Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06MANAMA891
2006-05-22 14:03:00
SECRET
Embassy Manama
Cable title:  

BAHRAINI POLITICAL SCENE PART I: GOVERNMENT

Tags:  PGOV PREL KDEM KMPI BA BILAT POL REFORM 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0001
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHMK #0891/01 1421403
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
O 221403Z MAY 06
FM AMEMBASSY MANAMA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4763
INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RHBVAKS/COMUSNAVCENT PRIORITY
S E C R E T MANAMA 000891 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/13/2016
TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM KMPI BA BILAT POL REFORM
SUBJECT: BAHRAINI POLITICAL SCENE PART I: GOVERNMENT
HARASSES DEMOCRACY ACTIVISTS AS ELECTIONS APPROACH

REF: A. MANAMA 0836

B. MANAMA 0765

C. MANAMA 0759

Classified by Ambassador William T. Monroe for reasons 1.4
(b) and (d).

-------
Summary
-------

S E C R E T MANAMA 000891

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/13/2016
TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM KMPI BA BILAT POL REFORM
SUBJECT: BAHRAINI POLITICAL SCENE PART I: GOVERNMENT
HARASSES DEMOCRACY ACTIVISTS AS ELECTIONS APPROACH

REF: A. MANAMA 0836

B. MANAMA 0765

C. MANAMA 0759

Classified by Ambassador William T. Monroe for reasons 1.4
(b) and (d).

--------------
Summary
--------------


1. (S) The forced departure of NDI's project director on May
12 is just one example of actions taken by elements within
the government and ruling family to exert increased control
over the political environment in the run-up to parliamentary
and municipal council elections later this year. According
to several senior Bahraini officials, the GOB wants NDI to
operate in the country under the leadership of a new
director. The government objected to the former director,
seeing him as too close and sympathetic to the opposition,
particularly Shia oppositionists. The Bahrain Transparency
Society, which worked closely with NDI on various
democracy-related activities and is a MEPI implementer, was
the object of a GOB investigation into alleged financial
improprieties and was forced to suspend its activities while
it reconstituted its board of directors. To preempt
requests, the Minister of Social Development announced that
Bahrain would not permit any election monitors, either
international or domestic. Although King Hamad continues to
steadfastly pronounce his support for Shia opposition society
participation in the elections as part of his personal reform
effort, in private conversations he has said that Bahrain's
Shia could not be trusted because of their ties to Iran and
NDI could not expect to come to Bahrain and push
American-style democracy. End Summary.


2. (C) The May 12 departure of National Democratic Institute
(NDI) program director Fawzi Guleid (reftels) is but one
manifestation of an apparent strategy by elements within the
ruling Al Khalifa family and government to attempt to control
the political scene and influence the results of the upcoming
parliamentary and municipal elections. According to
well-placed sources, there are those who advocate continued
reform and openness while others want to circle the wagons to

protect their authority against moves by oppositionists to
develop a power base within the elected lower house of
parliament. Part I of this two-part series looks at GOB
harassment of civil society groups supporting political
reform, and the press campaign against them. Part II
explores dynamics within the royal family as it reacts to the
political challenge posed by opposition participation in the
elections.

--------------
Bahrain Wants NDI, But Not Guleid
--------------


3. (C) Several Bahraini officials have told the Embassy that
the government wants NDI to work in the country, and they
hope NDI re-engages soon with the Bahrain Institute of
Political Development to conclude a memorandum of
understanding governing NDI's activities and status. MFA
Assistant Under Secretary Shaikh Abdul Aziz bin Mubarak Al
Khalifa told a visiting delegation led by PM A/S Hillen, and
EmbOffs separately, that the GOB objected to Guleid, not to
NDI. Shaikh Abdul Aziz told Pol/Econ Chief that Guleid, as a
naturalized American citizen of Somali origin, has an innate
antipathy toward the regimes of the Gulf, defining the
situation in terms of the haves and have-nots. According to
this argument, Guleid would naturally be drawn to
oppositionists, in particular the Shia, who contend that
although they represent the majority of Bahrain's citizens,
they face prejudice and discrimination. Shaikh Abdul Aziz
said that Bahrain would have no problem working with an NDI
director "with blonde hair and blue eyes," remarking that
such a person would not be accepted in the same way by the
opposition or have as much influence as Guleid. (Comment:
Any new director would not be as fully steeped in Bahrain's
political culture as Guleid is, and would not be as
immediately effective in promoting political participation at
this late stage in the election process.)


