note, Spanish
Charge Gomez de Olea said the public's lack of interest in
the process reflected skepticism about the ELN's ability to
take tough decisions.

--------------
Pilot Demining Project
--------------


6. (C) The guarantors shared a copy of an ELN proposal to
work with the GOC and international experts to demine in the
greater Samaniego area, Narino department. The proposal,

currently under GOC review, would involve a "bilateral,
local, and temporary" ceasefire to allow demining teams to
deploy. Akerman said the ELN was making an effort to reach
out to the GOC on the proposal, and had learned a lesson from
its previous "unilateral" offer to demine in Samaniego.

--------------
Havana Fading as Future Venue
--------------


7. (C) Akerman noted the GOC and ELN appeared to agree
Havana was an increasingly unsuitable venue for the talks.
He said uncertainty associated with Castro's illness and
Cuban Communist Party hostility to a separate GOC-ELN deal
that "excluded" the FARC were pushing the parties towards
Caracas as a future venue. The ELN was happier with this
development than the GOC, but the latter no longer opposed a
move. Akerman predicted there would be one more round in
Cuba, possibly in February, and subsequent talks would be in
Venezuela.

--------------
ELN Drug Trafficking
--------------


8. (C) The guarantors told us that Galan (whom the GOC said
on January 23 had served three-fifths of his 30-year sentence
and was now a free man) wrote to the COCE in late November to
say the ELN's choice was "peace or narcotrafficking."
Akerman said the letter noted the ELN was "losing its people"
to corruption and drug trafficking, and the ELN could no
longer avoid the choice. In a related vein, National
Conciliation Commission member Father Dario Echeverri told us
on January 17 that ELN fronts were increasingly involved in
narcotics trafficking, making it harder for the international
community to ignore. ELN combat with the FARC was not over
ideology, he said, but rather about drug routes and proceeds.

WOOD