Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06THEHAGUE131
2006-01-19 16:16:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy The Hague
Cable title:  

NETHERLANDS/ISAF: PARLIAMENTARY TRIP CANCELED;

Tags:  PREL PGOV MAAR NL AF 
pdf how-to read a cable
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DE RUEHTC #0131/01 0191616
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 191616Z JAN 06
FM AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4611
INFO RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA PRIORITY 2578
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY 0125
RUEKJCS/CJCS WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L THE HAGUE 000131 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/UBI, EUR/RPM, SA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/19/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV MAAR NL AF
SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS/ISAF: PARLIAMENTARY TRIP CANCELED;
LABOR PARTY SHIFTING (SLOWLY)


Classified By: Charge D'Affaires Chat Blakeman,
reasons 1.4 (b,d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L THE HAGUE 000131

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/UBI, EUR/RPM, SA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/19/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV MAAR NL AF
SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS/ISAF: PARLIAMENTARY TRIP CANCELED;
LABOR PARTY SHIFTING (SLOWLY)


Classified By: Charge D'Affaires Chat Blakeman,
reasons 1.4 (b,d)


1. (C) Summary: The Dutch parliament on January 18 called off
a fact-finding mission to Afghanistan citing security
concerns and time constraints. The decision is not expected
to have a significant impact on the upcoming debate on Dutch
participation in ISAF III. The opposition Labor Party (PvdA)
continues to raise questions about the proposed mission, but
support for the mission within the party appears to be
growing. PvdA Faction Leader Wouter Bos told Charge January
19 that the PvdA is not yet -- but could be -- "convinced" to
support the mission.

Parliamentary Trip Canceled
--------------


2. (C) MFA Deputy Head for Conflict Prevention Joop Nijssen
told Polmiloff January 19 that Parliament opted to cancel the
proposed fact-finding trip to Afghanistan because it would
have "little added value" in the upcoming parliamentary
debate. Nijssen said the MFA and MOD had arranged a
whirlwind schedule involving one day in Kabul and another in
Kandahar, and were prepared to fly interlocutors from Uruzgan
to discuss the security situation. Nijssen said several
parliamentarians insisted on physically visiting Uruzgan, to
which the GONL declined due to "logistical problems."
Nijssen acknowledged the MFA was "not particularly upset" the
trip had been canceled; security concerns played a key role
in turning down the request to visit Uruzgan.


3. (C) Parliament hopes to invite experts from NATO and
Afghanistan to participate in the January 30 hearing, thereby
obviating the need for the trip. Moreover, parliamentarians
could use the additional time to prepare for the debate,
Nijssen said. Several parliamentarians -- including Labor
Party (PvdA) spokesman Koenders and CDA spokesman Ormel --
said during a January 17 dinner that they were not enthused
about a trip unless they could visit Uruzgan, and were
confident they could receive the requisite information during
the hearing to make an informed decision.

Support Building in PvdA
--------------


4. (C) Several members of the opposition Labor Party (PvdA)
have expressed their willingness -- with caveats -- to
support the ISAF III mission. In an interview with the
left-of-center Amsterdam daily newspaper "Parool" on January
18, Michiel van Hulten (the newly elected party chairman)
described the ISAF III deployment as "the kind of mission
that the PvdA supports" but cautioned that questions remain
about whether the significant reconstruction would be
achievable given the security situation and the degree of
separation between ISAF and OEF. According to van Hulten,
the PvdA "will gladly go if the mission is sound."


5. (C) In a meeting with Polcouns on January 18, PvdA Defense
Spokesman Frans Timmermans assessed that support for the
mission within active PvdA membership currently stood at
about 80 percent. (Note: This is much higher than we have
heard from other sources. End note.) Timmermans stressed
that this support was fragile, and could quickly evaporate if
it appeared that the Dutch would not be able to conduct
significant reconstruction work in Uruzgan and/or if the
mission could not be disentangled from OEF. While many in
the party, including those in the "traditional left," could
support the deployment on moral and humanitarian grounds,
some also saw the current debate as an opportunity to
embarrass and possibly bring down the current government and
would argue against the deployment for that reason.
Timmermans added that PvdA Parliamentary Faction Leader
Wouter Bos had not yet made up his mind on the issue; once he
did, the rest of the party would fall in line.


6. (C) Charge and Polcouns met with Wouter Bos and Koenders
on January 19. After hearing Charge's arguments in favor of
the Dutch deployment, Bos expressed sympathy for the
principles of the mission and noted that there was
significant support for it within the party. The PvdA,
however, would not rush to make a decision until all views
had been aired and questions answered. Bos described himself
as "not yet convinced" about the mission but did not rule out
possible PvdA support. Koenders also expressed support for

the principles of the mission, but reiterated the PvdA's
concerns about keeping OEF and ISAF operations distinct.


Comment
--------------


7. (C) PvdA has played the Stage III question cautiously, but
continues to keep an open mind. While the news of their
possible receptivity to the mission is encouraging, PvdA is
not yet sold and we still expect an uphill battle in
Parliament.

BLAKEMAN