Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06RIGA799
2006-10-02 14:09:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Riga
Cable title:  

SCENSETTER FOR VISIT OF SECRETARY OF LABOR ELAINE CHAO

Tags:  ELAB PGOV PREL OVIP CHAO ELAINE LG 
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VZCZCXYZ0025
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHRA #0799/01 2751409
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 021409Z OCT 06
FM AMEMBASSY RIGA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3386
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHDC
INFO RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 1163
UNCLAS RIGA 000799 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

FOR SECRETARY CHAO FROM AMBASSADOR BAILEY

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB PGOV PREL OVIP CHAO ELAINE LG
SUBJECT: SCENSETTER FOR VISIT OF SECRETARY OF LABOR ELAINE CHAO


UNCLAS RIGA 000799

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

FOR SECRETARY CHAO FROM AMBASSADOR BAILEY

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB PGOV PREL OVIP CHAO ELAINE LG
SUBJECT: SCENSETTER FOR VISIT OF SECRETARY OF LABOR ELAINE CHAO



1. Madam Secretary, we are extremely honored that you will visit
Riga October 10 - 13. Latvia today is a very different place than
it was when you helped establish the Peace Corps program here after
Latvia regained it's independence in 1991. Over two years into NATO
and European Union membership, Latvia has emerged as a significant
international player, despite its modest population and resource
base. Per capita, it is one of the largest contributors to
international military operations, with 120 soldiers in Iraq and 30
in Afghanistan, while also serving in Kosovo. Latvia stands out as
a successful post-Soviet transition society and it has become a
respected voice in the international media. Strong memories of
occupation and oppression strengthen Latvia's resolve to reach out
to countries near and far struggling to move beyond authoritarian
politics and state-dominated economies. Latvia remains one of the
fastest growing economies in the European Union. Its geographic
position offers great potential as a stepping-stone for U.S. exports
and investors interested not only in the Baltic region itself, but
in the Russian, other Eastern European, and Scandinavian markets.
Latvia's support for pro-market, pro-free trade policies is
important to the U.S., especially in European and international
organizations. These political and economic trends provide new
opportunities to work with Latvia in projecting support for freedom,
democracy, and market-based prosperity.


2. Latvia's leaders are strong partners and true friends of the
United States. Riga's hosting of the NATO summit in November of
this year is a true testament to the positive view of President
Vaira Vike-Freiberga within the alliance, and the result of her
tenacity in her home country. She is currently heavily focused on
her race for Secretary General of the United Nations, where she is
fighting an entrenched view that it is an Asian country's "turn" for
the job. Her term expires in July 2007 and the parliament will
choose her successor sometime before that. Prime Minister Aigars
Kalvitis leads a minority government that will officially be in

caretaker mode when you arrive, following parliamentary elections
October 7. One of his personal priorities is ensuring that Latvia's
young and educated stay here and contribute to Latvia's economy
rather than seeking jobs elsewhere. The other ministers who will
join you for lunch are all ones with whom I work closely on a number
of issues. Speaker of Parliament Ingrida Udre is very supportive of
our initiatives to develop greater US - Latvia ties through
public-private partnerships, including through visits by the HUMANA
health care foundation and Ronald McDonald House Charities (which
resulted in a decision to open a RMHC chapter in Latvia).


3. Latvia will hold parliamentary elections on October 7, which will
select a new parliament (Saeima) that will begin work in November.
We can't make any exact predictions at this point, but we don't
think the elections will result in any major shift in policy,
especially towards the United States. Latvia's fractured political
landscape - 19 parties will run in the elections with between 5 and
8 likely to win seats in parliament - means that a coalition of 3 or
4 parties will be required to form government. Coalition formation
and jockeying for their own roles in the new government will be
foremost on the minds of all the political leaders you meet and will
likely be the dominant news stories of the day as well.


4. Since joining the EU, Latvia has seen dramatic shifts in its
labor force that the Latvians will want to discuss with you.
Latvian workers have taken advantage of the free movement of labor
provided for by the EU. The official rate of registered
unemployment in May 2006 was 7.0 percent, although it is
significantly higher in rural areas. The largest challenge that
employers face since Latvia joined the EU is the flow of workers to
other EU countries -- mainly Ireland and the UK. Latvian agencies
estimate that 30,000 to 50,000 Latvians have gone elsewhere since
May 2004 for work, but the actual number is likely much higher than
that. Irish statistics show more than 30,000 Latvians working in
Ireland alone. Nursing, police, and construction are three of the
sectors hardest hit by this out flow of labor. Adapting the
workforce to the 21st century through education and training is
something I hope you can talk about in your remarks here.


5. Latvia's explosive growth, 10.2 percent in 2005, has been
matched with high inflation, 6.7 percent last year. Wage growth far
outstrips gains in productivity as Latvian employers try to retain
workers. Latvia's low corporate and capital gains tax policies have
also helped to fuel growth and the government's budget is in
surplus. But the ease of access to cheap credit, fueled in large
part by a real estate boom, and the 4.2 million Euros in EU support
funds Latvia will receive over the next seven years will continue
the inflationary pressures in the economy and continue to make
Latvia's accession to the Euro a goal for the somewhat distant
future.


