Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BAKU125
2007-01-25 14:06:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Baku
Cable title:  

GOAJ APPROVES OPPOSITION MUSAVAT PARTY REQUEST TO

Tags:  PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM CASC ASEC AJ 
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VZCZCXRO8239
PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHLA RUEHMRE RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHKB #0125/01 0251406
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 251406Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY BAKU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2290
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUCNOSC/ORGANIZATION FOR SECURITY COOPERATION IN EUROPE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAKU 000125 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM CASC ASEC AJ
SUBJECT: GOAJ APPROVES OPPOSITION MUSAVAT PARTY REQUEST TO
PROTEST PRICE HIKES ON JANUARY 28

REF: A. BAKU 89

B. 06 BAKU 1704

Classified By: DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION JASON P. HYLAND PER 1.4(B,D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAKU 000125

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM CASC ASEC AJ
SUBJECT: GOAJ APPROVES OPPOSITION MUSAVAT PARTY REQUEST TO
PROTEST PRICE HIKES ON JANUARY 28

REF: A. BAKU 89

B. 06 BAKU 1704

Classified By: DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION JASON P. HYLAND PER 1.4(B,D)


1. (C) SUMMARY: On January 24, the Baku Mayor's Office
granted permission to the opposition Musavat Party to hold a
January 28 rally protesting recent price increases. This
decision marks the first official approval of any protest or
rally since the November 26, 2005 violent break-up of a
peaceful opposition rally. The Tariff Council's decision to
raise utility prices - implemented January 8 - has triggered
a number of small, illegal protest attempts both in Baku and
in Azerbaijan's regions. The opposition Azadliq bloc, whose
application was denied January 24, plans to hold a January 26
unsanctioned protest on the same topic. We issued an Embassy
security notice and a warden notice alerting the American
community to the possibility of violence at both protests. We
will monitor both protests and report developments septel.
END SUMMARY


2. (SBU) On January 24, the opposition Musavat Party received
permission from the Baku Mayor's Office to hold a January 28
rally to protest recent price increases. This is the first
opposition rally that the GOAJ has approved since police
violently dispersed a peaceful, sanctioned opposition rally
on November 26, 2005 (see ref b). Musavat plans to hold the
protest at Ukraine Circle, one of the GOAJ's "approved"
protest sites on the outskirts of Baku. Party leaders predict
there will be between 5,000 and 10,000 protesters at the
January 28 event, but party attendance predictions in the
past have often proved wildly overstated.


3. (C) The Tariff Council's decision to raise prices for
gasoline, diesel, natural gas, electricity, water, and
sewage, which was implemented January 8 (see ref a) has
triggered a number of small, unauthorized protest attempts in
Baku as well as in Azerbaijan's regions. On January 21, the
local Popular Front Party (PFP) branch held a protest in

Mingechevir, a mid-western region. Suleyman Karimov, the head
of the local PFP branch as well as protest organizer, told us
he was detained and questioned for seven hours the evening of
January 20. Approximately 200 people attended the January 21
protest, and although police did not respond with excessive
force, we have been told that truncheons were used to
immediately disperse the crowd. No protesters were detained,
but Karimov reported that he has been followed since the
event. Similar applications for protests over the price
increases, organized by a variety of opposition parties, were
denied by local authorities in the regions of Aghjabadi and
Gazakh.


4. (C) On January 23, a group of elderly residents of the
Julfa district of Azerbaijan's exclave, the Naxchivan
Autonomous Republic, gathered to pick up their pensions, and
discovered that due to the price increase, the GOAJ had
deducted a much higher amount than usual for utilities.
(NOTE: After the new utilities deduction, pensioners now
receive 20 AZN per month - approximately USD 22. This amount
will be increased to 30 AZN February 1 - approximately USD
33.) Human rights activist Novella Jafarova told us that
although there was not an organized protest, several citizens
loudly complained about the deduction. According to press
reports, 12 people were injured as a result of military
intervention. Jafarova said that while exact numbers are
unavailable, many more than 12 people were injured.


5. (SBU) The opposition Azadliq bloc plans to carry out a
January 26 protest, also in response to the price increases.
Although Azadliq's request to demonstrate was denied in a
January 24 letter from the Mayor's Office, party leaders have
said publicly that they still intend to hold the protest in
any number of eight possible protest locations near downtown
Baku. None of the locations which Azadliq proposed in its
application is among the locations officially "approved" for
protests or rallies (see ref b). On January 25, Baku Deputy
Police Chief Yashar Aliyev warned that "any illegal or
unsanctioned rally will be prevented." We have issued a
warden message and a security notice alerting the American
community to the possibility of violence at both the January
26 and 28 rallies.


6. (C) Sardar Jalaloglu, Acting Chair of the Azerbaijan
Democratic Party (ADP - part of the Azadliq bloc) told Poloff
that Azadliq leaders believe agreeing to hold demonstrations
at the locations approved by the local authorities would set
a precedent to use only these undesirable locations for
future events. While Azadliq as a bloc will not support
Musavat at its January 28 protest, Jalaloglu said that ADP
members are being encouraged to participate, and that an ADP
Deputy may speak at the event.

BAKU 00000125 002 OF 002




7. (C) COMMENT: The GOAJ's decision to allow the opposition
Musavat Party to hold a protest rally is a positive
development; however, it remains to be seen whether the GOAJ
will use this as an opportunity to restore citizens' right to
freedom of assembly more broadly. We will monitor the January
26 and 28 rallies and report developments septel.
DERSE