Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BISHKEK405
2007-04-12 11:36:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Bishkek
Cable title:  

KYRGYZ DEMONSTRATION CONTINUES; PARLIAMENT TO

Tags:  PGOV PREL ASEC KG 
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P 121136Z APR 07
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BISHKEK 000405 

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SENSITIVE
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DEPT FOR SCA/CEN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC KG
SUBJECT: KYRGYZ DEMONSTRATION CONTINUES; PARLIAMENT TO
CONSIDER DRAFT CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENTS

REF: A. BISHKEK 397

B. BISHKEK 396

BISHKEK 00000405 001.2 OF 002


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BISHKEK 000405

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
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DEPT FOR SCA/CEN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC KG
SUBJECT: KYRGYZ DEMONSTRATION CONTINUES; PARLIAMENT TO
CONSIDER DRAFT CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENTS

REF: A. BISHKEK 397

B. BISHKEK 396

BISHKEK 00000405 001.2 OF 002



1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Following a quiet night at Bishkek's
central Ala-Too Square, the opposition United Front and For
Reforms movements continued their "non-stop" protest on April
12, with the rally program beginning somewhat after the
advertised start time of 16:00 local. Speaker of Parliament
Sultanov announced that parliament would convene and vote
April 16 to fill one of the vacancies on the constitutional
court, giving the court a quorum. Sultanov said that the
parliament would consider in committee the draft constitution
prepared by Prime Minister Atambayev's working group, and he
suggested that parliament would discuss the opposition's
competing draft constitution if the opposition presented it
formally in accordance with the parliament's rules. As of
17:00, the situation was quiet, and the crowd on the square
was approximately 2500, with 200-300 police a few blocks away
relaxing in the shade of trees in a nearby park. END
SUMMARY.

QUIET EVENING
--------------


2. (SBU) Following political speeches in the afternoon (Ref
A),local pop stars entertained the crowd from the stage on
the evening of April 11. The crowd, which had peaked earlier
at 4-5,000, dwindled rapidly after the distribution of food,
and we estimate that fewer than 1000 demonstrators camped out
overnight in the 30 yurts and dozens of tents on the square.
Most of the 200-300 police, who had remained during the day
in a nearby park area, also left the area after 20:30 local.
The square remained quiet and peaceful overnight.

SECOND DAY JUST GETTING STARTED
--------------


3. (SBU) The program for the second day of the "non-stop"
anti-government protest was scheduled to begin at 16:00 local
on April 12. As of 17:00, the crowd was approximately 2500,
and several opposition MPs were on the stage, preparing to
begin speeches. The evening's program will also reportedly
include a patriotic song contest, with a cash prize for the
winner. The first speakers announced that a much larger
rally would be held beginning at 17:00 the next day, Friday,
April 13.

DEVELOPMENTS IN PARLIAMENT
--------------


4. (SBU) Following a meeting of several parliamentarians in
the morning of April 12, Speaker of Parliament Marat Sultanov
announced that the parliament would reconvene April 16 to
vote to fill one of the long-standing vacancies on the
constitutional court, thereby allowing the court to conduct
business. Under Kyrgyz law, the constitutional court is
required to rule on constitutional amendments to the
constitution. The lack of a quorum on the court created
serious procedural "obstacles" during the adoption of the
November and December 2006 versions of the constitution --
and led to many questioning the legitimacy of those versions
of the constitution.


5. (SBU) The Speaker also announced that he had already
forwarded to the constitutional court the draft constitution
prepared by Prime Minister Atambayev's working group and sent
to the parliament by President Bakiyev April 10. The

BISHKEK 00000405 002.2 OF 002


parliament's committee on constitutional law will also review
the working group's draft starting April 13. Sultanov
suggested that the parliament would discuss the opposition's
draft constitution if the opposition presented it formally in
accordance with the parliament's procedural rules.

COMMENT
--------------


6. (SBU) Turnout on the first day of the demonstration was
clearly a disappointment to the opposition. United Front
leader Felix Kulov had boasted that 50,000 demonstrators
would turn out, but by our estimates the crowd never grew
above 5000 on the first day (press, police, and organizers
gave varying estimates, from 4923 to over 30,000; we're
reasonably confident in our estimate). Government officials
have made disparaging comments about the crowd, with State
Secretary Madumarov saying that the demonstrators would be on

SIPDIS
the square only as long as the organizers could pay them, and
GKNB Chair Sutalinov saying that the protestors came only for
the money and a "shot of vodka." Bishkek authorities have
prohibited alcohol sales in the downtown area, and the
Interior Ministry has ordered that all stores selling weapons
and ammunition be closed. While there remain serious
concerns about the security situation, to this point,
everything has been peaceful. And while there have been no
public negotiations between the president and the opposition
leaders, there does appear to be some movement on the
opposition's demands for constitutional reform.
YOVANOVITCH