6. Latvia's open, agile and expanding market-oriented economy
provides U.S. companies a promising export and investment
destination in a newly-enlarged EU. At the same time, it creates
the resources Latvia needs to play a more active role in NATO, the
European Union and elsewhere. Advancing economic prosperity and
security, particularly through expanded opportunities for American
business, helps broaden and solidify the U.S.-Latvian partnership.
Latvia's total exports to the U.S. in 2005 were worth $147 million
(or 2.7 percent of the country's total exports),and imports from
the U.S. were valued at $96 million (or 1.1 percent of the total
imports into Latvia). The United States is Latvia's 13th largest
foreign trade partner. Latvia needs to continue to provide a level
playing field, evidenced by efficient commercial dispute resolution,
protection of intellectual property, and maintenance of laws and
regulations that empower rather than hinder entrepreneurs and
foreign investment. Building the rule of law, reducing corruption
and improving transparency are key parts of both our economic and
political message in Latvia and I hope that you underscore these
points in your meetings and remarks.


7. In many ways, Latvia is still a land of discovery for American
companies. In May of this year, Embassy Riga, working with the
Latvian Investment and Development Agency (LIDA) and the American
Chamber of Commerce in Latvia, organized the first American
pan-Baltic Trade and Investment Conference ever held in the region
in Riga. Prior to the conference, I had the opportunity to do a
road show in New York and Chicago to speak with various business
audiences to develop interest in coming to Latvia for the
conference. In the end, over fifty businesspeople representing
forty-three companies travelled from the United States to
participate in this event. President Vike-Freiberga opened the
conference to an audience of approximately 150 businesspeople from
the U.S. and the Baltic states. She also held private meetings on
the margins with a number of the U.S. businesses that attended. At
the conclusion of the mission, GE Money announced that it would
expand its presence in Latvia by opening a Nordic Regional Service
Center in Riga. In addition, American company Strategic Staffing
Solutions announced plans to open an international office in Riga
where they plan to employ 60 people. We are currently in
discussions with LIDA regarding a follow up trade event for 2007.


8. While here, you will visit two American companies that do
business in Latvia as well as speak to the American Chamber of
Commerce. One of the companies you will visit, GE Money, is a good
example of an American company taking advantage of the opportunities
provided by Latvia's rapid growth. GE Money already has a loan
portfolio of over $110 million and should reach $125 million by the
end of 2006. In November 2006, GE Money opened its new Nordic
Regional Service Center, which you will visit, which focuses on
operations (processing paperwork),finance, and risk analysis. This
service center represents an additional investment of about
$800,000. It currently employs about 300 people in Latvia and plans
to hire more as it expands from the consumer finance area into
retail banking. The other U.S. company you will visit is Coca-Cola,
which is a contrast to the otherwise pro-business environment here.
In August, the Latvian government banned the sales of products
contianing certain ingredients from schools, which harmed
Coca-Cola's business by suggesting that the ingredients were
themselves unhealthy. Coca-Cola had attempted to work with the
Latvian government to address their legitimate concerns about
childhood obesity and to voluntarily substitute products for sale in
the schools as well as help establish after-school and weekend
sports programs. Unfortunately, election year politics won the day
and the ban went forward.


9. Latvia has been attempting to develop itself as a regional
banking and finance center. However, in the post-9/11 world the
U.S. government expressed serious concern that it was developing
this sector without the necessary oversight to prevent it from being
used as a conduit for money laundering for organized criminal
activity and potentially for financing terrorist activities and
organizations. In May 2005, the Department of the Treasury
designated two Latvian banks as institutions of "primary money
laundering concern" under section 311 of the Patriot Act and to
prohibit them from having any dealings with U.S. financial
institutions. The Latvian government and regulatory agencies worked
very closely with us for a year to enhance their legislative and
regulatory framework to address our concerns. In July of this year,
Treasury decided to clear one bank and continue the sanctions
against the second. While highlighting the robust actions taken by
the government, treasury remained concerns about alleged personal
links between the ownership of the second bank and organized
criminal organizations.


10. There is one political theme that I hope you can touch on while
you are here and that is the issue of tolerance, inclusion and
respect for others. One of the legacies of Soviet rule is a
distrust of differences and a tendency to focus on the past rather
than looking forward. This manifests itself in a variety of ways.
There is still tension between ethnic Latvians and the sizable
ethnic Russian population, particularly over language issues.
Attacks on individuals of color, including an Embassy family member,
attributable to racism are too often chalked up to "hooliganism" or
"boys being boys." Attempts by Riga's small gay community to hold a
pride march were met by violence and the interior minister said that
securing the event would be a bigger security challenge than the
NATO Summit. When President Bush was here in May 2005 he said,
"Whatever the historical causes, yours is now a multi-ethnic society
-- as I have seen on my visit. No wrongs of the past should ever be
allowed to divide you, or to slow your remarkable progress. While
keeping your Latvian identity and language, you have a
responsibility to reach out to all who share the future of Latvia. A
welcoming and tolerant spirit will assure the unity and strength of
your country. Minorities here have a responsibility as well -- to be
citizens who seek the good of the country in which they live." Your
assistance in reinforcing this message will help us a lot.


11. My Embassy team and I believe that your visit will highlight to
our Latvian host the strength of our bilateral relationship, not
just for today but as this great partnership builds in the years to
come, and will open up discussions on some of the economic and
social issues that are so important to Latvia's future success. It
is an honor to have you visit this great country that serves as a
very strong partner. Best, Cathy.

Bailey