Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06MOSCOW789
2006-01-26 12:35:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Moscow
Cable title:  

RUSSIA/GEORGIA: IVANOV DISMISSIVE OF SAAKASHVILI'S

Tags:  PREL ENRG RS GG 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO2920
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DE RUEHMO #0789 0261235
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 261235Z JAN 06
FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9808
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHXD/MOSCOW POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L MOSCOW 000789 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2016
TAGS: PREL ENRG RS GG
SUBJECT: RUSSIA/GEORGIA: IVANOV DISMISSIVE OF SAAKASHVILI'S
ACCUSATIONS

REF: A. MOSCOW 754


B. TBILISI 157

C O N F I D E N T I A L MOSCOW 000789

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2016
TAGS: PREL ENRG RS GG
SUBJECT: RUSSIA/GEORGIA: IVANOV DISMISSIVE OF SAAKASHVILI'S
ACCUSATIONS

REF: A. MOSCOW 754


B. TBILISI 157


1. (C) SUMMARY. At the end of a January 25 meeting devoted
primarily to Iran (ref A),Ambassador raised the Georgian
energy supply issue with Russian Security Council Secretary
Igor Ivanov. In a brief response, Ivanov dismissed Georgian
President Saakashvili's accusations against Russia, calling
them the product of a "rich imagination" and reflective of
Saakashvili's incompetent leadership of Georgia. Work in
Russia is continuing to restore gas and electricity supplies
(septel),but a cooling of the rhetoric on both sides of this
dispute could enhance the chances for progress on this and
the other bilateral issues needing resolution. END SUMMARY.

Ivanov in Head-Shaking Mode
--------------


2. (C) Ambassador raised Georgia's concerns and the need to
restore the energy supply as soon as possible. Ivanov
responded in a bemused, dismissive tone. It could only be a
person with a "very rich imagination," he said, "who could
think Russia would blow up its own gas and electric
facilities on its own territory supposedly to harm Georgia,
when the supplies go also to Armenia -- and while Kocharyan
is in Moscow to meet with Putin on energy supplies and to
open the 'Year of Armenia' in Russia." The rashness and
implausibility of Saakashvili's accusations, Ivanov
continued, were all too representative of the Georgian
President's pattern of actions in office. Saakashvili
habitually violated commitments he had entered into (e.g.,
"all the commitments he made on Ajaria"),and could not be
regarded on as a reliable negotiating partner.


3. (C) Warming to his subject, Ivanov said it was not
entirely clear why Saakashvili had instantly accused the GOR
of sabotage when Russian gas and electric facilities were
blown up. Saakashvili was a "very emotional and
impressionable" person, and his reactions often depended on
those with whom he was speaking at any particular time.
Perhaps his statements in this case were simply
"spontaneous." He had been "unready" when he came to power,
and even with support and help from EU countries and the U.S.
he had shown himself to be unable to solve Georgia's
problems. Russia had agreed to withdraw its forces from its
bases in Georgia, for instance, but Saakashvili had not tried
to build on that positive step. On Abkhazia, Russia had
urged him to enter into discussions and negotiations with the
Abkhaz and to put forward proposals, but all Saakashvili
wanted to do was to blame all his problems on Russia.


4. (C) All in all, Ivanov repeated several times, it was
"too bad" that a country with Georgia's strategic importance
and possibilities had such inadequate leadership. In Armenia
and Azerbaijan there were also serious problems, but in those
countries there was at least some overall positive "vector of
movement," while in Georgia there was none.


5. (C) Ambassador again stressed the urgency and importance
of restoring gas and electricity to Georgia, and to cooling
the rhetoric on both sides. Ivanov said he agreed. Gazprom
had been instructed to move as fast as possible.

Comment
--------------


6. (C) Ivanov was on this occasion in a "more in incredulity
and bemusement than in anger" mode in dismissing
Saakashvili's accusations against Russia, but anger is at or
not far below the surface for many other Russian officials
dealing with Georgia. Work continues on restoring the gas
and electricity supplies to Georgia in difficult weather
conditions (septel). While Saakashvili has made clear (ref
B) that international pressure needs to brought on Russia as
an unreliable energy supplier, his public comments about
Russia are not calculated to elicit a positive reaction out
of Moscow on this or other issues. A cooling of the rhetoric
on both sides of the issue could enhance the chances for
progress on this and the other bilateral issues requiring
resolution.
BURNS