Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06LAGOS333
2006-03-06 18:05:00
SECRET//NOFORN
Consulate Lagos
Cable title:
NIGERIA: HOSTAGE-TAKING, SITREP # 17
how-toVZCZCXRO9706 OO RUEHPA DE RUEHOS #0333/01 0651805 ZNY SSSSS ZZH O 061805Z MAR 06 FM AMCONSUL LAGOS TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 6726 INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE RUEHUJA/AMEMBASSY ABUJA IMMEDIATE 6992 RUEHBK/AMEMBASSY BANGKOK IMMEDIATE 0086 RUEHEG/AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE 0134 RUEHDK/AMEMBASSY DAKAR IMMEDIATE 0697 RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE 0577 RUEHML/AMEMBASSY MANILA IMMEDIATE 0108 RUEPGDA/USEUCOM JIC VAIHINGEN GE IMMEDIATE RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC IMMEDIATE RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC IMMEDIATE RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 000333
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
STATE PASS DOE FOR DAS JBRODMAN AND CGAY
TREASURY FOR ASEVERENS AND SRENENDER
COMMERCE FOR KBURRESS
STATE PASS TRANSPORTATION FOR MARAD
STATE PASS USAID FOR GWEYNAND AND SLAWAETZ
STATE FOR DS/IP/AF, AF/EX, DS/IP/OPO, DS/ICI/PII, DS/DSS/ITA
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/05/2016
TAGS: EPET PGOV ASEC PTER KHLS PINR ETRD CASC NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: HOSTAGE-TAKING, SITREP # 17
REF: LAGOS 327
Classified By: Acting Political/Economic Chief Shannon Ross
for reasons 1.4 (D/E).
----------------------
Hostage Welfare Update
----------------------
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 000333
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
STATE PASS DOE FOR DAS JBRODMAN AND CGAY
TREASURY FOR ASEVERENS AND SRENENDER
COMMERCE FOR KBURRESS
STATE PASS TRANSPORTATION FOR MARAD
STATE PASS USAID FOR GWEYNAND AND SLAWAETZ
STATE FOR DS/IP/AF, AF/EX, DS/IP/OPO, DS/ICI/PII, DS/DSS/ITA
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/05/2016
TAGS: EPET PGOV ASEC PTER KHLS PINR ETRD CASC NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: HOSTAGE-TAKING, SITREP # 17
REF: LAGOS 327
Classified By: Acting Political/Economic Chief Shannon Ross
for reasons 1.4 (D/E).
--------------
Hostage Welfare Update
--------------
1. (C) There has been no additional confirmed information
about the condition of the remaining hostages. Delta State
Governor Ibori is obtaining new photographs to demonstrate
proof of life.
--------------
Hostage Negotiations
--------------
2. (S/NF) Delta State Governor Ibori told British Deputy High
Commissioner (DHC) the three remaining hostages would be
released in the next few days and that the hostage-takers had
reduced their demands to the federal government. He said the
hostage takers' demands had strong political overtones. For
further update on these demands see TD 314/15773-06 dated 4
March.
3. (C) DHC and other sources do not believe Ibori is in
direct contact with the top echelon of the hostage-takers.
Regarding demands for hostage release, Ibori told DHC the
long-term developmental demands are problematic because he
does not believe the Delta State government has sufficient
funds to carry out needed projects. On the larger political
demands, he said the President would have to address them,
but that he would send the President a list of individuals
for inclusion on a future hostage release negotiation
committee.
--------------
Energy Update: Shell Facilities Still Closed
--------------
4. (C) There is no change in the status of damaged or closed
Shell facilities, and production remains reduced
approximately 550,000 bpd. Shell reported it is still unable
to assess damage to the Forcados crude loading platform.
Shell reported the Agge and Agoro manifolds on the TransRamos
pipeline were attacked on Saturday, March 4, but production
remains unaffected because the pipeline had been closed due
to an earlier attack. Power generation remains down by
approximately 1000 MW (of a total of 3200 MW nationwide).
5. (C) A Shell representative told Econoff the Movement for
the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) is expanding
recruitment efforts in Soku and Bonny Island, Rivers State.
--------------
Military Update
--------------
6. (S) Military sources told us the Nigerian military will
not expand operations or provoke any further violence in the
region until the hostages are released. They appeared
confident that the hostages would be released within the next
few days.
--------------
Media Update
--------------
7. (SBU) Media reports were dominated by accounts of MEND's
LAGOS 00000333 002 OF 002
threats to reduce the country's oil production by an
additional one million bpd during March in a campaign styled
"Operation Oiled Venom". This Day reported a MEND email
stating "there will be inland operations in March as well as
standard creek attacks". Some media accounts indicate MEND
will expand operations east. Vanguard featured Federated
Niger Delta Ijaw Communities (FNDIC) President Bello Oboko
stating he would not return to the creeks for the remaining
three hostages unless he received a firm commitment by the
federal government to discuss broader political and economic
demands made by the militants. Oboko complained in the press
that the negotiating committee did not have sufficient
negotiating authority to address any of the militant's
demands. One leading daily reported that AmCit hostages are
ill. Another highlighted the decline in national power
availability.
