Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06HALIFAX90
2006-05-05 19:21:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Halifax
Cable title:  

NOVA SCOTIA GOVERNMENT AIDS PULP AND PAPER COMPANY ON EVE OF

Tags:  ECON ETRD EAGR ELAB PGOV CA 
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VZCZCXRO5844
RR RUEHGA RUEHQU RUEHVC
DE RUEHHA #0090 1251921
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 051921Z MAY 06
FM AMCONSUL HALIFAX
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0998
RUEHOT/AMEMBASSY OTTAWA 0357
INFO RUCNCAN/ALL CANADIAN POSTS COLLECTIVE
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC 0014
RUEHHA/AMCONSUL HALIFAX 1062
UNCLAS HALIFAX 000090 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD EAGR ELAB PGOV CA
SUBJECT: NOVA SCOTIA GOVERNMENT AIDS PULP AND PAPER COMPANY ON EVE OF
ELECTION CALL

REF: OTTAWA 0172

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED -- PROTECT ACCORDINGLY

UNCLAS HALIFAX 000090

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD EAGR ELAB PGOV CA
SUBJECT: NOVA SCOTIA GOVERNMENT AIDS PULP AND PAPER COMPANY ON EVE OF
ELECTION CALL

REF: OTTAWA 0172

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED -- PROTECT ACCORDINGLY


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Conservative Premier Rodney MacDonald of
Nova Scotia is calculating that his government's C$65 million
offer of assistance to an ailing paper exporter to the United
States will pass the subsidy test. However, this cash infusion
could be only the first step in providing additional aid to any
large industry in the province, one of the expected planks in
the Premier's upcoming election platform. END SUMMARY


2. (U) The government of Nova Scotia may have raised some
eyebrows with its announcement on May 3 that it would offer C$65
million (US$ 58 million) to a troubled paper mill in the
province's economically depressed Cape Breton region. Stora
Enso, the giant Swedish-Finnish paper producer, owns and
operates the mill in Port Hawkesbury, part of its North American
network of plants. The Port Hawkesbury operation produces an
estimated C$50 million of newsprint and catalogue paper for
export to the U.S. market and has supported 650 direct and
approximately 2,400 spin-off jobs since it began operation in

1961. However, like other pulp and paper mills in North
America, Stora has been hard-hit by increasing operating costs
and heightened global competition (reftel).


3. (U) In 2005, company officials warned that the mill's
competitive position had eroded to the point that unless the
province stepped in to help the operation, Stora would have to
consider closing the plant permanently. The plant is currently
idle, the result of a lockout of employees which began in
January after the union rejected the company's final contract
offer, which featured some hefty concessions by the workers.
The shutdown of the mill has already had a significant impact on
the southern Cape Breton economy, leading residents and local
politicians to mount a high-pressure campaign for the MacDonald
government to respond favorably to Stora's demands.


4. (SBU) For Nova Scotia Premier Rodney MacDonald, who is
widely predicted to call an election within days, there seemed
to be little political choice but to help the ailing mill. The
deal as announced on May 3 provides Stora with C$65 million in
C$10 million increments payable after each 12 months of full
production, with a C$5million "bonus" at the end. It also
requires Stora to work out a new contract with the workforce to
get the plant up and running. In return for the cash, Stora
will release the province from all contractual obligations to
provide access to provincially owned land, including a
commitment to provide 200,000 acres of forest by 2013. Economic
analysts had warned the government previously to be cautious in
how it structured any assistance to Stora to ward off subsidy
allegations, and it appears the government's reasoning is that
the cash for land swap takes care of that. However, there could
be more aid to come and more subsidy tests down the road.
Analysts see Stora asking for even more from the government and
they predict similar moves by Stora's competitors and other
large industries which are already lining up for taxpayer
assistance.


5. (SBU) COMMENT: Given the current political climate in Nova
Scotia and the expected election call, it is not too difficult
to see why the Premier took the plunge and came up with the deal
for Stora. Port Hawkesbury is near his home district and
furthermore, his Conservative party has always relied heavily on
the rural vote throughout the province. Given those
circumstances, it will be interesting to see just how much
emphasis there will be on assistance to Stora and other
industries in the province when the Premier unveils his budget
next week. After all, that document is considered to be the
springboard for the Premier's election call so there should be
lots of initiatives meant to please interest groups of all
stripes. END COMMENT

HILL