Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06NAIROBI1114
2006-03-10 12:48:00
SECRET//NOFORN
Embassy Nairobi
Cable title:  

AN UNSETTLED KENYA AWAITS NEXT SHOE TO DROP

Tags:  PINS SNAR ASEC ECON PREL KCOR KDEM KE 
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FM AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0207
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 1899
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS PRIORITY 1878
RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA PRIORITY
RUEHNA/DEA HQS WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCNFB/FBI WASH DC PRIORITY
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 NAIROBI 001114 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
NOFORN

E.O. 12958: DECL: (X1)
TAGS: PINS SNAR ASEC ECON PREL KCOR KDEM KE
SUBJECT: AN UNSETTLED KENYA AWAITS NEXT SHOE TO DROP

REF: A. NAIROBI 1077


B. NAIROBI 988 NAIROBI 974

C. NAIROBI 945

Classified By: PolCouns Michael J. Fitzpatrick; Reasons: 1.4(b,c,d)

S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 NAIROBI 001114

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
NOFORN

E.O. 12958: DECL: (X1)
TAGS: PINS SNAR ASEC ECON PREL KCOR KDEM KE
SUBJECT: AN UNSETTLED KENYA AWAITS NEXT SHOE TO DROP

REF: A. NAIROBI 1077


B. NAIROBI 988 NAIROBI 974

C. NAIROBI 945

Classified By: PolCouns Michael J. Fitzpatrick; Reasons: 1.4(b,c,d)


1. (S) SUMMARY: President Kibaki publicly stands firm behind
the Kenyan Police raid on the Standard Media Group.
Meanwhile, Standard journalists and others privately say the
raids were prompted by a State House belief that the paper
possesses documents implicating the President's family in
grand-scale corruption, possibly including narcotics
trafficking. First Lady Lucy Kibaki has reportedly
personally threatened to "burn down the Standard" unless the
information on her is relinquished. Even as the government
ridicules claims of "foreign mercenaries" in the country,
political opponents and journalists believe unofficial Second
Wife Mary Wambui is behind the foreigners -- and the cocaine
trafficking. Opposition leaders say they are being
blackmailed to keep quiet; shocked by the steps already
taken, they privately fear a cornered government will move to
arrest them, with or without charges. And they worry about
the possible use of lethal force. END SUMMARY.

UNDER SEIGE, STATE HOUSE STANDS BY ITS MAN
==========================================

2. (C) After a week of silence, President Kibaki has spoken
-- he will not sack any ministers or others implicated in the
March 2 police raids on the Standard Media Group (reftels).
Appearing in Eldoret March 8, the President bluntly declared
that even if the public "hates" the Security Minister, there
is nothing they can do about it -- John Michuki will stay at
his post. Notably, Kibaki made the statement in the company
of three individuals known to be at war with each other over
how to respond to the crisis -- First Lady Lucy Kibaki (who
supports Michuki),Policy Adviser Stanley Murage (allied with
"unofficial" Second Lady Mary Wambui, he is long opposed to
both Michuki and Lucy's influence) and Police Commissioner

Ali (incensed at having been cut out of Michuki's order for
the police raid on the media house).

FOREIGN "MERCENARIES" CONFIRMED
===============================

3. (S/NF) The presence in Kenya of armed foreigners working
on behalf of ruling elements has alarmed many Kenyans, both
in and out of government. Despite repeated government
denials, post believes foreigners were indeed directly
involved in the police raids. One journalist who escaped the
raids privately tells us police contacts warned him weeks
earlier that foreigners had been imported to protect the
First Family from public corruption charges. One of those
arrested told PolCouns several of the March 2 raiders were
white -- and "no African would call us what he did." Another
Standard journalist says a source close to State House has
offered to sell the paper copies of the passport pages and
work permits of the foreigners. (Popularly called "Russians"
and "mercenaries," post has separately confirmed the
foreigners are traveling on a variety of passports from what
used to be termed "East Bloc" nations.)


4. (S) Opposition and media figures believe the "mercenaries"
were imported to suppress information on State House
corruption. They assert the foreigners arrived last December
-- after the government got word that John Githongo, the
government's exiled corruption czar, was to go public with
his detailed accounts of State House corruption. (Githongo's
'"dossier" was serialized in The Nation newspaper in
January.) Some believe these same foreigners played a role
(via the Akasha crime family) in the 2004 cocaine shipments
seized in Kenya, and have now returned to intimidate
opponents (in or out of government) from releasing
information incriminating State House in any illicit
activities. Philip Murgor, sacked in 2005 as Director of
Public Prosecutions for investigating the cocaine, told
PolCouns March 9 the mercenaries were brought into Kenya at
the direction of Second Lady Mary Wambui, State House Advisor
Stanley Murage and Police CID Chief Joseph Kamau (who
formally was in charge of the police raids on the Standard).
Wambui, it is alleged, brought them back to Kenya after a
December trip to Dubai in the company of none other than
Kamlesh Pattni -- the man behind the Moi-era Goldenberg
corruption scandal. (Others separately told D/PolCouns this
week that Wambui spent USD 600,000 cash during a December
trip to Dubai.)


