Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ASMARA698
2007-08-24 07:52:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Asmara
Cable title:  

SOMALI PARLIMENTARIANS SAY ASMARA CONFERENCE IS ON

Tags:  PREL KPKO UNSC ER ET SO 
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TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9051
INFO RUCNSOM/SOMALIA COLLECTIVE
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 1420
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS 1597
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0661
RUEPADJ/CJTF-HOA J2X CAMP LEMONIER DJ
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASMARA 000698 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

LONDON, PARIS FOR AFRICA WATCHERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/23/2017
TAGS: PREL KPKO UNSC ER ET SO
SUBJECT: SOMALI PARLIMENTARIANS SAY ASMARA CONFERENCE IS ON

REF: ASMARA 603

Classified By: CDA Jennifer A. McIntyre, for reasons 1.4 (b)
and (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASMARA 000698

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

LONDON, PARIS FOR AFRICA WATCHERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/23/2017
TAGS: PREL KPKO UNSC ER ET SO
SUBJECT: SOMALI PARLIMENTARIANS SAY ASMARA CONFERENCE IS ON

REF: ASMARA 603

Classified By: CDA Jennifer A. McIntyre, for reasons 1.4 (b)
and (d).


1. (C) Summary: The exiled Somali members of parliament and
the members of the Council of Islamic Courts (CIC plan to
inaugurate the all-Somali conference in Asmara on September 1
(reftel). With over 300 Somalis expected, the conference may
result in a formal alliance between supporters of the former
Members of Parliament (MPs) and the CIC, with the unifying
goal of ending Ethiopian occupation of Somalia. The agenda
of the conference has yet to be finalized, and the MPs want
to show the world that Somalis can develop a Somali solution
to a Somali problem. The MPs requested U.S. Government
support of USD 1 - 2 million for their efforts. At this
point in time, September 1 appears a likely start date for
the conference in Eritrea with the CIC and the MPs working
together, however the MPs admit to the challenges of their
alliance with the CIC and seem to be willing to explore other
options. End Summary.

-------------- --------------
MEETING OUTCOMES: LIBERATE SOMALIA AND PLAN FOR THE FUTURE
-------------- --------------


2. (C) During an August 20 meeting with MPs Jama Ali Jama and
Sharif Salah Mohammad and an August 21 meeting with former
Minister of Women Fowsiya Mohammad Sheikh Hassan all
emphatically stated to Poloff that the conference, planned by
a committee comprised of representatives of the MPs, the
Council of Islamic Courts, civil society and the diaspora,
will begin on September 1. Jama Ali Jama commented on the
importance of the Somalis demonstrating to the international
community that Somalis can organize and manage their own
political solutions, without the interfering hand of
foreigners. The agenda is not yet finalized, however issues
such as the liberation of Somalia, a plan for transition of
the government in 2009 with elections, and the structure and
function of a MP-CIC alliance in a peaceful Somalia will be
discussed. When asked if the conference agenda included
plans to establish a government-in-exile, Minister Fowsiya

explained that the conference members will decide this issue.

-------------- --------------
MEETING PARAMETERS: WHO WILL ATTEND, WHO WILL PAY
-------------- --------------


3. (C) The venue for the conference has not been finalized.
Amidst rumors that the location will not be in the capital
city, the MPs said they expressed to their Eritrean
interlocutor, Yemane Ghebremeskel of the Office of the
President, that they strongly preferred that the meeting be
held in Asmara. The committee is choosing attendees through
a consensus process, ensuring that all committee members
agree on an individual's attendance at the meeting. All
attendees will pay their own travel expenses and room and
board upon arrival. Many of the attendees will be Somalis
living outside of Somalia, however according to the MPs, the
Transitional Federal Government (TFG) will not permit their
supporters to leave Somalia nor ensure their safety upon
return. Minister Fowsiya described a scenario where an
individual might be permitted to leave and attend the Asmara
conference, however, upon return to Somalia be arrested and
detained by the TFG. Reportedly, other Somalis who are not
formally invited have shown an interest in attending and the
committee is determining how to address these requests. In
support of the conference and the MPs, Jama Ali Jama made a
request to Poloff for USD 1 - 2 million from the U.S., noting
that if the U.S. is really committed to peace in Somalia the
U.S. should be willing to support all peaceful solutions. He
also indicated that this funding would give the MPs a
stronger position in the alliance, alluding to the resources
of the CIC.

-------------- --------------
THE CIC & THE MPS: A SHAKY MARRIAGE OF CONVENIENCE
-------------- --------------


4. (C) Since the formation of the committee by Sheikh Sharif
Sheikh Ahmed of the CIC and the former speaker Sharif Hassan
Sheikh Aden, the committee has worked to find a common ground

ASMARA 00000698 002 OF 002


between the two groups widely differing ideologies. The MPs
continue to profess that the CIC is more moderate than
portrayed, noting that Islamic courts have existed in Somalia
for centuries and that all Somalis are Muslims. As for the
ideological differences, the MPs allege they have made
progress with the CIC and that the CIC is beginning to
understand that a modern secular state is necessary and can
co-exist with the Koran.


5. (C) Despite the upbeat portrayal of relations, the MPs
recognize the alliance between the MPs and the CIC as a
marriage of convenience and one that is fraught with tension
and difficulties. The MPs appear to be seeking an
alternative to this alliance, including a return to the
Khartoum process of 2006 to support a dialogue between the
TFG, the MPs and the CIC. Jama ali Jama commented, "this is
a temporary alliance aimed at liberating Somalia" and Sharif
Salah quietly noted that the MPs do have reservations about
working with the CIC. Sharif Salah reiterated the position
reported reftel, that the MPs are willing to engage in
dialogue with President Yusuf, even prior to Ethiopia's
withdrawal. Minister Fowsiya most clearly expressed the
frustration of the MPs at their limited options, "Why are you
(America) doing this? You are driving us into the arms of
the CIC. We don't want to partner with them but we have no
other choice. Please give us another choice."

--------------
COMMENT
--------------


6. (C) The MPs appear to trying to find a resolution to
their current situation and right now are operating under the
maxim "if you can't beat 'em, join 'em." The alliance with
the CIC seems shaky and complicated by vast differences in
political ideologies and practice. Given the right
alternative and incentives, the MPs could be tempted to shift
alliances and weaken their ties to the CIC. End comment.
MCINTYRE