Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ATHENS1687
2007-08-26 13:05:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Athens
Cable title:  

GREECE ABLAZE: KARAMANLIS DECLARES STATE OF

Tags:  MOPS PGOV PREL GR 
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VZCZCXRO0264
OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHTH #1687/01 2381305
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 261305Z AUG 07
FM AMEMBASSY ATHENS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0010
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 ATHENS 001687 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/26/2017
TAGS: MOPS PGOV PREL GR
SUBJECT: GREECE ABLAZE: KARAMANLIS DECLARES STATE OF
EMERGENCY

REF: A) ATHENS 1556 B) ATHENS 1518 C) ATHENS 1498 D)
ATHENS 1487

Classified By: CHARGE TOM COUNTRYMN. REASON: 1.4 (B) AND (D).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 ATHENS 001687

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/26/2017
TAGS: MOPS PGOV PREL GR
SUBJECT: GREECE ABLAZE: KARAMANLIS DECLARES STATE OF
EMERGENCY

REF: A) ATHENS 1556 B) ATHENS 1518 C) ATHENS 1498 D)
ATHENS 1487

Classified By: CHARGE TOM COUNTRYMN. REASON: 1.4 (B) AND (D).


1. (C) SUMMAY: Over the weekend of August 25-26, more
tha a hundred simultaneous wildfires led to the worst Greek
national disaster since the 1999 earthquakes. PM Karamanlis
declared a state o emergency, calling on aerial firefighting
resources from EU members and others. Reports indicate more
than fifty dead, although to date no Amcits have been
reported missing. Embassy activated the warden system and
temporarily vacuated 3 employees from threatened housing
(all have returned). GOG contacts tell us that they
currently have sufficient aircraft resources on hand.
However, GOG openness to other types of firefighting
assistance means we plan to request USDA/OFDA funding on
August 27. Other Embassy initiatives include facilitating
military assistance, if requested, through EUCOM channels.
Investigations into the cause of the widespread fires are
underway; police suspect possible anarchist involvement in at
least one incident. While the media has so far avoided
promoting conspiracy theories, the political consequences for
PM Karamanlis -- in the midst of a general election campaign
-- are potentially high. END SUMMARY.


DEATH TOLL: 50


2. (SBU) On August 25, fires broke out on the island of
Evia as well as in much of southern Attica -- adding to the
on-going, devastating fires which had begun the day before in
the Peloponnese peninsula. Gale force winds added to the
difficulties firefighters faced. In the Peloponnese, the
flames advanced through hard-to-access mountain terrain; TV
screens showed the remains of burnt-out homes and cars. To
date, 53 people are confirmed dead. Many were residents of
isolated villages, although some were overtaken by the fires
they were fleeing. On Evia, wildfires raged through much of
the central and southern part of the island along a 30 KM
front; several towns were still being evacuated on August 26.
Residents of Athens were not exempt, as fires broke out on
Mount Imittos, threatening the southeast Athens suburbs.

Officials temporarily closed a highway near Athens
International Airport as a result.


4. (SBU) Embassy Athens activated its warden system on
August 25. To date, no Amcits are reported as missing. Duty
officer received a number of phone calls from concerned
Americans, but none were immediately affected. The Consulate
also received phone calls, mostly from citizens concerned
about access to the Athens aiport. The fire on Imittos,
close to the city center, threatened homes in the suburb of
Papagou, where 14 Embassy residences are located. Due to the
close proximity of the fire, therrn to ts has declared a state of emergency
and appealed to EU members for assistance. By the morning of
August 26, several countries (including some non-EU members)
had sent firefighting planes, helicopters, fire engines and
firefighters. These assets will be added to the Russian
firefighting aircraft already on the ground (reportedly being
leased to teh GOG at high rates). MFA SYG Agathocles told
Charge that by August 26 the aircraft numbered 31; with that
high number, the GOG had decided not to accept additional
aircraft offers at this time but to manage the resources now
available. He added that the GOG did not plan to request
NATO assets at this time, although it might revisit the
question at a later time.


6. (C) The scale of the devastation resulting from the
weekend's fires makes this situation dramatically different
from the more limited fires which took place at the end of
July. At that time, and in consultation with GOG officials,
no USAID/OFDA emergency assitance was requested (ref A); the
GOG needed immediate access to firefighting aircraft rather
than financial assistance. Any U.S. financial contribution
at that time would likely have gone to support GOG leasing of
(expensive) Russian firefighting aircraft. The scale of this
weekend's crisis is dramatically different from what we
experienced in July. Greece -- among the poorest of the EU
countries -- has sufficient monetary resources to address
this crisis over the medium term. However, it does not have
in place sufficient physical resources to address emergency
needs.

