Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ABIDJAN114
2007-01-31 11:12:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Abidjan
Cable title:  

COTE D'IVOIRE APPARENTLY SPENT WORLD BANK ARREARS

Tags:  ECON EFIN PGOV PREL IV 
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VZCZCXRO3436
PP RUEHPA
DE RUEHAB #0114 0311112
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 311112Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY ABIDJAN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2526
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC PRIORITY
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L ABIDJAN 000114 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE PASS TO USTR

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/30/2017
TAGS: ECON EFIN PGOV PREL IV
SUBJECT: COTE D'IVOIRE APPARENTLY SPENT WORLD BANK ARREARS
MONEY (AGAIN)

REF: 06 ABIDJAN 1405

Classified By: Econ Chief EMassinga, Reasons 1.4 (b,d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L ABIDJAN 000114

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE PASS TO USTR

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/30/2017
TAGS: ECON EFIN PGOV PREL IV
SUBJECT: COTE D'IVOIRE APPARENTLY SPENT WORLD BANK ARREARS
MONEY (AGAIN)

REF: 06 ABIDJAN 1405

Classified By: Econ Chief EMassinga, Reasons 1.4 (b,d)


1. (C) World Bank Chief of Mission Peter N'Gomba and Senior
Economist Richard Donffonso told EconChief January 26 that an
ongoing IMF audit of Ivorian governmental finances is
pointing strongly to the conclusion that Cote d'Ivoire has
spent the USD 160 million it had borrowed to cover part of
its outstanding World Bank arrears (reftel). The government
raised the money by floating special bonds in May and June of
2006, and the money was deposited in an escrow account at the
West African Central Bank (BCEAO). The total arrears to the
World Bank now stand above USD 400 million and continue to
climb. IMF and World Bank officials, along with their
counterparts at the African Development Bank, fear that if
this irresponsible spending is confirmed, Cote d'Ivoire is
worsening its macroeconomic fundamentals and seriously
compromising any future budget support and debt reduction.
This would be the second time this has happened -- in 2005
Cote d'Ivoire also spent money it had borrowed to partially
cover its World Bank arrears.


2. (C) According to World Bank officials, IMF auditors of
Ivorian accounts at the BCEAO are finding that Cote d'Ivoire
has drawn down its other BCEAO accounts against its arrears
escrow account, effectively raising the state's total debt,
even while technically the escrow account remains untouched.
According to N'Gomba, this maneuver jeopardizes Cote
d'Ivoire's eligibility to receive the promised USD 120
million in Emergency Post Conflict Assistance from the IMF,
as well as promised assistance from the World Bank (USD 40
million in HIV/AIDS support, USD 104 in Disarmament,
Demobilization and Reintegration (DDR) funds and USD 120 in
budget support). Beyond these direct effects on Cote
d,Ivoire,s ability to look to the IFIs for assistance, by
effectively using the proceeds from bonds designed to
amortize debt to instead pay current expenditures, the
Ivorian Treasury is making it all the more difficult to repay
the bond-holders as the interest on the bonds begins to come
due.


3. (C) Cote d'Ivoire's annual debt service is very high, at
about USD 1.6 billion, on an overall debt stock of USD 16
billion. The country's arrears on its debt to the African
Development Bank are twice as high as its arrears to the
World Bank, and its arrears on its bilateral debt to France
are higher still. World Bank officials very much want to see
Cote d,Ivoire,s arrears cleared so they can disburse the
promised USD 100 million grant for disarmament. Longer-term,
World Bank and IMF officials would like to see the total debt
stock reduced by taking the country through Enhanced HIPC and
then potentially the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative.


4. (C) Perhaps because the sole, slim hope for genuine
improvement in the country's macroeconomic picture is through
significant progress in resolving the country,s political
crisis, World Bank officials were eager to believe that the
upcoming direct talks between President Gbagbo and rebel FN
(New Forces) leader Guillaume Soro might bring such progress.
We cautioned against undue optimism, especially in light of
the many previous peace agreements that the Ivoirians have
entered into with each other but never fully honored. World
Bank representatives were also enthusiastic about offering
technical assistance to help with the restoration of the
banking sector in Northern, rebel-held areas.


5. (C) Comment. Cote d,Ivoire,s deteriorating
macroeconomic picture underscores how the protracted
political crisis continues to gradually sap the country's
strength. Prime Minister Banny, ostensibly in charge of the
country's finances through his role as PM, Finance Minister
and still also governor of BCEAO, is clearly not fully in
control of the government,s spending, perhaps not even that
of the Finance Ministry itself (World Bank officials were at
a loss to explain Banny's precise role in the siphoning off
of the money borrowed to help clear the arrears, and noted
that Finance Minister Delegate Charles Diby Koffi, who runs
the ministry on a day-to-day basis, cannot be considered a
Banny ally). Without a genuine resolution of the political
crisis, a further deterioration of state finances appears
inevitable, but in the meantime, it appears increasingly
likely that Cote d'Ivoire has decided to try to wait out the
IFIs in the hope of receiving debt forgiveness. End Comment.
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