Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06TELAVIV1198
2006-03-28 17:34:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Tel Aviv
Cable title:  

A CALM ELECTION DAY IN ISRAEL -- SHOPPING,

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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 TEL AVIV 001198 

SIPDIS

ABU DHABI -- PLEASE PASS TO NEA A/S WELCH

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV PINR ASEC IS GOI INTERNAL ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: A CALM ELECTION DAY IN ISRAEL -- SHOPPING,
SAILING, AND SOME VOTING TOO (C-NE6-00442)

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 TEL AVIV 001198

SIPDIS

ABU DHABI -- PLEASE PASS TO NEA A/S WELCH

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV PINR ASEC IS GOI INTERNAL ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: A CALM ELECTION DAY IN ISRAEL -- SHOPPING,
SAILING, AND SOME VOTING TOO (C-NE6-00442)


1. Summary: Entering the evening hours of election day in
Israel, the prognosticators of voter apathy are claiming
victory. Only 47 percent of the electorate had voted as of
1800 (local time),by which time -- historically speaking --
well over half the electorate usually would have cast their
ballots. For example, in 2003, which marked the nadir of
Israeli participation in Knesset elections with 69 percent
total turnout, 54 percent of the electorate had voted by

1800. With four hours left until polls close, some ground
may be made up as voters come back from the malls, the
beaches and the bars after a day off in generally pleasant
weather, but a low turnout in this election is all but a
given, according to political contacts in the major parties.
End Summary.

--------------
THE MAJOR PARTIES DISCOURAGED BY LOW TURNOUT
--------------


2. Labor Party Advisor Oriella Ben-Zvi told poloff that she
was with Labor Party Chairman Amir Peretz in the south, and
that in certain places, such as his hometown of Sderot,
Peretz had been very warmly received. She said that in the
smaller localities, where people know each other, the turnout
is much better than in the cities. Overall, however, the
voter turnout was not as good as they had hoped for,
according to Ben-Zvi. She assessed that many of Kadima's
supporters, as well, may not be motivated enough to vote. In
contrast, she said, supporters of smaller parties are more
motivated. She said that she had heard a lot of talk while
she traveled that the small Pensioners' party is taking votes
away from Labor. She speculated that the main headlines
tomorrow would be about what she anticipates will be a the
historically low voter turnout. Oren Helman, a Likud
advisor, and Likud Central Committee member David Sharan
echoed this assessment in separate discussions with poloff.
Kadima organizer Yaron Sharaby told poloff that total turnout
would definitely be lower than in 2003. While not upbeat,
Sharaby confided that he thought Kadima would come out "all
right." Yohanan Plesner, a Kadima candidate on the cusp --

slot 32 -- told Haaretz that "we have between 33 and 40
seats." Plesner's aide told poloff that Kadima activists are
heading to the malls to get out the vote.

--------------
ATMOSPHERICS FROM AROUND THE COUNTRY
--------------


3. Israelis in the greater Tel Aviv area went for walks,
visited malls in the Herzliya suburb and downtown Dizengoff
center to profit from special election-day discounts, and
practiced kite-sailing along the coastal beaches in sunny
weather that defied projections of rain. These diversions
account in large part for the Israeli preference to vote in
the evening.

-------------- --------------
No Arab boycott, but turnout no better than the norm...
-------------- --------------


4. Post's PD Arabic-speaking FSN in Nazareth reported
general calm in what is the largest Arab-Israeli city in
Israel. Israeli-Arab voter participation, at mid-afternoon,
mirrored national averages. Azmi Bishara's Balad party
reportedly hired buses to bring thousands of Israeli Arabs
from their studies in Jordan home to vote in Israel. While
some small villages, such as the Druze village of Isfiya, in
the Upper Galilee, reported below-average turnouts,
participation in other, larger cities, such as Haifa, tracked
with that of Nazareth, according to Arabic print media. The
Mayor of Sakhnin, Mohammed Bashar, told poloff that the voter
turnout by late afternoon in Sakhnin was only 30 percent and
characterized the situation of low voter turnout as bad for
Arab parties. In Jaffa, a mixed Jewish-Arab city that was
the scene of scuffles last week between Arabs and right-wing
Jewish extremists from the Herut Party who were raising money
to finance Israeli Arab emigration from Israel, the situation
is calm. The only political noise reported was from the Shas
party, which has tried to gain supporters from beyond its
ultra-Orthodox corner.

--------------
The Russians Still Prefer Lieberman
--------------


5. The southern port city of Ashdod is home to a mostly
Russian-speaking immigrant community. A Russian-speaking
econoff who visited several polling stations observed both
families and many under-30 voters coming to vote. Here, too,
the participation rate by mid-afternoon mirrored national
averages, according FSN contacts. Post's Russian-speaking PD
FSN who lives in Ashdod reported that this election was
calmer than most -- both on the street and in the
Russian-language media. Like their more affluent, native
brethren in the Tel Aviv suburbs, many Russian-speaking
immigrant families headed for the malls before heading to
vote, according to the FSN. A baker confided to her that
going to work provided him with a good excuse not to vote.
Avigdor Lieberman's name and party (Yisrael Beiteinu) was on
the mind of many Russian-speakers, according to the FSN's
anecdotal surveys, but the noise heard most in the streets
came from the ultra-Orthodox, mostly-Sephardic Shas party.
In the Russian area of Bat Yam, closer to Tel Aviv, older
voters told a Russian-speaking consoff that they would vote
for Lieberman, whom they described as a "man of action."
Other Russian voters told consoffs that they would vote
Kadima as a protest against "the politicians," namely, they
said, Likud Party Chairman Binyamin Netanyahu.
--------------
Anti-Zionists protest
--------------


7. Israeli media have covered extensively the disturbances
by some 30 anti-Zionist, ultra-Orthodox protesters in Beit
Shemesh. These anti-Zionist ultra-Orthodox were forcibly
removed from a polling station after they reportedly urged
voters not to cast their ballots in the Israeli elections.
In other ultra-Orthodox communities, such as Bnei Brak,
Embassy officers report the active participation of rabbis
telling people to vote for the mostly Azkhenazi Torah and
Shabbat Judaism party (former UTJ). In Bnei Brak, the
anti-Zionist impact was limited to a few empty voting
stations.

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