--------------
Consular Update
--------------
8. (C) There have been no reports of additional attacks on
AmCits. One mission Conoff and FEST member are in Warri
monitoring negotiations and prepared to assist with
repatriation.
--------------
Comment
--------------
9. (C) This weekend's renewed threats have clearly made Shell
and other major energy firms nervous. Unfortunately, MEND
generally has a good track record of hitting its numerical
targets for reducing Nigerian oil production, even if it does
so later rather than sooner. In our assessment, MEND has
demonstrated the operational capability to meet its new
target as well. While the latest threats have not been
specifically confirmed as originating with MEND, the group
has a well-established track record of disseminating its
threats via the media. If MEND moves its operations
eastwards in the Niger Delta to target Shell on-shore and
near-shore operations in Rivers State, and large oil export
and liquefied natural gas facilities on Bonny Island, it
could find its latest target within comfortable reach. End
comment.
HOWE
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
STATE PASS DOE FOR DAS JBRODMAN AND CGAY
TREASURY FOR ASEVERENS AND SRENENDER
COMMERCE FOR KBURRESS
STATE PASS TRANSPORTATION FOR MARAD
STATE PASS USAID FOR GWEYNAND AND SLAWAETZ
STATE FOR DS/IP/AF, AF/EX, DS/IP/OPO, DS/ICI/PII, DS/DSS/ITA
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/05/2016
TAGS: EPET PGOV ASEC PTER KHLS PINR ETRD CASC NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: HOSTAGE-TAKING, SITREP # 17
REF: LAGOS 327
Classified By: Acting Political/Economic Chief Shannon Ross
for reasons 1.4 (D/E).
--------------
Hostage Welfare Update
--------------
1. (C) There has been no additional confirmed information
about the condition of the remaining hostages. Delta State
Governor Ibori is obtaining new photographs to demonstrate
proof of life.
--------------
Hostage Negotiations
--------------
2. (S/NF) Delta State Governor Ibori told British Deputy High
Commissioner (DHC) the three remaining hostages would be
released in the next few days and that the hostage-takers had
reduced their demands to the federal government. He said the
hostage takers' demands had strong political overtones. For
further update on these demands see TD 314/15773-06 dated 4
March.
3. (C) DHC and other sources do not believe Ibori is in
direct contact with the top echelon of the hostage-takers.
Regarding demands for hostage release, Ibori told DHC the
long-term developmental demands are problematic because he
does not believe the Delta State government has sufficient
funds to carry out needed projects. On the larger political
demands, he said the President would have to address them,
but that he would send the President a list of individuals
for inclusion on a future hostage release negotiation
committee.
--------------
Energy Update: Shell Facilities Still Closed
--------------
4. (C) There is no change in the status of damaged or closed
Shell facilities, and production remains reduced
approximately 550,000 bpd. Shell reported it is still unable
to assess damage to the Forcados crude loading platform.
Shell reported the Agge and Agoro manifolds on the TransRamos
pipeline were attacked on Saturday, March 4, but production
remains unaffected because the pipeline had been closed due
to an earlier attack. Power generation remains down by
approximately 1000 MW (of a total of 3200 MW nationwide).
5. (C) A Shell representative told Econoff the Movement for
the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) is expanding
recruitment efforts in Soku and Bonny Island, Rivers State.
--------------
Military Update
--------------
6. (S) Military sources told us the Nigerian military will
not expand operations or provoke any further violence in the
region until the hostages are released. They appeared
confident that the hostages would be released within the next
few days.
--------------
Media Update
--------------
7. (SBU) Media reports were dominated by accounts of MEND's
LAGOS 00000333 002 OF 002
threats to reduce the country's oil production by an
additional one million bpd during March in a campaign styled
"Operation Oiled Venom". This Day reported a MEND email
stating "there will be inland operations in March as well as
standard creek attacks". Some media accounts indicate MEND
will expand operations east. Vanguard featured Federated
Niger Delta Ijaw Communities (FNDIC) President Bello Oboko
stating he would not return to the creeks for the remaining
three hostages unless he received a firm commitment by the
federal government to discuss broader political and economic
demands made by the militants. Oboko complained in the press
that the negotiating committee did not have sufficient
negotiating authority to address any of the militant's
demands. One leading daily reported that AmCit hostages are
ill. Another highlighted the decline in national power
availability.
--------------
Consular Update
--------------
8. (C) There have been no reports of additional attacks on
AmCits. One mission Conoff and FEST member are in Warri
monitoring negotiations and prepared to assist with
repatriation.
--------------
Comment
--------------
9. (C) This weekend's renewed threats have clearly made Shell
and other major energy firms nervous. Unfortunately, MEND
generally has a good track record of hitting its numerical
targets for reducing Nigerian oil production, even if it does
so later rather than sooner. In our assessment, MEND has
demonstrated the operational capability to meet its new
target as well. While the latest threats have not been
specifically confirmed as originating with MEND, the group
has a well-established track record of disseminating its
threats via the media. If MEND moves its operations
eastwards in the Niger Delta to target Shell on-shore and
near-shore operations in Rivers State, and large oil export
and liquefied natural gas facilities on Bonny Island, it
could find its latest target within comfortable reach. End
comment.
HOWE