Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06DAMASCUS1261
2006-03-22 10:50:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Damascus
Cable title:  

SARG TRUMPETS BURGEONING ECONOMIC TIES WITH RUSSIA

Tags:  ECON EINV ETTC SY 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO7807
OO RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHKUK RUEHMOS
DE RUEHDM #1261/01 0811050
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 221050Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7845
INFO RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW IMMEDIATE 0731
RUEHTV/AMEMBASSY TEL AVIV IMMEDIATE 0849
RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC IMMEDIATE
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 DAMASCUS 001261 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NEA/ELA
NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/SINGH
TREASURY FOR GLASER/LEBENSON
EB/ESC/TFS FOR SALOOM

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/21/2016
TAGS: ECON EINV ETTC SY
SUBJECT: SARG TRUMPETS BURGEONING ECONOMIC TIES WITH RUSSIA

REF: 05 DAMASCUS 6015

Classified By: CDA Stephen Seche for reasons 1.5 b/d.

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 DAMASCUS 001261

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NEA/ELA
NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/SINGH
TREASURY FOR GLASER/LEBENSON
EB/ESC/TFS FOR SALOOM

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/21/2016
TAGS: ECON EINV ETTC SY
SUBJECT: SARG TRUMPETS BURGEONING ECONOMIC TIES WITH RUSSIA

REF: 05 DAMASCUS 6015

Classified By: CDA Stephen Seche for reasons 1.5 b/d.


1. (C) Summary. The recent meeting of the Russian-Syrian
joint ministerial committee is one in a series of recent
events ostensibly reflecting the increasing economic activity
between the two countries. Though Syria remains a difficult
place for anyone to do business, the Russians are reportedly
being offered potentially lucrative contracts to entice new
interest, especially in the oil and gas sector. Our Russian
counterparts tell us, however, that their country's economic
interests in Syria are much less than the SARG tries to make
them appear and there is very little possibility they will
increase anytime soon. End summary.


2. (U) The fourth annual meeting of the Syria-Russia joint
ministerial committee was held in Moscow on March 14-16,
according to local press reports and Russian diplomats. The
SARG was represented by Minister of Economy and Trade, Amer
Hosni Lutfi. Syrian press reported that a number of specific
agreements were concluded during the meeting, including a
lowering of the Russian customs tariffs on Syrian-origin
goods by 25 percent. Also a standards and specifications
agreement was reportedly concluded that will make it easier
for Russian companies to compete for SARG tenders. The
Syrian press quoted Lutfi as pointing to the increasing trade
volume between the two countries as just one manifestation of
the strength of the bilateral economic relationship. (Note.
Russia is currently Syria,s number three trading partner,
behind Ukraine and China. According to Lutfi, trade between
Russia and Syria increased by USD 120 million in 2005
compared to 2004. End note.) The state-controlled Syrian
press quoted Lutfi,s counterpart, Igor Ivanov, as affirming
that the GOR will continue to support and conclude agreements
with Syria &no matter the pressures put on the country or
the region.8


3. (C) Alexey Erkhov, DCM at the Russian Embassy, gave us a
very different readout of the meeting. According to Erkhov,
no agreements of significance were concluded. He dismissed
the reports of his government granting Syria a 25 percent
reduction in customs tariffs as lacking a basis in Russian
law. Erkhov insisted that he expected no more to come of the
meeting than had come of the three previous ) vague public
statements of mutual support, a photo op for the Syrians, and
then a complete lack of follow-up by either side. Erkhov
opined that the unproductive nature of the annual meeting
would not change until the underlying business interest,
which Erkhov described on the Russian side as being lukewarm
at best, increased.


4. (C) Despite Erkhov,s gloomy forecast, there has been a
steady stream of announcements of new Russian business
initiatives over the last six months: a USD 2.7 billion oil
refinery and petrochemical complex, a 324 kilometer gas
pipeline, a USD 210 million gas processing plant, a USD 80
million tourism project on the coast, a production sharing
contract with Tatneft for a new oil exploration block, and an
unnamed Russian company winning a tender to expand two
electricity plants ) a tender area previously dominated by
Japan,s Mitsubishi company. The highest profile
announcement has been Russian Stroytransgas signing in
December contracts to build the first Syrian portion of the
Arab gas pipeline for USD 160 million, and on the same day,
the tender to build the gas processing plant. Erkhov also
dismisses these initiatives as more reflective of the SARG,s
strong desire to increase Russia,s economic interests in
Syria than indicative of any increased Russsian business
interest in the country, a point that was echoed and resented
by those that bid against Stoytransgas for the project
(reftel).


5. (C) Comment. Unstated but implicit in Erkhov,s comments
is the SARG'S hope that Russia,s opposition to any United
Nations measures against Syria will rise proportionally with
its economic interests here. Erkhov counters this implicit
point by insisting that Russia,s economic interests here
have been, and will continue to be, less than compelling.
The actual numbers seem to bear him out ) USD 460 million in
bilateral trade in '05, according to Lutfi. Still Erkhov,s

DAMASCUS 00001261 002 OF 002


point begs the question, if Russia,s economic interests in
Syria are so small, why do they dignify them with ministerial
committees and high-level advocacy?
SECHE