NAIROBI 00001114 002 OF 003



5. (C) The mercenaries initially stayed at the Pattni-owned
Grand Regency Hotel -- until the media reported that fact.
(NOTE: Even before the raid, Murgor told PolCouns Pattni had
wired the Presidential Suite at the Grand Regency for sound
and audio; Wambui and CID Chief Kamau were said to be among
those using the suite to entertain any number of Kenyan
business and political figures. END NOTE.) Focus then
shifted to a house in the upscale Runda neighborhood (where a
number of Embassy families reside) -- until opposition LDP
leader Raila Odinga March 8 provided the Police Commissioner,
and then the media, with the address.


6. (C) Coincidentally, Emboffs stumbled upon the house on
Glory Road hours before Odinga even gave his police
statement. A number of civilians were beating a man and had
set a dog upon him; he escaped as neighbors went to his aid.
Confronted by the angry crowd, one attacker drew a pistol and
identified himself as police. Privately, neighbors said a
white foreigner moved in several months ago -- accompanied by
several black (but likely non-Kenyan) "bodyguards" who
threatened them. Neighbors said they had speculated that
narcotics or other illicit activities were being conducted
from the house. The next day, however, CID Chief Kamau
publicly claimed the house had been vacant for many months.
In conversation with PolCouns March 9, Presidential advisor
Murage laughed at any claims of foreign involvement, claiming
Odinga "is an expert in guerrilla warfare; you can expect him
to claim the unbelievable."

IT'S THE FIRST FAMILY(IES),STUPID
==================================

7. (S) A Standard journalist told PolCouns March 10 the
raids occurred because State House believed he was going to
expose the First Family. (NOTE: This journalist has written
the most detailed and damaging of published reports related
to the December 2004 seizures of more than one ton of
cocaine. END NOTE.) His reasons: First, though he had
nothing to do with the article that officially prompted the
raid (suggesting a secret Presidential deal with an
opposition leader),he was publicly sought for arrest.
(Having secured a police bond against arrest, he has since
submitted a statement that he neither researched nor wrote
nor edited the article.) Second, those colleagues that were
arrested privately state that police officers told them they
were looking for papers implicating both/both presidential
wives in corruption: Official First Lady Lucy in the
Anglo-Leasing scandal and Unofficial Wife Two Mary Wambui in
cocaine shipments. One police officer, a longtime friend of
the paper's editors, confided that "this dossier is explosive
and can bring down the government" -- which they had been
instructed not to allow. (One of those arrested separately
confirmed this to PolCouns.)


8. (S) Third, Four CID officers tracked down the journalist's
uncle (a senior civil servant) on Sunday, March 5. He was
told First Lady Lucy knew the nephew had "a dossier" on her
-- and she wanted it. To underscore their seriousness, the
police put the First Lady on the phone; she told the uncle
that unless the Standard turned over the dossier they would
"burn down the whole of the Standard Group." Fourth,
Standard editor Oketch Kendo was intercepted March 8 at a
city supermarket and told that the journalist had one week
(until Wednesday, March 15) to turn over the dossier. Fifth,
the journalist uncle spoke to the First Lady again March 9;
she reiterated the same deadline.


9. (S) The journalist claims he does not to know what to do
-- as he says he has no such dossier. (He believes that
Alfred Getonga -- recently sacked as Personal Assistant to
the President -- left State House angry, and with a sheaf of
incriminating documents. He all but stated that Getonga had
offered him documents, but that they were unable to agree on
a date to meet before the raid occurred on the Standard.)
He says he fears for his life. Standard management was to
meet March 10 to decide whether to send the journalist abroad
"until things cool down." He nonetheless continues to work
on his next story: trying to confirm that another ship
bearing a load of cocaine is to dock in coming days at
Mombasa. (COMMENT: Neither we nor the journalist can confirm
Wambui's involvement in narcotics; it's just as likely that
others are throwing her name about to protect their own
activities. END COMMENT.)

OPPOSITION GIVEN THE CHOICE: SHUT UP OR ELSE
============================================

NAIROBI 00001114 003 OF 003



10. (S) Threats of arrest and violence are also being
personally directed at opposition leaders by the government.
Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) opposition leaders privately
confirm that they have been told by State House and police
officials to stop rabble-rousing on the issues of high-level
government corruption and cocaine trafficking. Furthermore,
"We are all being blackmailed" to keep quiet, conceded one
presidential aspirant -- who then ticked off the bases for
government threats of criminal actions against each of the
major opposition figures, including himself. The threats, he
said, have been face-to-face and blunt: they could be
arrested either with or without charges. Coming straight
from a meeting of ODM leaders, he claimed their general
response has been "We obviously can't stop you. So go ahead."
PolCouns urged that he and fellow opposition leaders remain
civil and pacific, and to give no one a public excuse for
further repression. He agreed while readily admitting, "you
know how hard it is for us politicians to keep our mouths
shut." He thanked the USG for its rapid and direct
denunciation of the raids, saying it not only forced many
observers off the fence but made clear the stakes at risk.

COMMENT
=======

11. (S) COMMENT: While Kenya appears outwardly calm, many of
those closest to the political action are now scared. The
raids on the media stunned many Kenyans, who say they never
expected such a step by their post-Moi, democratic
government. Reports of foreign mercenaries, systematic
threats and blackmail, and possible narco-corruption at State
House now have them positively reeling. They now fear what
may come next.
BELLAMY