Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ASHGABAT123
2007-01-26 12:40:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Ashgabat
Cable title:  

CAMPAIGN TRAIL: MARY WELAYAT STRESSES UNITY, STABILITY,

Tags:  PGOV EAGR ECON ETRD TX TNGD KPAO 
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P 261240Z JAN 07
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TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8280
INFO RUCNOSC/OSCE POST COLLECTIVE
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RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 0534
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 0590
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1791
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RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA 0138
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RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC//J5/RUE//
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 ASHGABAT 000123 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SCA/CEN (PERRY),SCA/PPD, EUR/ACE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV EAGR ECON ETRD TX TNGD KPAO
SUBJECT: CAMPAIGN TRAIL: MARY WELAYAT STRESSES UNITY, STABILITY,
SUPPORT FOR A/PRESIDENT

REF: 2006 ASHGABAT 1210

SUMMARY
-------

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 ASHGABAT 000123

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SCA/CEN (PERRY),SCA/PPD, EUR/ACE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV EAGR ECON ETRD TX TNGD KPAO
SUBJECT: CAMPAIGN TRAIL: MARY WELAYAT STRESSES UNITY, STABILITY,
SUPPORT FOR A/PRESIDENT

REF: 2006 ASHGABAT 1210

SUMMARY
--------------


1. (U) CAO and POL/ECON LES met with Mary Welayat officials on
January 18 to assess activity in the lead-up to Turkmenistan's first
multi-candidate presidential elections (Niyazov was the sole
candidate in the 1992 election). City and welayat (provincial)
officials maintained a consistent line on the public mood and the
elections process and predicted that Mary Welayat will come out in
droves to vote for Acting President Gurbanguly Berdimukhammedov.
CAO's interlocutors seemed open in principle to cooperation with the
Embassy programs, though powerless to commit to such cooperation
without Ashgabat approval. Nonetheless, CAO was able to explain
some specific Embassy programs and suggest further partnerships to
district officials and government groups. END SUMMARY.

MARY: THE WELAYAT THAT NOMINATED FOR THE NATION
-------------- -

2. (U) BACKGROUND: During the 18th Halk Maslahaty session on
December 26, all six of Turkmenistan's regions except Mary formally
put forth two candidates and after discussion nominated one for the
presidency. For reasons which remain opaque, the nomination of the
Mary candidate was preceded and overtaken by the uncontested
nomination of acting President Berdimukhammedov. The common
assumption is that Mary was hijacked by Ashgabat's powers that be to
endorse Berdimukhammedov.


3. (SBU) Mary Deputy Hakim Shirin Toychiyevna Akhmedova claimed to
us that the Mary region's 305 representatives to the Halk had voted
their heart "and for the nation of Turkmenistan." Akhmedova said
that the Mary delegation had considered two names but that 99 if not
100 percent of them supported the nomination of Berdimukhammedov.
Thus, when First Secretary of Turkmenistan's Democratic Party Onjuk
Musayev interrupted the regional nominations to nominate
Berdimukhammedov, Mary did not have a difficult decision to support
him without further ado. (NOTE: Akhmedova did not give the name of

the other potential nominee aired during the Mary's pre-Halk
Maslahaty meeting; indeed, she even left unsaid whether one of the
two was Berdimuhammedov, which some have guessed was not the case.
END NOTE.)


4. (U) As of Emboffs' visit, Mary region had hosted appearances by
five of the six candidates (the sixth has since visited.) Akhmedova
took pains to emphasize that each candidate makes his campaign
presentation under identical conditions and enjoys equal financial
support from the national government, and that there is "no limit"
to that support -- so that if a candidate wished to pay a second
visit to Mary this would be covered. While the Mary Hakimlik did
not anticipate further campaign visits, civic organizations are
welcome to campaign on behalf of any of the candidates and to invite
a candidate back to campaign.


5. (U) NOTE: The Chairman of the Central Election Committee told
A/DCM on January 8 that the government will provide financial
support to candidates that includes only one campaign visit to each
region. Additional trips would then be covered at the candidate's
personal expense. As of January 25 all six candidates have
completed their stump appearances in all the Welayats, and the
expectation is that what local media refer to as the nation's
"campaign marathon" is now over. END NOTE.)


