Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06TASHKENT324
2006-02-13 12:48:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Tashkent
Cable title:
RUMORS OF AN IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE SHAKE THE COUNTRY
how-toVZCZCXRO4787 PP RUEHDBU DE RUEHNT #0324 0441248 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 131248Z FEB 06 FM AMEMBASSY TASHKENT TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5158 INFO RUEHTA/AMEMBASSY ALMATY 7614 RUEHEK/AMEMBASSY BISHKEK 2251 RUEHAH/AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT 1726 RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 2143 RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 1292
C O N F I D E N T I A L TASHKENT 000324
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR SCA/CEN
E.O. 12958: 02/10/2016
TAGS: PGOV SENV UZ
SUBJECT: RUMORS OF AN IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE SHAKE THE COUNTRY
CLASSIFIED BY AMB. JON R. PURNELL FOR REASONS 1.4 (B,D).
C O N F I D E N T I A L TASHKENT 000324
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR SCA/CEN
E.O. 12958: 02/10/2016
TAGS: PGOV SENV UZ
SUBJECT: RUMORS OF AN IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE SHAKE THE COUNTRY
CLASSIFIED BY AMB. JON R. PURNELL FOR REASONS 1.4 (B,D).
1. (U) Rumors of an imminent earthquake spread throughout
Tashkent and into the provinces of Uzbekistan late afternoon
on February 9, causing panic among the population. The
Ministry of Emergency Situations (MES) confirmed for the
Embassy that it had in no way predicted an earthquake. An
Institute of Seismology official told us the same. However,
same Embassy contacts who had themselves phoned the MES said
that they were told that the Ministry had known for the last
few weeks that an earthquake on the Richter scale of 5-9 had
been predicted to happen before February 10. With the final
day of the period coming to an end, MES officials were
reportedly contacting schools in Tashkent and requesting
that students be picked up and taken home.
2. (U) As schools were notified, word spread quickly
throughout the city and the rumor mill shifted into high
gear. By late afternoon, the mobile phone systems reached
their limits and making a phone call became almost
impossible. As families began to return to their homes,
those in apartment buildings opted to wait out the imminent
earthquake in the courtyard with all of their neighbors. By
early evening, courtyards were filled with tenants afraid to
return to their apartments for fear of the predicted
disaster. By this time, the MES was reportedly answering
their phones with QNO, there is not going to be an
earthquakeQ. It was only after several hours of waiting
that families slowly returned to their homes. According to
Embassy contacts in the provinces, word of the predicted
disaster spread by way of relatives and friends of those
living in Tashkent. There were reports of families waiting
outside of their apartment buildings until as late as
midnight.
3. (C) Comment: There are a number of theories to explain
the mass hysteria and confusion that spread throughout the
country. The fact that in April the country will mark the
40th anniversary of the destructive 1966 earthquake is
likely playing a role. Conspiracy theorists believe that
this was a diversionary tactic started by the GOU to cover
up a different operation or event. Others feel that this
was a test to determine how quickly news of a major event
would travel. Whatever the reason, people deprived of
reliable information and used to living on rumor reacted as
though the reports were true.
PURNELL
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR SCA/CEN
E.O. 12958: 02/10/2016
TAGS: PGOV SENV UZ
SUBJECT: RUMORS OF AN IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE SHAKE THE COUNTRY
CLASSIFIED BY AMB. JON R. PURNELL FOR REASONS 1.4 (B,D).
1. (U) Rumors of an imminent earthquake spread throughout
Tashkent and into the provinces of Uzbekistan late afternoon
on February 9, causing panic among the population. The
Ministry of Emergency Situations (MES) confirmed for the
Embassy that it had in no way predicted an earthquake. An
Institute of Seismology official told us the same. However,
same Embassy contacts who had themselves phoned the MES said
that they were told that the Ministry had known for the last
few weeks that an earthquake on the Richter scale of 5-9 had
been predicted to happen before February 10. With the final
day of the period coming to an end, MES officials were
reportedly contacting schools in Tashkent and requesting
that students be picked up and taken home.
2. (U) As schools were notified, word spread quickly
throughout the city and the rumor mill shifted into high
gear. By late afternoon, the mobile phone systems reached
their limits and making a phone call became almost
impossible. As families began to return to their homes,
those in apartment buildings opted to wait out the imminent
earthquake in the courtyard with all of their neighbors. By
early evening, courtyards were filled with tenants afraid to
return to their apartments for fear of the predicted
disaster. By this time, the MES was reportedly answering
their phones with QNO, there is not going to be an
earthquakeQ. It was only after several hours of waiting
that families slowly returned to their homes. According to
Embassy contacts in the provinces, word of the predicted
disaster spread by way of relatives and friends of those
living in Tashkent. There were reports of families waiting
outside of their apartment buildings until as late as
midnight.
3. (C) Comment: There are a number of theories to explain
the mass hysteria and confusion that spread throughout the
country. The fact that in April the country will mark the
40th anniversary of the destructive 1966 earthquake is
likely playing a role. Conspiracy theorists believe that
this was a diversionary tactic started by the GOU to cover
up a different operation or event. Others feel that this
was a test to determine how quickly news of a major event
would travel. Whatever the reason, people deprived of
reliable information and used to living on rumor reacted as
though the reports were true.
PURNELL