4. (C) NDI has been the object of a virulent press campaign
against it that peaked in the week following Guleid's May 12
departure. Newspapers and columnists opposed to NDI, in
particular the Sunni-dominated Al Watan and Akhbar Al
Khaleej, have launched ad hominem attacks on Guleid, NDI, and
the United States. (Other papers have taken more balanced or
even strongly supportive positions, such as Al Wasat and
columnist Sawsan Al Shaer of Al Watan.) A May 20 article in
Arabic daily Al Watan, which is alleged to have strong links
to the Royal Court, said that NDI and other "research and
intelligence institutions" lay the groundwork for a new kind
of international interference in countries called "colored
coups," a reference to the rose and orange revolutions of
Georgia and Ukraine. Columnist Hafedh Al Shaikh from Arabic
daily Akhbar Al Khaleej wrote on May 16 that he is pleased
NDI departed Bahrain because the institute had gone too far
in inciting various groups against each other and "playing a
dirty and destructive role with an imperialist flavor." Al
Watan accused NDI of "being controlled by Jewish leaders who
are known to have Zionist inclinations." Akhbar Al Khaleej
columnist Sayed Zahra wrote on May 14 that "NDI is nothing
more than a tool of U.S. sabotage and destruction and
interference in countries' domestic affairs."

--------------
Transparency Society Investigated
--------------


5. (C) Another organization to face GOB harassment is the
Bahrain Transparency Society (BTS),the local branch of
Transparency International headed by Jasim Al Ajmi. BTS has
received several MEPI grants and periodically co-hosted
conferences and workshops with NDI. Registered as an NGO
with the Ministry of Social Development (MSD),BTS is focused
on election monitoring and transparency in political
decision-making on issues such as funding election campaigns
and drawing electoral constituencies, sensitive issues in
Bahrain. BTS monitored elections for the board of the
Bahrain Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI) in early
2006, earning public praise for its work from Prime Minister
Shaikh Khalifa bin Salman Al Khalifa. It also monitored the
2002 parliamentary elections with the last-minute approval of
the government.


6. (C) Even before the BCCI elections, Minister of Social
Development Fatima Al Baloushi announced that BTS had
violated its own charter by deciding to reduce the number of
members of its board from nine to five without the approval
of her ministry, and ordered BTS to annul internal board
elections. She also stated that the ministry was
investigating alleged financial improprieties committed by
BTS. (Note: We later learned that the funds at the heart of
the investigation were from a MEPI small grant that, for
bureaucratic reasons, had not yet been transferred to BTS.
MSD apparently believed someone at BTS had stolen the money.)
Multiple investigations conducted by MSD auditors failed to
turn up any wrongdoing and Al Baloushi was eventually forced
to admit publicly that BTS's books were clean. In doing so,
however, she ordered the board disbanded, appointed an acting
chairman, and demanded that BTS conduct no activities until
it held new elections for the board. The society acted
promptly and within weeks a new nine-member board was elected
and Al Ajmi was again named chairman. The net result of this
drawn-out incident was the status-quo-ante, with only time
and energy wasted.