6. (U) While stating that there was no domestic polling agency or
plans for public opinion surveys, Akhmedova explained that the
people of Mary welayat solidly support Berdimukhamedov, through
their Halk Maslahaty representatives, because of Berdimukhamedov's
personal care for the region while he was working "side by side"
with former President Niyazov. She said meekly "I don't know if it
is the same for other regions but he has done great things for our
region" and listed four major projects he supported: construction of
the Mary welayat diagnostics center, construction of the new
regional drama theater, renovation of the Sultan Sanjar Mausoleum
(NOTE: This project was sponsored by the Government of Turkey, in
cooperation with the Government of Turkmenistan, and ended in 2004.
END NOTE) and the International Conference on the Fifth Center of
World Civilization -- which focused on archaeological work at the

ASHGABAT 00000123 002 OF 003


ancient site of Margush. (NOTE: The United States is supporting
restoration of Margush through an Ambassador's Fund for Cultural
Preservation Grant in 2006-07; the Government of Turkmenistan has
never contributed funds for research or preservation of this site
despite its cultural-political significance. END NOTE.)


7. (U) Akhmedova initially struck a mournful tone in the meeting at
the Mary Hakimlik office, which also included the regional Election
Committee representatives. She mentioned more than once that Mary
residents hope above all for stability, peace and the recognition of
existing international contracts and agreements. She also
emphasized regional interest in agro-industrial development and said
that, during his January 10 campaign visit to Mary, Berdimukhammedov
promised to expand studies at the power engineering institute in
Mary.


8. (U) Akhmedova became impassioned when describing how eager Mary
is to see schooling extended from nine years to ten, physical
education introduced into schools and emphasis placed on learning
foreign languages and on international educational exchanges. CAO
asked, theoretically, how much of a planning burden such a
transition would be for Mary; Akhmedova replied that all the
candidates support it, and Mary "is completely ready" to implement
it because it would simply be a reversion to Turkmenistan's system
as it existed only a few years ago. She emphasized that
Turkmenistan's universities have already produced adequate teachers
to accommodate increased hiring, and that the transition would be
gradual, though accomplished within a year. CAO volunteered that
the Embassy would be eager to work with Akhmedova and the Ministry
of Foreign Affairs to implement joint projects to assist in or
enhance this transition.


9. (U) As in CAO's previous visit to discuss the etrap level
elections (reftel),Ahkmedova was fluent in the legal regulations
guiding this election process and referred to a display of
newspapers, journals and books (including the Ruhnama) spread on the
table to demonstrate that the government is trying its utmost to
make all necessary information about the election process publicly
available. Without being solicited, Akhmedova complained that
Russian news sources were deliberately misconstruing events in
Turkmenistan; as example, she cited the claim that newscasters are
not allowed to wear makeup. She deemed such claims ridiculous and
trifling.


10. (U) CAO asked her and the MFA representative present whether
there were any plans to allow in journalists to find out the
situation for themselves, as there is intense interest in events in
Turkmenistan. Akhmedova demurred that this issue was a matter for
the MFA. Asked if she anticipates any foreign observers or
journalists at these elections, she referred CAO to a handbook on
the elections. (NOTE: On the same day, national Elections Committee
head Myrat Garryev issued a statement that domestic elections
observers would be sufficient for monitoring the election, and that
in any event the Elections Committee had not received any referred
requests for international observer participation from the Ministry
of Foreign Affairs. END NOTE.)


11. (U) Prior to the meeting at the regional hakimlik, the regional
head of the National Democratic Party of Turkmenistan, Sapargeldi
Taganov, took CAO and POL/ECON LES to Oguzkhan etrap, where he led
the etrap level election committee in a brief question and answer
with CAO. The etrap election committee secretary was asked to speak
and issued a series of statistics on the elections in Oguzkhan:
Mary region has 13 districts (okrugs -- voting districts; this term
is only used in relation to elections). These okrugs include the
cities of Mary and Bayramaly and 11 etraps -- with a total of 363
polling stations (uchastki) throughout the region. Oguzkhan etrap
has 15 polling stations and a total of 13,850 voters -- 92 of whom
are first-time voters. Two hundred etrap citizens have attended
each of the five candidate meetings held in the region. "Anybody
who wishes" can attend these meetings, and a different group of 200
has attended each meeting, according to Taganov and later Akhmedova.
While the etrap has not completed compilation of voter rolls, local
officials expect "very high" turnout for the election.


