Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06SEOUL3217
2006-09-18 07:59:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Seoul
Cable title:  

SOHN HAK-KYU: THINKING MAN'S PRESIDENTIAL

Tags:  PGOV PREL PINR KS 
pdf how-to read a cable
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ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 180759Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY SEOUL
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0322
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 1257
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 1331
RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUALSFJ/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA
RHMFISS/COMUSKOREA J2 SEOUL KOR
RHMFISS/COMUSKOREA J5 SEOUL KOR
RHMFISS/COMUSKOREA SCJS SEOUL KOR
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC//OSD/ISA/EAP//
C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 003217 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/10/2014
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR KS
SUBJECT: SOHN HAK-KYU: THINKING MAN'S PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE?

REF: A. SEOUL 1920

B. SEOUL 2190

Classified By: POL Joseph Y. Yun. Reasons 1.4 (b,d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 003217

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/10/2014
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR KS
SUBJECT: SOHN HAK-KYU: THINKING MAN'S PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE?

REF: A. SEOUL 1920

B. SEOUL 2190

Classified By: POL Joseph Y. Yun. Reasons 1.4 (b,d).


1. (C) SUMMARY: In a Buddhist-run youth hostel at the foot
of scenic Mount Sorak, GNP presidential hopeful Sohn Hak-kyu
met with poloff over tea on September 17. The former
Gyeonggi Province Governor, dressed in plain workman's
clothes and sporting an unkempt beard, described his 100-day
tour of rural Korea, where he was learning about the
"people's spirit". He discussed the problems related to the
KORUS FTA for Korea's farmers, the economic plight of the
common Korean and the task at hand for the conservative Grand
National Party (GNP) to win back people's support and the
Blue House. He also emphasized that because of Korea's
geopolitical position and importance, the U.S. should not
abandon Korea no matter what President Roh does in the
remainder of his tenure. He concluded with a strong plea
that the U.S. back the presidential candidate that had the
most reasoned view of U.S.-ROK relations and of the
geopolitical situation in Northeast Asia, clearly implying
that he was just that candidate. END SUMMARY.

100 DAY TOUR
--------------


2. (C) After picking peppers with farmers in flood
devastated Inje county in eastern Korea on the 79th day of
his 100-day tour of rural Korea, Sohn took Sunday morning off
to meet with poloff before he continued his journey to south
eastern Korea via public bus and train. On September 17, a
handful of young GNP lawmakers joined Sohn to pick peppers.
According to Kong Song-jin, a first term GNP lawmaker who
made the three hour drive to Gangwon Province, the reform
wing of the GNP supports Sohn and views him as an important
figure in the run up to the 2007 presidential elections even
though they feel he will play a spoiler's role rather than
capture the GNP nomination.


3. (C) On June 29, the Ambassador met with the dapper,
worldly Governor Sohn for lunch just before his term ended on
June 30. The figure poloff met on September 17 was a
different person - Sohn has not shaved since July 1 and
during one-and-half-hour discussion he focused on Korea's

current plight and its future particularly in regard to
relations with the U.S. and its neighbors. This was a marked
change from touting his achievements as Governor of Gyeonggi
Province as he did on June 29 (Reftel B). He said his
mission during his hundred day trip was not to explain his
policy platform or convince people he was the right candidate
to become president, but rather to find out what the Korean
people needed. He said Koreans did not see a bright future
and in fact, could not see, "the light at the end of the
tunnel" of their current economic difficulties. He said that
while the economy was paramount, education reform was even
more important to middle and lower class Koreans.

FTA
---


4. (C) Sohn said he was surprised by the strength of the
opposition to the FTA among farmers in Korea and asked that
the U.S. show sympathy for the plight of Korea's farmers.
While Sohn is a strong pro-business, KORUS FTA proponent, he
said after hearing the fervor of anti-FTA sentiment from the
country's rural population, he would urge Korea and the U.S.
to look for ways to mitigate the potential losses to the
farming sector.

DPRK
--------------


5. (C) On North Korea, Sohn said most Koreans did not feel
threatened by, nor care much about the DPRK's provocative
actions or the current administration's policy toward North
Korea. He was surprised at how little most people reacted to
North Korea's July 4 missile launches and attributed people's
apathy to their current difficult economic situation. He
added that farmers have reacted to current ROK North Korea
policy as it directly affects them and complained that the
gifting of fertilizer to the North had raised the price of
fertilizer for farmers in the South. In general, the

economic plight of Koreans colored their world view, said
Sohn. Most farmers were staying afloat through bank loans,
the former Governor added.

COMMENT
--------------


6. (C) Sohn's polls are very poor, hovering around 2-5%.
Still, analysts and journalists say he should not be written
off completely. For example, a recent poll of newspaper
journalists picked Sohn as their top candidate for the
December, 2007 election. While Sohn, like Roh, participated
in the democratic movement in the 70s and 80s, in many ways,
Sohn is the anti-Roh candidate with a PhD from Oxford and
experience as a professor of political science and as
Minister of Health and Welfare.


7. (C) While he may not take the Blue House in 2007, Sohn's
ambition and drive are clear and he will be a force to be
reckoned with in the months and years to come. As Uri Party
staffer Kim Ki-bong told poloff, "the 100 day people's spirit
tour was something the Uri Party candidates should have done.
Sohn's tour is winning people over as they see it not as a
political stunt but a reflection of Sohn's genuineness."

VERSHBOW