--------------
NDI, BTS, Agents of the USG?
--------------


7. (C) As an organization that is outspoken in its support
for political reform and openness, BTS has also fared poorly
in certain newspapers. On May 17, Al Watan wrote that NDI
"helped create, supported, and funded" BTS to use it as a
vehicle for its suspicious activities in the country. On May
13, Al Watan stated that the U.S. Embassy wanted BTS to
monitor Bahrain's elections. It continued, "If BTS monitored
the elections and Al Wifaq and Al Waad (Note: Two opposition
political societies) did not get a majority in the
parliament, would the Embassy ask BTS to describe the
elections results as tampered with?"


8. (C) BTS was the leading election monitor for the 2002
elections and MEPI awarded BTS a grant in anticipation of it
doing so again later this year. In an apparent attempt to
preempt requests, Minister Al Baloushi has said publicly that
Bahrain will not allow independent election observers, either
international or domestic. Her ministry has informed BTS and
the Bahrain Human Rights Society (BHRS) that they cannot
monitor elections because doing so is not among the groups'
stated goals in their articles of association. She said, "I
know that they monitored previous elections, but I wasn't in
charge then. Now that I'm in charge, I want to make sure
that everything is done by the book."

--------------
Election Monitoring To Proceed
--------------


9. (C) BTS Chair Al Ajmi told Pol/Econ Chief that his group
would monitor the elections with or without the government's
approval. He explained that 90 percent of the work of
monitoring is done well in advance of the elections and is
based on research on constituencies, voter registration,
candidates' access to the media, and other factors. He
expects election day to proceed smoothly, and will make the
argument to the government immediately prior to the elections
that allowing his staff to observe the polling stations will
enhance the credibility of the elections. BHRS Assistant
Secretary General Abdullah Al Durazi said publicly that his

SIPDIS
organization will monitor the elections even if it is not
allowed to see what is happening behind the scenes. "We will
still be at the polling booths, talking to voters and
observing what is happening as well as we can. Not having
anyone monitoring the elections will create doubt in people's
minds."

--------------
Embassy's "American Eyes" On Bahrain
--------------


10. (C) Al Watan newspaper has also directly attacked the
U.S. Embassy in Bahrain. In a provocative April 30 article
titled "American Eyes," Al Watan's political editor asks why
the Embassy "adopts the negative rhetoric of the opposition
bs8cY7zzIt also slammed the Press and Political FSNs at the Embassy,
questioning why these (unnamed) individuals provide such poor
guidance to American officers. Per septel, a source claims
that the political editor at Al Watan takes instructions from
the Royal Court.

--------------
King Weighs In On NDI
--------------


11. (S) The King has repeatedly called for the participation
of all of Bahrain's citizens in elections, and following Al
Wifaq's decision to take part, he instructed the Minister of
the Royal Court to pass along his personal message of
congratulations to Al Wifaq Secretary General Shaikh Ali
Salman. However, when former U.S. Ambassador to Bahrain
Johnny Young (strictly protect) met with the King during a
late March - early April private visit to Bahrain, the King
said he could not trust Bahrain's Shia as full and equal
partners in the political process because their ties to Iran
were too strong. The British Ambassador to Bahrain (strictly
protect) told the Ambassador that the King had told a
visiting UK Minister of State that it was fine if NDI worked
under the auspices of the Bahrain Institute for Political
Development, but it could not expect to come to Bahrain and
unrestrictedly push American-style democracy.

--------------
Comment
--------------


12. (C) The King is faced with a dilemma. He believes in
reform and has expended political capital to promote policies
in favor of openness and compliance with international norms.
He is, however, worried about the consequences of widespread
participation by the opposition in the elections and the
prospect of a large opposition bloc inside the lower house of
parliament. In the context of Iran's aggressive regional
policies and Shia empowerment and sectarian strife in Iraq,
elements within the ruling family and government, sometimes
using closely allied newspapers, have taken steps to
undermine the credibility of the opposition. U.S. advocacy
for greater democratization in the region is interpreted by
some in Bahrain to mean promoting the opposition at the
expense of the government. This perception has resulted in
the Embassy and civil society groups linked to the USG
through programming or shared policy objectives to also
become targets of criticism.

MONROE