12. (U) Taganov appeared nervous and eager to end the discussion,
which lasted no longer than 20 minutes, despite the 1.5 hour ride

ASHGABAT 00000123 003 OF 003


out and back from Oguzkhan for the meeting. After the hurried but
substantive meeting at the regional hakimlik that followed, CAO was
shuffled to another local government official. In contrast with the
previous elections visit to Mary, this one seemed hastily arranged
and disjointed.

KILLING TIME IN OGUZKHAN, BAYRAMALY
--------------

13. (U) The regional head of the National Youth Union Eziz
Ataballyev led CAO to Bayramaly, where a Mejlis Deputy and the
Bayramaly Deputy Hakim, Oguljennet Garlyeva, provided a brief tour
of a local polling station. Polling stations are housed in
government buildings, and the leadership of the given institute or
group is generally the head of the polling station's own election
committee. At the first station, an agricultural vocational school,
the Mejlis deputy, as director of the school, was also head of the
polling station election committee. He took CAO through the actual
polling booth -- which, ringed in a green curtain, contained a small
desk with a pen. Just outside the booth sat the transparent ballot
box. Ataballyev said it didn't matter if voters folded their
completed ballots or not before dropping them into the box. He also
pointed out a seat with a sign indicating the spot for domestic
observers to watch the election.


14. (U) The visit ended with a brief discussion between CAO and the
school director. The school offers three sets of courses: six
month, one year, and two years, and accommodates 870 students. The
school offers computer classes; the directors anticipate
introduction of Internet into these courses "soon." The school
feeds into Ashgabat's Agriculture University. CAO later described
to Garlyeva some Embassy programs of which the Institute could take
advantage, such as English for Special Purposes or other curriculum
specialists and trainers, and speaker programs.


15. (U) Garlyeva then accompanied CAO and POL/ECON LES to a second
polling station housed at the Mary Water-Geological Expedition,
where the Expedition director led CAO through the station and talked
about the Expedition itself. The Expedition members were sitting at
tables with street names written on placards -- which will direct
voters to which table they should register on February 11. (NOTE:
Local officials have evidently paid close attention to the optics of
the polling stations -- still nearly a month before election day --
and were eager to show CAO every part of it. The full polling
station election committees were present at both stations to
complete the picture. END NOTE. )


16. (U) The Expedition director seemed happy to have a captive
audience to talk about his work and spent few words on the subject
of the polling station or elections. The Expedition began its work
in the early 1950s and has drilled to supply Mary and Lebap with
four different types of water for drinking, medical (sanatorium) and
agro-industrial uses. CAO described the sister-state relationship
and recent efforts by the Nevada National Guard to connect with the
Geology Institute and Desert Institute in Ashgabat, and encouraged
the director to contact the Embassy to discuss further such
cooperative research and exchange efforts.


17. (U) After the official visits, Garlyeva, Taganov and a large
retinue of local officials accompanied CAO and POL/ECON LES to Merv
for a tour of the Sultan Sanjar Mausoleum, a shrine and recently
renovated mosque. Garlyeva seemed sincerely open to CAO's
suggestions and became increasingly anxious to appear hospitable and
open as the visit lengthened.

COMMENT
--------------


18. (U) Evidently Mary is taking meticulous steps to implement the
electoral process for this first-of-a-kind (in Turkmenistan)
presidential vote and, per our local interlocutors' accounts, will
overwhelmingly back its favorite-son nominee, Acting President
Berdimukhammedov. Congenial and fluent in legal and policy matters,
Akhmedova could be a valuable partner in post outreach efforts after
the elections, given her background in and support of educational
and cultural programming.

BRUSH