Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06YEREVAN308
2006-03-02 05:23:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Yerevan
Cable title:  

ARMENIA COMMERCIAL NEWS SUMMARY: FEBRUARY

Tags:  ECON ETRD KTDB BEXP BTIO AM 
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020523Z Mar 06
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 YEREVAN 000308 

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR/CARC, EUR/ACE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD KTDB BEXP BTIO AM
SUBJECT: ARMENIA COMMERCIAL NEWS SUMMARY: FEBRUARY
2006


-------
SUMMARY
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 YEREVAN 000308

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR/CARC, EUR/ACE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD KTDB BEXP BTIO AM
SUBJECT: ARMENIA COMMERCIAL NEWS SUMMARY: FEBRUARY
2006


--------------
SUMMARY
--------------


1. This cable summarizes press reporting on
commercial developments in Armenia for February

2006. Major headlines include:

-- GOAM approves a USD 240 million investment plan
for Zangezur Copper-Molybdenum Plant;

-- Armentel plagued by customer lawsuits;

-- EBRD issues 2006-2007 Strategy for Armenia;

-- Forbes ranks Armenia as most attractive
investment regime in the Caucasus;

-- January 2006 economic data.

End Summary.

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GOAM APPROVES ZANGEZUR 2005-2020 INVESTMENT PROGRAM
-------------- --------------


2. On February 16, the Ministry of Trade and
Economic Development approved the Zangezur Copper-
Molybdenum Plant's USD 240 million investment
program for 2005-2020. The initial phase of the
program is scheduled to run from 2005 to 2008 and
calls for a USD 157 million investment to increase
plant production. Ultimately, the project is
designed to double production rates to 16-18 million
tons of ore processed annually. The project also
includes an allocation of USD 4 million for improved
environmental protection. The Zangezur Copper-
Molybdenum Plant is Armenia's largest mining complex
and was privatized in December 2004 when a group of
investors purchased the site. The German company
Chronimet acquired a 60 percent stake in the plant
for USD 132 million. Chronimet controls an
additional 15 percent stake through its wholly-owned
subsidiary Pure Iron, a Yerevan-based smelting
company. The remaining shares are owned by Armenian
Molybdenum Production and Zangezur Mining.

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ARMENTEL PLAGUED BY CUSTOMER LAWSUITS
--------------


3. The Armenia Telephone Company (ArmenTel)
reported that the number of subscribers to its
mobile phone service has doubled since June 2005
when it lowered prices in response to a second
mobile network operator's entry into the Armenian
market. Armentel remains plagued, however, by
customer lawsuits for alleged overcharging and other
fraudulent activities. The most recent case stems
from a customer's allegations that she was billed

USD 800 for long distance calls which she never
made. According to ArmenTel, the customer used an
ArmenTel phone line to connect to the internet and
view an erotic website which automatically charged a
fee to the user's phone account. The customer
denied visiting such sites and accused the phone
company of fabricating the charge. The Head of the
ArmenTel Department of International Relation Hasmik
Chutilyan said Armenian courts ruled in favor of the
company in two similar cases in December 2005. A
representative of the customer, the Union of
Consumers NGO said, however, that approximately 400
citizens have received similar bills and that many
of these customers are considering legal action
against the company. This particular case is
currently on-hold pending an expert review of
whether websites can charge such fees automatically
without customer consent.

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EBRD ISSUES 2006-2007 STRATEGY FOR ARMENIA
--------------


4. On February 10, the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) issued a new
two-year strategy for Armenia underscoring its
continued commitment to strengthening the Armenian
financial sector and develop local small and medium
sized businesses. The Bank plans to target both
sectors by providing credit lines to local
businesses through local banks as well as lending
directly to businesses through the Bank's Direct
Lending Facility (DLF) and Direct Investment
Facility (DIF) programs. EBRD also indicated that
it would work to strengthen the local mortgages and
insurance markets, both of which are underdeveloped
in Armenia. In the strategy paper, EBRD credits
Armenia for its strong macroeconomic performance, an
effective monetary policy, improved fiscal
performance, improved management of external debt
and rapid progress in structural reform. The
release of this new strategy coincides with the
local official release of the EBRD Transitions
Report 2005 held on March 2, 2006.
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FORBES' INDEX RANKS ARMENIA ABOVE NEIGHBORS
--------------


5. According to Forbes Magazine's third annual
Capital Hospitality Index survey, Armenia has the
most attractive investment regime in the South
Caucasus. The index, which scores countries on a
scale from highest to lowest with higher numbers
indicating a greater openness to investment, gives
Armenia a score of 53.4, ranking it above both
Georgia (at 48.8) and Azerbaijan (at 35.3). The
score was based on macroeconomic indicators, poverty
and bureaucracy levels, technological development,
corruption, the threat of terrorism, crime rates and
the overall political situation. Forbes based its
ranking of Armenia on the government's targeted GDP
growth rate for 2005 of 8 percent and a purchasing
power parity estimate of GDP per capita of USD
5,100. According to the Armenian National
Statistical Service (NSS),the actual GDP growth
rate for 2005 was 13.9 percent and GDP per capita
was USD 1,512. The NSS does not issue a purchasing
power parity estimate. (Note: Purchasing power
parity is a method of adjusting GDP information to
equalize purchasing power across different
currencies and to control for prices difference in
various countries so as to simplify comparisons
between countries' economies. End Note.)

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ECONOMIC DATA FOR JANUARY 2006
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6. According to the preliminary data from the
National Statistical Service, Armenia's real GDP for
January 2006 grew by 7.4 percent year-on-year to USD
159.8 million. Industrial production totaled USD 94
million, falling by 1.3 percent compared to January

2005. Gross agricultural output for January 2006
grew by 4.1 percent compared to January 2005 and was
valued at USD 31.1 million. Construction reached
USD 7.7 million, a 4.6 percent increase. Foreign
trade turnover was USD 165.3 million, with imports
accounting for USD 117.4 million and exports for USD
47.8 million. The consumer price index was 3.6
percent in January 2006 due to a 5.8 percent
increase in food prices. The average exchange rate
was AMD 451.74 to the dollar.

EVANS