Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06DUSHANBE776
2006-04-26 09:57:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Dushanbe
Cable title:  

INDIA LOOKS TO REVIVE SILK ROAD HERITAGE, NOT GREAT GAME

Tags:  PREL MARR MASS ECON ETRD TI 
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P R 260957Z APR 06
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TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7338
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RUEHAH/AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT 0326
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 000776 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

SCA/CEN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL MARR MASS ECON ETRD TI
SUBJECT: INDIA LOOKS TO REVIVE SILK ROAD HERITAGE, NOT GREAT GAME


DUSHANBE 00000776 001.2 OF 002


This message is sensitive but unclassified, handle accordingly.

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 000776

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

SCA/CEN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL MARR MASS ECON ETRD TI
SUBJECT: INDIA LOOKS TO REVIVE SILK ROAD HERITAGE, NOT GREAT GAME


DUSHANBE 00000776 001.2 OF 002


This message is sensitive but unclassified, handle accordingly.


1. (SBU) In an April 26 meeting with U.S. DCM, Indian Deputy
Chief of Mission Govinda Khampa took great pains to explain
India's priorities in Tajikistan. Far from extending India's
"strategic reach," the repair of the Ayni Airfield outside of
Dushanbe is part of India's Technical Economic Cooperation
Program. When completed, the airfield will be Tajikistan's to
use as it sees fit. India had contracted with a local firm to
repair the airfield, which had been out of service since the
1980s, but the contractor "completely failed" to complete the
contract. India then brought in 50-60 semi-skilled laborers
from the Border Roads Organization (BRO),an Indian civilian
government agency, to complete the repairs.

NO MIGS, NO AVIATION TRAINING


2. (SBU) When asked about a Russian headline in "Nezavisimaya
Gazeta," "Delhi Pushing Moscow Out," Khampa claimed "No, no, no,
Moscow has nothing to do with it." Despite several media
reports claiming that India will station up to two squadrons of
MiG-29s, establish a long-term presence, and provide military
training for Tajiks once the airfield is complete, Khampa
alternated between, "Those reports are speculation," and "We
have no information on that." He said India does not intend to
"own" the airbase, and India's assistance is not part of a new
"geopolitical move." There is no firm date for completion of
the project. India would not answer individual questions on
press reports about Ayni, Khampa said, because that would "get
messy." Tajik Ministry of Foreign Affairs officials have also
refused to comment publicly. Foreign Ministry Spokesman
Sattarov said he could neither confirm nor deny the reports, and
he advised caution in handling the story. Whatever India's
motivation, it is clearly not an issue that the Indian Embassy
wants in the press.

INDIA IS NOT BANKING ON TAJIK POWER, EITHER


3. (SBU) Khampa also downplayed India's expectations for
hydropower from Tajikistan in the short term. He said there are

no Indian energy investments, no government-to-government
agreements, and Indian business overall with Tajikistan is
"negligible." He questioned Tajikistan's ability to export
energy, given the wintertime energy shortages, even in the
capital. There were once weekly flights to Delhi from Dushanbe,
that Khampa hopes will be revived, but there are no immediate
plans for them.

BUT, CULTURAL TIES ARE BOOMING


4. (SBU) India's real investment in Tajikistan is cultural and
educational. Khampa recalled the close cultural ties that date
back to the ancient Silk Road trading links. He said in
Northern India one can still find ancient Tajik (Samarkand and
Bukhara) rugs and many Hindi words are Persian (Tajiki) in
origin. The Monguls ruled Northern India and Tajikistan for
hundreds of years. Khampa's own ethnic heritage is Mongolian.
The Indian Embassy's Cultural Center is one of the most active
in Dushanbe. April 26, for example, the Embassy hosts a display
of Tajik art. Hindi dance classes are free, and 250 Tajiks are
learning Hindi, because, according to Khampa, Tajik youth are

DUSHANBE 00000776 002.2 OF 002


"crazy" about Bollywood movies.


5. (SBU) India sends 50 Tajiks a year, cost-free, to various
Indian cities to learn skills like information technology,
entrepreneurship, accounting, fingerprinting, and English.
Several Tajik diplomats have been to India for diplomatic
tradecraft courses, and India has a few masters- degree
scholarships for Tajiks.


6. (SBU) COMMENT: Aside from some shuttle and suitcase
traders, India has very few economic links with Tajikistan.
India does not send observers to Tajik elections, has no border
security or counternarcotics programs, and does not provide
humanitarian assistance. Given the few avenues into Tajiki
political and economic life, the speculation that India is
making a major strategic move in Central Asia through
refurbishment of the Ayni airfield may be a stretch. At least
from the political side, the Indian Embassy maintains that India
has no hidden agenda in Tajikistan. However, the Indian Prime
Minister is visiting neighboring Uzbekistan, and the Indians
certainly have the goodwill and cultural and educational ties to
build a more dynamic relationship with Tajikistan and the rest
of the former Silk Road world. It will take more time to learn
India's real intentions for Ayni. We would welcome any insight
and information from New Delhi.


7. (SBU) COMMENT CONTINUED: We have been somewhat bemused by
the Russian press reaction to the assertion that India will
station MiG-29s at Ayni. While "Nezavisimaya Gazeta" bleats
"Delhi Pushing Moscow Out," other pundits are salivating at the
growth of the old Primakov idea of a Russia-China-India axis to
stand up to the United States in Asia. END COMMENT.
HOAGLAND