Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ATHENS2205
2007-11-13 13:09:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Athens
Cable title:  

PAPANDREOU WINS PASOK LEADERSHIP ELECTION -- AS

Tags:  PREL PGOV GR 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO4738
PP RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHTH #2205 3171309
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 131309Z NOV 07
FM AMEMBASSY ATHENS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0719
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L ATHENS 002205 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/13/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV GR
SUBJECT: PAPANDREOU WINS PASOK LEADERSHIP ELECTION -- AS
EXPECTED

Classified By: Political Counselor Robin Quinville. Reason: 1.4 (b) a
nd (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L ATHENS 002205

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/13/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV GR
SUBJECT: PAPANDREOU WINS PASOK LEADERSHIP ELECTION -- AS
EXPECTED

Classified By: Political Counselor Robin Quinville. Reason: 1.4 (b) a
nd (d).


1. (C) SUMMARY AND COMMENT: Opposition PASOK leader George
Papandreou was re-elected on Sunday following a grueling
two-month battle against challenger Evangelos Venizelos. His
victory has deflected criticism blaming him for PASOK's loss
in September's general elections. Venizelos has no intention
of leaving PASOK, and Papandreou will find restructuring the
party's leadership and shadow cabinet a challenge. PASOK's
electability remains questionable, with many PASOKies
harboring on-going doubts about Papandreou's effectiveness.
That's good news for governing New Democracy and PM
Karamanlis. END SUMMARY SAME AS THE OLD BOSS

2 members and spontaneously declared
"friends" of the party to participate. If the procedure
sounds chaotic, that's because it was. Voting stations ran
short of forms needed for "friends" to declare themselves,
and were forced to extend voting hours. There was nothing to
prevent members of other parties from registering as
"friends" of PASOK to influence the vote, but it is unlikely
to have affected the outcome significantly.

GEORGE: TAKING A BOW FOR THE NEW REVOLUTION


3. (C) Despite a divisive campaign, the visibly exhausted
Papandreou emerges stronger within PASOK than he was two
months ago. Defeated in two general elections (2004 and
2007),in September Papandreou was seen as a loser who would
never be able to beat PM Karamanlis. The leadership fight
gave him a chance to call for renewal, and channeled his
opponents into the Venizelos camp. But Venizelos's angry
personality and professorial arrogance couldn't carry the
PASOK "masses." Supporters of Venizelos -- all critics of
Papandreou -- are now seen as the losers.

VENIZELOS: NOTHING IN THE STREETS LOOKS ANY DIFFERENT TO ME


4. (C) Nevertheless, Venizelos has no intention of retiring
from PASOK's field. He sees a "great, dynamic, radical
tendency" forming within PASOK as a result of the leadership
contest. Venizelists believe they have support from younger
PASOK voters, and are suggesting that Papandreou's win is
based on support from the over-60 crowd. Venizelos can be
expected to exploit the youth vote, positioning himself as a
"modernizer." But he will have to tread carefully to avoid
the appearance of eroding PASOK unity, weakening its overall
electability.

COMMENT: WON'T GET FOOLED AGAIN?


5. (C) Few expect Papandreou to "purge" Venizelos or his
supporters from PASOK's ranks. Some suggest Papandreou will
call for a unifying party congress prior by April 2008, and
he is likely to shuffle PASOK's shadow cabinet to reinforce
his "new beginning" message. But Papandreou has always found
it difficult to control PASOK's factions: the "barons" who
served with his father, Andreas; his own entourage of
advisors, and Simitis's technocrats. His leadership campaign
flagged the danger of a PASOK split, which would be fatal to
its electibility.


6. (C) And its electibility remains questionable. Many
PASOKies may not have openly opposed Papandreou, but remain
skeptical about his long-term leadership. They question
whether he has a "vision" that can appeal to voters and bring
the party back to power. Former PM Simitis, largely
sidelined during this contest, may eventually weigh in. If
he does, he is unlikely to back either Papandreou or
Venizelos; he would prefer one of his protegees (perhaps Anna
Diamantopoulou). The battle to define PASOK has not ended
with this leadership fight, it will flare up again in small
skirmishes. That's good news for New Democracy and PM
Karamanlis.
COUNTRYMAN