Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06MINSK1056
2006-09-27 13:47:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Minsk
Cable title:  

REGIME TIGHTENING ELECTORAL CODE ON EVE OF LOCAL

Tags:  ECON PGOV PREF BO 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0000
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHSK #1056/01 2701347
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 271347Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY MINSK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5144
INFO RUEHKV/AMEMBASSY KIEV 3405
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 1284
C O N F I D E N T I A L MINSK 001056 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
DEPT ALSO FOR INR
KIEV ALSO FOR USAID

E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/25/2016
TAGS: ECON PGOV PREF BO
SUBJECT: REGIME TIGHTENING ELECTORAL CODE ON EVE OF LOCAL
ELECTIONS


Classified By: Ambassador Karen Stewart for Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

Summary
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L MINSK 001056

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
DEPT ALSO FOR INR
KIEV ALSO FOR USAID

E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/25/2016
TAGS: ECON PGOV PREF BO
SUBJECT: REGIME TIGHTENING ELECTORAL CODE ON EVE OF LOCAL
ELECTIONS


Classified By: Ambassador Karen Stewart for Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

Summary
--------------


1. (C) The Belarusian Parliament will review a bill of 60
amendments to the Electoral Code in early October, which if
passed, could have a noticeable impact on the process leading
up to municipal elections in January 2007. Most of the
changes will not be publicized until after signed into law by
Lukashenko. Others, such as limitations on election campaign
rallies to meet with voters, restrictions on election
observation, and elimination of second-round voting in local
elections, are being actively discussed in the press and
among the opposition. While the unified opposition continues
its efforts to contest the local elections, the proposed
changes to the Electoral Code will mainly serve to simplify
the authorities, falsification tactics and further exclude
the opposition and civil society groups from the election
process. End summary.


2. (C) On October 2, the Belarusian Parliament will
officially review a bill of 60 amendments to the Electoral
Code ahead of the local council elections. Human rights
defender Vladimir Labkovich told Poloff September 21 that the
Parliament was &encouraged8 to approve the amendments
immediately, likely by October 5, so that President
Lukashenko would be able to sign them into law before
announcing the official date for local elections that are
tentatively planned for January 14. Although details of the
amendments remain a mystery and are not published on the
government,s legal portal or in the state media, the
independent press has been successful in identifying a few
amendments under review.

Permit To Campaign
--------------


3. (SBU) The most controversial change in the Electoral Code
is the amendment to restrict candidates' ability to meet with
voters. According to the amendment, candidates who wish to
hold meetings outdoors must follow Belarusian law by applying
to the local authorities for permission 15 days in advance.


4. (C) Belarusian National Front deputy and head of the

United Democratic Force,s Secretariat Viktor Ivashkevich
claimed to Pol/Econ Chief September 15 that the requirement
would reduce local council candidates, time frame for
conducting an effective campaign. The Electoral Code allows
candidates to begin campaigning only one month before
Election Day, theoretically on December 14. Indoor venues
will refuse their facilities to opposition candidates, giving
them no other choice than to meet outside with voters. The
soonest permission will be granted is December 29, the
beginning of the holiday season and only two weeks before
Election Day.

Observer Status Changed
--------------


5. (C) Another controversial amendment requires election
observers, including those on election committees, to be
members of political parties, civil society organizations, or
trade unions/labor collectives rather than non-affiliated
representatives nominated by such organizations. Labkovich
explained that should this take effect, organizations like
the registered NGO Belarusian Helsinki Committee (BHC) or the
unregistered NGO Vyasna could not hire independent citizens
as election observers, limiting these organizations, ability
to monitor elections. (Note: The U.S. and German Embassies
will provide financial support for BHC,s local election
observation efforts, and the organization is already
developing alternative plans for recruiting short-term
election observers. End note.)


6. (C) According to Labkovich, the amendment would exclude
political parties from almost the entire election process.
Regional parties without registration will not be considered
a party and therefore unable to nominate members to sit on
election commissions. Registered political parties with few
members would not be able to nominate non-members to help
monitor all election committees and polling stations.
Labkovich noted that the only organizations with registered
legal structures and substantial membership at all levels
would be the pro-government trade unions and youth
organizations, organizations that the head of the Central

Election Committee (CEC) Lidiya Yermoshina &predicted8
would assume the brunt of election observation.


7. (C) Labkovich fears that the bill includes an amendment
preventing citizens from nominating independent local
election observers. According to Labkovich, should this
happen, the GOB would have succeeded in stripping citizens of
practically all their basic voting rights.

No Second Round Voting
--------------


8. (C) One amendment to the Electoral Code eliminates the
second round of voting for local council elections.
According to current legislation, candidates must receive
over half of the total votes in order to win a council seat.
If not, then the two candidates with the most votes compete
in a second voting round to determine the winner. The new
amendment determines the winner to be the one with the most
votes in the first round. CEC Head Yermoshina and her deputy
Nikolai Lozovik have repeatedly told reporters that the
purpose of the amendment is to cut the cost of local
elections and maintained that second-round voting would be
preserved in presidential and parliamentary elections.
Labkovich and Ivashkevich viewed the proposed amendment as
another mechanism to simplify and reduce the cost of
falsifications.


9. (C) Other proposed amendments include:

-- Eliminating the clause "one and the same person could be a
president not more than two terms" from the law on the
president of Belarus, thereby fully &legalizing8
Lukashenko,s third term.

-- Allowing the state media to cite polling data up to five
days before elections, not ten days as presently allowed.
Labkovich explained that this amendment &legally8 allows
the authorities to conduct its propaganda campaign closer to
Election Day.

Comment
--------------


10. (C) The proposed amendments will only exacerbate the
weaknesses the OSCE identified in Belarus, Electoral Code.
A few members of the National Assembly have publicly
expressed their concerns with the severity of the proposed
election code changes, but the rubberstamp &parliament8
will inevitably pass the amendments with little or no change.
Clearly, the amendments will further consolidate the
regime,s control over all aspects of the election process.
Stewart