Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06MINSK261
2006-03-14 09:44:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Minsk
Cable title:  

Opposition and Police Face Off at Peaceful Rally

Tags:  PGOV PHUM BO 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO7825
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RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHSK #0261 0730944
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 140944Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY MINSK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3957
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 0933
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS MINSK 000261 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BO
SUBJECT: Opposition and Police Face Off at Peaceful Rally

Ref: Minsk 223

UNCLAS MINSK 000261

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BO
SUBJECT: Opposition and Police Face Off at Peaceful Rally

Ref: Minsk 223


1. Summary: On March 2 at 1800 opposition candidate Aleksandr
Milinkevich held an election rally in downtown Minsk. The rally
attracted an estimated 3,000 participants. Although the event was
peaceful and there were no arrests, security services prevented
anyone from entering the square where the rally was to have taken
place, and hundreds of riot police later prevented the crowd from
marching to their backup location. Authorities, including the
Central Election Commission (CEC),had stated this rally was
illegal and could result in Milinkevich losing his right to be a
candidate, although no announcement has been made on this yet. End
summary.


2. Opposition candidate Milinkevich held a campaign rally in
Freedom Square in Minsk at 1800 on March 2. Before the event the
authorities, including the CEC, announced this rally would be
considered an illegal mass gathering which could disqualify
Milinkevich as a presidential candidate. Security forces began to
cordon off the square and take positions throughout the area by
0900 that day. [Note: Another reason for the early security
presence was that President Lukashenko addressed the All Belarusian
Congress, located a block away, that afternoon.] Around 0900
security forces detained 15 to 30 (accounts differ) supporters of
opposition candidate Aleksandr Kozulin in the square. Security
forces then blocked all accesses to the square with metal fencing.


3. Poloff arrived at the square at 1730. Plainclothes security
forces were calmly preventing anyone from entering the square and a
neighboring street, but did allow people to gather on the sidewalk.
Plainclothes officers videotaped everyone gathering by the square.
Over the next hour the crowd grew to an estimated 3,000 people.
[Note: ODIHR observers guessed the crowds size to be 5,000, while
Milinkevich's deputy campaign manager claimed 10,000.] Not allowed
into the square, the crowd stretched along both sides of Lenin
Street. Authorities announced once over a loudspeaker that the
rally was illegal and the crowd should disperse, and several times
asked the crowd to stay out of the street for their own safety.
The crowd was calm. A few demonstrators raised nationalist flags,
blue denim emblems and Milinkevich banners, and at times they
chanted, "Milinkevich" and "Zhive [Long live] Belarus." Police
simply observed.


4. At about 1830 the crowd started to walk down Lenin Street. A
Belarusian Popular Front deputy told Poloff they were headed to the
backup rally point at the Palace of Sports. The crowd walked about
two blocks before being stopped by a double line of police in full
riot gear stretched across the road from building to building.
Police formed a phalanx with their shields, and the crowd did not
try to push past. SOBR (riot police) commander Colonel Dmitry
Pavlichenko was standing in front of the line. Milinkevich briefly
confronted Pavlichenko before leading the crowd into a nearby open
area. [Note: photos of the police response can be found at
http://www.charter97.org/rus/news/2006/03/02/ rep. Earlier in the
day Pavlichenko had personally assaulted Kozulin; reftel.]


5. Riot police quickly ran in and surrounded about 1,000 members of
the assembly, but appeared to take no further action. Milinkevich
and others briefly addressed the rally before departing by cab.
Police allowed the crowd to peacefully disperse.


6. Aleksey Janukevich, an organizer of the event for Milinkevich,
told Poloff on March 3 that Milinkevich's team considers the rally
to have been a success. They are very pleased at the large turn-
out (Janukevich estimated a little over 5,000 people),and that all
proceeded without any police provocations. Janukevich had no
reports of any violence or arrests. He added that Milinkevich is
starting another swing the regions on March 3 to build on this
momentum.


7. Comment: This event can be seen as a victory for both sides.
The authorities showed that they can prevent the opposition from
holding a rally on their terms, without resorting to violence or
arrests that would lead to international condemnation. The
opposition showed it can mobilize a crowd (the largest
demonstration in Belarus in several years) without repercussions
for the participants. If Milinkevich attempted another such rally
before the elections, he probably would be able to attract more
supporters.


KROL