Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06VILNIUS944
2006-10-13 12:48:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Vilnius
Cable title:  

PROSECUTORS AND GOL WILL INVESTIGATE CAUSE OF

Tags:  ENRG EPET PREL LH RS PL 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO5866
OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHVL #0944/01 2861248
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 131248Z OCT 06 ZDK
FM AMEMBASSY VILNIUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0673
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHMFISS/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 VILNIUS 000944

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/NB, EUR/NCE, EB/ESC
STATE PLEASE PASS TO FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION
DOE FOR HARBERT
DOC FOR 4231/IEP/EUR/BOHIGIAN
NSC FOR GRAHAM, MCKIBBEN AND COEN
TREASURY FOR LOWERY, LEE AND COX

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/12/2016
TAGS: ENRG EPET PREL LH RS PL
SUBJECT: PROSECUTORS AND GOL WILL INVESTIGATE CAUSE OF
LITHUANIAN REFINERY FIRE

REF: VILNIUS 939 AND PREVIOUS

VILNIUS 00000944 001.3 OF 002


Classified By: POL/ECON Section Chief Rebecca Dunham for reasons 1.4 (b
) and (d)

1 (C) Summary: Local prosecutors have launched an
investigation into the cause of the October 12 fire at
Lithuania's Mazeikiu Nafta oil refinery (MN). The GOL plans
to open its own investigative commission as well. There is
no evidence yet that the fire was set deliberately. Initial
estimates of the amount of damage to the refinery vary
wildly. There are no reports of deaths or serious injuries
resulting from the blaze. The damage to the refinery may be
restricted to the unit producing heavy fuel oil products,
leaving gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel production largely
unaffected. End summary.

-------------- --------------
No evidence of foul play, investigation continues
-------------- --------------


2. (C) Jurijus Malininas, a senior prosecutor in the
Mazeikiai District, told us October 13 that investigators
currently "don't have a single piece of evidence" suggesting
that the fire was the result of a deliberate act. He said,
however, that his office would investigate all possibilities,
including the possibility of deliberate sabotage.


3. (U) The prime minister's spokesperson told journalists
October 12 that the PM will launch an investigative
commission to determine the cause of the fire. The
government's well-regarded Government Chancellor (akin to the
USG's OMB Director) Valdemaras Serapinas will chair the
commission, which will include representatives from several
ministries (Interior, Environment, Economy, and
Transportation),the State Security Department, MN, and
independent experts.

--------------
How much damage? Too soon to tell
--------------


4. (U) More than 100 firefighters battled the blaze on

October 12, bringing it under control within two hours of its
outbreak. Dozens of firefighters worked throughout the night
battling hotspots and small flare-ups. MN has its own fire
brigade, but the size of the conflagration -- flames shot up
more than 150 meters, according to eyewitnesses -- required
the response of fire services from around the region. There
are no reports of injuries or fatalities.


5. (SBU) Dr. Vaclovas Miskinis, who heads the Energy Systems
Research Laboratory at the Lithuanian Energy Institute, told
us that the fire appears to have severely damaged only one
part of the refinery, the distillation tower that processes
heavy fuel oil into more refined products. He said that
production of petroleum products such as gasoline or jet fuel
that are not derived from heavy fuel oil should not be
severely hampered, because they are distilled from the crude
earlier in the production process. (NOTE: Dr. Miskinis does
not work at MN and offered us this explanation based on his
understanding from press reports of what happened. END NOTE.)


6. (U) An MN spokesperson told reporters October 13 that the
fire will not affect the production of gasoline and that MN's
night shift worked a full production schedule overnight in
those production lines not affected by the fire. Local press
reports that the PM's office indicated that damages to MN
could reach USD 3.6 million to USD 7.2 million and take
"months" to repair. These reports emphasized, however, the
preliminary nature of these figures.

--------------
Effect on PKN deal
--------------


7. (U) Local press reports that Poland's PKN Orlen announced
on October 13 that the company was ready to cooperate with
the GOL and Yukos International (MN's current majority
shareholder) to resolve the situation and that the fire will
not have a significant impact on its planned purchase of the

VILNIUS 00000944 002.3 OF 002


refinery. Other press reports quoted MN's chairman, Nerijus
Eidukevicius, saying that only the complete loss of one of
MN's operating units, like the refinery or Butinge terminal,
would allow PKN to cancel legally its contract to buy MN. A
more pessimistic account appeared in the Russophilic daily
Respublika. Its coverage emphasized the possibility that, in
the fire's wake, PKN might insist on a lower price for the
refinery or reconsider its offer entirely.

--------------
Comment
--------------


8. (C) The MN blaze will continue to attract a great deal of
attention: three ministers, including the PM, have already
visited the refinery. These GOL officials are (responsibly)
avoiding a rush to conclusions about the fire's cause.
Somewhat surprisingly, so is the media, at least for now.
All eyes will now turn to the investigations, which will take
place under considerable public scrutiny.
KELLY