VZCZCXRO1120 PP RUEHDT DE RUEHWL #0488/01 1780421 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 270421Z JUN 06 FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2952 INFO RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA PRIORITY 4464 RUEHDT/AMEMBASSY DILI PRIORITY 0017 RUEHKL/AMEMBASSY KUALA LUMPUR PRIORITY 0142 RUEHLI/AMEMBASSY LISBON PRIORITY 0044 RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC PRIORITY RHHJJAA/JICPAC HONOLULU HI PRIORITY RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 0058 |
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 WELLINGTON 000488 |
1. (C) Summary: On June 26, Prime Minister Clark and Police Minister Annette King announced that up to 25 New Zealand police officers would be sent to E. Timor for a three-month deployment. The police will join the 167 NZ Defence Force personnel already in the country. Meanwhile, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) officials say GNZ has no official position on the nature of future peacekeeping operations in E. Timor. New Zealand's usual preference is to work through the UN, but the officials say that many questions remain about what such a mission would entail, including which countries would participate, whether a UN-led police mission would be effective, and how the force would be evacuated in case of a real crisis. In her official statement regarding the police contingent even PM Clark has acknowledged that, "It's likely to take some time for the UN to work through the various issues surrounding its future operation in Timor Leste." End Summary. 3. (C) The decision to send NZ police to E.Timor was made following the recommendations of a police assessment team sent to Dili about 3 weeks ago. Matt Paterson, Policy Officer in MFAT's Security Policy Division, told Pol-Econ Couns that the PM's decision to send the police was made without prejudice to any future UN mission. 4. (C) Jeff Langley, Deputy Director of MFAT's South and Southeast Asia division, says that GNZ officials continue to be in contact with their Australian counterparts on the UN's possible role in E.Timor. GNZ has also been taking part in the UN discussions on this issue, and have taken note of the fact that Portugal, Malaysia, and E. Timor all said during UN discussions late in the week of June 19 that they would prefer to see peacekeeping/police operations move to the UN. As of now, said Langley, the Australians do not appear to favor this. 5. (C) In contrast, Langley said, New Zealand has no position on the future of Australian-led multilateral vs. UN operations in E. Timor. Working level officials are still working through the implications of the various options and have not yet made any recommendations to Ministers. Langley said GNZ will develop its position as the UN discussions proceed on the best successor to UNITIL. He also said that New Zealand's tradition of supporting multilateral diplomacy, its relations with Australia, and the needs of E. Timor would all affect New Zealand's decision on how to go forward. Despite GNZ hesitance to join formally Australia's current position, GNZ has no intention of breaking away from the Australian-led operation. "Although we may not always agree, there will be no surprises" for Australia regarding New Zealand's actions, Paterson said, "We continue to work closely with GOA officials." 5. (C) Paterson said that New Zealand could work either with the UN or in an arrangement similar to the Regional Assistance Mission to the Solomon Islands (RAMSI). "Multilateral can mean different things," he said, "it's not just the UN." Nevertheless, MFAT working level officials seem a bit uncomfortable with what they see as Australia's more negative attitude towards a greater UN role. Langley said that New Zealand has historically prefered to work more in the UN and other multilateral arrangements than has Australia. But he hastened to add that this preference had not prevented New Zealand from joining the Australian operation in E. Timor. (NB: While this may be true, the Deputy Australian High Commissioner told DCM that Canberra had grown a bit impatient over the relatively long time it took for New Zealand Defense Forces to touch down in Dili. ) 6. (C) If the UN does take on the mission, GNZ believes a lot of questions would need to be answered. These include issues of command and control as well as whether the troops would mostly be the mulitlateral troops already there or from WELLINGTON 00000488 002 OF 002 a more representative mix of nations. Meanwhile, GNZ has also been talking bilaterally with officials from other countries who might participate in peacekeeping operations, including Singapore's Prime Minister during his recent visit to Wellington. John McKinnon, MFAT's Deputy Secretary, says Lee said that Singapore might participate as part of a UN-led mission, but he resisted GNZ's suggestion that ASEAN might want to get involved. McKinnon believes that Singapore is wary of offending Indonesia. 7. (C) GNZ officials also question how foreign police will operate in E.Timor. Langley said that the Timorese had asked for 870 foreign police, but apparently only a minor share of these would engage in traditional police work. Although NZ has now decided to send some police, questions still remain about their immediate role as well as in any future UN-led mission. Langley said GNZ believes a large number of cops on the beat will be essential to maintaining order. A heavily armed rapid response team is not the answer, he said, as it is far better to prevent crises before they happen. 8. (C) No matter what the international police role is, Langley says that over the longer term, it will be essential to train E. Timor police properly. If the UN gets involved it will need a robust mandate and effective leadership to withstand the less than favorable political environment, which will be less than clear and could change frequently. Langley said UNITIL failed in adequate training of Timorese police, having focused on specific tasks rather than capacity building. The training was offered by different countries, all with different approaches, Paterson said. 9. (C) Langley and Paterson said that one New Zealander remains in E. Timor as part of UNITIL. If the UN takes on a new role there, GNZ will maintain at least one liaison in Dili. They said it would be helpful to learn more about what USG officials believe would be acceptable elements of a stabilizing operation post-UNITIL. They confessed that their NZ officials based in New York and Washington are giving different readouts on the US position, and some clarity from us would be helpful. 10. (C) Comment: The Prime Minister's decision to send police to E.Timor showed some political courage. The Australian Deputy High Commissioner told us the Kiwis were hesitant to send police to E.Timor because GNZ is far behind on its election pledge to hire more police for New Zealand's streets. McCormick |