Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06KIEV2462
2006-06-22 17:42:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Kyiv
Cable title:  

UKRAINE: SPURNED REGIONS VOWS TO "PAINT FENCES"

Tags:  PGOV PINR SOCI UP 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO7763
OO RUEHDBU
DE RUEHKV #2462/01 1731742
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 221742Z JUN 06
FM AMEMBASSY KIEV
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0110
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KIEV 002462 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/22/2016
TAGS: PGOV PINR SOCI UP
SUBJECT: UKRAINE: SPURNED REGIONS VOWS TO "PAINT FENCES"
WITH TYMOSHENKO'S BLOOD

REF: A. KIEV 2316


B. KIEV 2461

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires a.i., for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

Summary and Comment
--------------------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KIEV 002462

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/22/2016
TAGS: PGOV PINR SOCI UP
SUBJECT: UKRAINE: SPURNED REGIONS VOWS TO "PAINT FENCES"
WITH TYMOSHENKO'S BLOOD

REF: A. KIEV 2316


B. KIEV 2461

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires a.i., for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

Summary and Comment
--------------


1. (C) Following the June 22 formation of parliamentary
majority of the Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT),Our Ukraine (OU),and
the Socialists, the direction of the spurned Party of Regions
was being taken over by party "radicals," according to
moderate Regions deputy leader Volodymyr Makeyenko.
Bombastic MPs like Yevhen Kushnaryov and Valentyn Landyk were
now in the ascendancy, lamented Makeyenko. At an impromptu
Regions caucus following the coalition announcement,
Kushnaryov had told the assembled MPs that Regions would do
everything it could to "destroy Tymoshenko and her cabinet."
Kushnaryov predicted that the new coalition would only last
until September and boasted that Regions would "paint fences"
with Tymoshenko's "blood and guts." Earlier on June 22,
Regions MPs had expressed confidence that there would be no
Orange Coalition formed and that they would then take control
of the government formation process. Tymoshenko and BYuT
contacts had alleged to us for weeks that Regions had
attempted to buy an undetermined number of Orange MPs to
create their own effective majority. The potential turncoats
were clearly not as firmly in Regions' pockets as they had
believed. A downbeat Makeyenko, who told us he and other
moderates had been embarrassed by Kushnaryov's antics during
the recent Sea Breeze protests in Crimea (ref A),predicted
that Regions would now beat the "federalism" and "Russian
language" drums harder than ever. He added that Regions had
already fired its first shot at Tymoshenko, voting at the
caucus to authorize the Regions-controlled oblast councils in
Luhansk and Donetsk to withhold tax payments to the central
government.


2. (C) Comment: Makeyenko may be painting too extreme a
picture of shifting dynamics inside Regions. He has admitted
to us in the past that "Donetsk" really does run Regions.
Kharkiv-based Kushnaryov and Luhansk-based Yefremov won't
ultimately call the shots; Party financier Akhmetov and his

Donetsk associates will. At the close of the June 22 Rada
session, deputy BYuT leader Oleksandr Turchynov extended an
olive branch to Regions and called for dialogue over
government/rada positions (ref B). Still, Regions is licking
its wounds in the aftermath of a development -- creation of
the BYuT-OU-SPU parliamentary majority -- they apparently
genuinely believed would never coalesce. End summary and
comment.

Regions: Party Radicals Now In Charge?
--------------


3. (C) Party of Regions MP and deputy leader Volodymyr
Makeyenko, one of the party's more moderate voices and a
longtime embassy contact, privately gave us a readout on an
impromptu Regions caucus held during a 90 minute break
following the June 22 announcement of the formation of an
Orange coalition (ref B). The "radicals" within the party
were now in charge, Makeyenko claimed, specifying that
bombastic MPs Yevhen Kushnaryov, Valentyn Landyk, and, to a
lesser extent, Oleksandr Yefremov were moving into the
ascendency.

"Paint Fences" With Tymoshenko's Blood
--------------


4. (C) During the caucus, which was attended by Regions'
financier Rinat Akhmetov, Makeyenko related that Kushnaryov
had fired up the Regions troops, still smarting from Yuliya
Tymoshenko's rhetorical whipping during the morning and the
confirmation of the formation of a parliamentary majority by
a "Coalition of Democratic Forces," by declaring that the
party would do everything it could to "destroy Tymoshenko and
her cabinet." The acerbic Kushnaryov told the assembled MPs
that Tymoshenko "resents us, hates us and will not give us
anything" in the new coalition government. Using a Russian
idiom, Kushnaryov vowed that, in return, Regions would "paint
fences" with Tymoshenko's "blood and guts." Additionally,
Kushnaryov predicted that the "Coalition of Democratic
Forces" would only last until September.

Behind The Fury: Regions Scorned and Duped?
--------------


5. (C) The intensity of the outrage may stem from Regions'
sense that it had been double-crossed. Tymoshenko Bloc MP
and foreign policy guru Hryhoriy Nemyria asserted to Charge
on June 22 that Regions had, prior to the start of the day's

KIEV 00002462 002 OF 002


Rada session, bribed an undetermined number of Orange MPs,
who reportedly had signed statements in support of Regions.
According to Nemyria, Regions leaders had been mistakenly
confident that these potential turncoats were firmly "in
their pocket" and available to help block the Orange
coalition formation and/or elect Regions leader Viktor
Yanukovych as the new Rada Speaker.


6. (C) BYuT has asserted for weeks that Regions was
attempting to buy Orange MPs. Regions MPs were busy working
the halls before the start of the June 22 session hinting to
us that Regions had a "surprise" in store and that no orange
coalition would form. On his way to the Regions caucus
following the announcement of the formation of the
parliamentary majority, an agitated Akhmetov told a small
group of reporters and diplomats that he was "certain" that
there were not enough valid signatures on the coalition
agreement. After the announcement that Rada Secretariat had
in fact verified 239 valid signatures on the agreement (ref
B),an exasperated Kushnaryov unsuccessfully called for each
of the 239 MPs to stand and publicly acknowledge that they
had signed the document.

What It May Mean: Center-province showdown in the offing?
-------------- --------------


7. (C) A dejected Makeyenko, who previously told us he and
other moderates had been embarrassed by the antics of
Kushnaryov and other radicals during the recent Sea Breeze
protests in Crimea (ref A),predicted that Regions would
respond by beating the "federalism" and
"Russian-as-second-State-language" drums harder than ever.
Makeyenko added that the caucus fired the first shot in its
"total war" on Tymoshenko by authorizing the
Regions-controlled oblast councils in Donetsk and Luhansk to
begin withholding tax revenue from the central government.
Gwaltney