Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06BELGRADE489
2006-03-28 15:13:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Belgrade
Cable title:  

MONTENEGRIN INDEPEDENCE REFERENDUM: VOTE BUYING

Tags:  PGOV PREL MW SR 
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DE RUEHBW #0489/01 0871513
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R 281513Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BELGRADE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8265
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BELGRADE 000489 

SIPDIS

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SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL MW SR
SUBJECT: MONTENEGRIN INDEPEDENCE REFERENDUM: VOTE BUYING
ALLEGED, BLOCS SOLIDIFY

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED - PLEASE HANDLE ACCORDINGLY

Ref: Belgrade 427

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BELGRADE 000489

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL MW SR
SUBJECT: MONTENEGRIN INDEPEDENCE REFERENDUM: VOTE BUYING
ALLEGED, BLOCS SOLIDIFY

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED - PLEASE HANDLE ACCORDINGLY

Ref: Belgrade 427


1. (SBU) Summary: A video purportedly showing DPS (pro-
Independence) activists attempting to buy the vote of a
pro-Union voter received wide coverage, in Montenegro and
Serbia, on March 24. Both blocs have accused the other of
being behind the video. The parties have formalized their
blocs, a prerequisite to splitting Euros 2 million in state
funding for the campaign. After a slow and discouraging
start, more Serbian media outlets (including Radio-
Television Serbia) have signed the voluntary media code of
conduct for the referendum. The USG-supported local NGO CDT
has called on parties to reduce the possibility for a tense
campaign. Ambassador Polt met EU Envoy Lajcak March 24
(septel). End summary.

Votes, Lies, and Videotape
--------------


2. (U) On March 23 and 24, Montenegrin and Serbian media
extensively covered a secretly recorded ten-minute film,
purportedly showing three alledged members of the ruling
Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) offering to pay the
Euros 1600 electricity bill of a citizen of Golubovci, near
Podgorica, in exchange for a promise that he would vote for
indepedence. The DPS has claimed the film was fabricated by
a recently dismissed pro-Union National Security Agency
(secret service) officer, with past ties to paramilitary
organizations and the Serbian secret service. He and the
two alledged DPS representatives have been released from
detention pending trial. The pro-Union bloc claims the
footage is authentic. Some of those filmed claim they were
filmed illegally. The State Prosecutor has announced an
investigation, consistent with her earlier statements to
pursue actively such allegations (ref).


3. (SBU) Comment: As the NGO Center for Democratic
Transition (CDT) observed March 23, allegations of vote
buying are common in Montenegrin elections, but rarely lead
to prosecutions, either for violations of the election laws
as alleged, or for baseless accusations. (CDT's activities
are supported by USAID through a grant to NDI.) The tape
may be authentic, but the amount offered for one vote --
sixty percent of per capita GDP (2638 Euros) -- is
suspiciously high. SaM Foreign Minister Vuk Draskovic is

widely quoted in local media on March 27 as stating that he
believes the film was staged. The surreptitious nature of
the filming will probably make the tape unusable in court
as evidence of vote buying and, as alleged by some
participants, may itself be a crime. But while the tape
temporarily fed tensions, attention has already started to
drift away. End comment.

Blocs Stacked Up
--------------


4. (U) To be eligible to split Euros 2 million in state
funding for the referendum campaign, the political parties
must organize formally into blocs. The pro-Union bloc was
formalized March 20, and includes four pro-Union parties:
Socialist People's Party (SNP),People's Party (NS),
Serbian People's Party (SNS) and Democratic Serbian Party
(DSS). Also joining were: Socialist Party of Yugoslavia
(formerly headed by Slobodan Milosevic); Serbian Radical
Party (Vojislav Seselj); Communists of Montenegro; Movement
for European Joint State of SaM; Council of People's Clans;
Association of Veterans of WWII; Association of Warriors of
the Wars of the 1990s; Movement for the Preservation of
Serbs; and others.


5. (U) The pro-Independence parties formalized their bloc
on March 23. It will include ten parliamentary and non-
parliamentary parties: Democratic Party of Socialists,
Social Democratic Party, Civic Party, Liberal Party,
Democratic Union of Albanians, National Unity, Civic Forum,
Bosniak Party, Croatian Civic Initiative, Democratic
Community of Muslims/Bosniaks and the Independence
Movement. Two ethnic Albanian parties that have not signed
the agreement, Party of Democratic Prosperity and
Democratic Alliance in Montenegro, stated that it will not
affect their support to independence.

Media Code of Conduct
--------------


6. (U) Almost all media in Montenegro have pledged to
observe the voluntary code of conduct ("codex") for

BELGRADE 00000489 002 OF 002


covering the referendum. Twenty-one Serbian media outlets
(newspapers, TV, radio) are widely available in Montenegro,
and on March 10 were invited to sign the codex. Initially,
only four did so, and no major outlets signed. Quiet
pressure led by the OSCE, with support from the USG and the
EU's Envoy Ambassador Lajcak, increased the signatures to
eight by March 27, including Radio-Television Serbia (RTS),
the largest of the Serbian media available in Montenegro.

NGOs Looking to Reduce Tensions
--------------


7. (U) The local NGO, Center for Democratic Transition
(CDT),appealed on March 23 and 24 for both blocs to take
steps to reduce tensions and avoid divisions among the
citizenry. It cautioned the pro-Union bloc on its repeated
"warnings" of tensions, and referring to the vote as a "war
referendum." It also sharply and at length rejected pro-
Independence talk of a "grey zone" (a majority for
independence that falls short of the legal requirement of
55 percent of votes cast),saying that all aspects of the
referendum law should be respected. The CDT reminded the
public of its phone line for complaints. The CDT is
supported by the USG through a grant to NDI.

POLT