ATHENS 00001687 002 OF 003




7. (C) Personnel from the US Naval Base at Souda Bay have
already deployed several times this summer to assist local
authorities in fighting wildfires in western Crete -- without
much public fanfare. The Greek press is now reporting that
the GOG has accepted, for the first time, foreign
firefighters and other assets to help contain the fires. MFA
SYG Agathocles told Charge that the GOG would welcome any
assistance the U.S. military could offer that would directly
help combat the fires (i.e., not relief supplies).
Agathocles noted that Minister of Economy Alogoskoufis
planned to establish a fund to accept contributions,
including from abroad, for fire victims and repair of damage.


8. (SBU) This new Greek openness to other types of assets
and relief supplies has factored into our decision to submit
a formal request for USAID/OFDA funds on August 27. As of
this writing, the use to which it would be put is unclear;
Embassy will pursue this point further with GOG contacts on
August 27 to determine which of their immediate needs fit
within OFDA's scope. In addition:

-- Embassy DATT is contacting the new CHOD, and will pursue
through military channels apprpriate assistance from EUCOM;
-- Embassy will work with the Greek-American community to
coordinate volutarty contributions directed toward relief for
local communities hit hard by the catastrophe as well as
possible environmental remediation efforts, particularly
reforestation which Agathocles identified as an immediate
priority once the crisis had passed;
-- In response to a request from the GOG, EMbassy is
planning to provide USDA-sponsored training for Greek
firefighters, beginning in October. While reasonably
prepared to respond to urban fires, GOG firefighters are less
expert in fighting rural blazes in mountainous terrain;
-- Post will work with other Embassies in the region on
program proposals for longer-term regionally based
firefighting support from USG civilian and military resources
as well as from the U.S. private sector (such as Boeing
Corp.).

WHAT STARTED THIS? INVESTIGATION UNDERWAY


9. (C) So far, the media has rejected the usual conspiracy
theories of a "foreign hand" behind the flames. Nor are many
suggesting domestic "terrorism" as the cause, although the
mayor of Imittos claimed that an amateur video showed two men
on a little used path up the hill and shots of the remnants
of a gas canister bomb nearby. Thessaloniki's mayor
Psomiadis also appeared on national TV in support of the
domestic terror hypothesis. However, no other rural governor
or mayor has publicly supported this argument. Most of the
media has focused on the possibility of arson, with some
citing websites on YouTube as evidence of its popularity.
Overall, the media seems to be making a conscious effort not
to politicize the tragedy. Many commentators cite the
incompetence of successive Greek governments, and there is
some uncertaintly as to how the current leadership will
handle the situation. Most media are broadcasting spot
reports complaining about ad hoc evacuation efforts.


10. (C) Police sources tell us that investigators of the
Imittos blaze found remote detonating devices similar to
those typically used by anarchist/terrorist organizations
like Revolutionary Struggle to set off small bombs in urban
settings. No further details have been made available, and
this information has not been made public. The GOG is
aggressively pursuing the arsonists; Karamanlis planned to
spend August 26 at the Ministry of Public Order. The
Hellenic Police's counter-terrorism unit is also
investigating.


11. (C) Certainly, dry conditions and high winds created
the perfect conditions for fires to spread. But while some
may have been sparked by accidental carelessness, the sheer
number of individual fires leads us to agree with
Karamanlis's own assessment: that so many fires breaking out
simultaneously in so many parts of the country cannot be a
coincidence. Most Greeks know that developers routinely
build -- illegally but permanently -- on areas "cleared" by
natural disasters. But the Imittos evidence also points to
an additional anarchist/political element in the mix.

POLITICAL CONSEQUENCES COULD BE HIGH


12. (C) PM Karamanlis took a calculated risk when he
started the 30 day electoral calendar running in mid-August.
His gamble: that elections on September 16 would limit his
vulnerability to criticism over last spring's structured bond
scandal and his handling of the July fires. Not
surprisingly, rumors are already suggesting that at least
some of the fires may have been kindled for political

ATHENS 00001687 003 OF 003


motives. Leftist Synapismos is most closely identified with
the anarchist fringe; some question whether the party might
have silently encouraged the arsonists -- though there is no
factual evidence to support it.


13. (C) This is clearly a make-or-break moment for
Karamanlis's campaign. Karamanlis's New Democracy is running
on its economic and managerial record How the Karamanlis
government responds to a national disaster of this scale will
be critical for voters. It is both a risk and an
opportunity. This is the largest national disaster that
Greece has experienced since the 1999 earthquakes; capable
handling of the crisis could potentially work in Karamanlis's
favor. As a result, Karamanlis is mobilizing all GOG
resources, both to contain the fires and to support those
affected. Media report that immediate assistance packages of
2000-3000 Euros are being offered, as well as longer-term
assistance (compensation for deaths and loan guarantees to
rebuild homes). Formal statements on compensation packages
are anticipated from Minister of Economy Alogoskoufis as well
as Minister of Public Order Polydoras on August 26.


14. (C) Opposition PASOK leader Papandreou is clearly trying
to project concern for the nation and avoid the appearance of
making political gains from the tragedy. At the same time,
his five-minute statement on national television attacked the
current government's failures; we expect this will be a
continuing theme that will intensify once the immediate
crisis is over.




COUNTRYMAN