Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06BEIRUT3860
2006-12-19 16:17:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Beirut
Cable title:  

LEBANON: SENATOR NELSON MEETS WITH PRIME MINISTER

Tags:  PGOV PREL PTER LE 
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 04 BEIRUT 003860 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/MARCHESE/HARDING
STATE FOR NEA/ELA, NEA/FO:ATACHCO

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/19/2016
TAGS: PGOV PREL PTER LE
SUBJECT: LEBANON: SENATOR NELSON MEETS WITH PRIME MINISTER
SINIORA

Classified By: Christopher W. Murray, Charge d'Affaires. Reason: Sect
ion 1.4 (d)

SUMMARY
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 04 BEIRUT 003860

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/MARCHESE/HARDING
STATE FOR NEA/ELA, NEA/FO:ATACHCO

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/19/2016
TAGS: PGOV PREL PTER LE
SUBJECT: LEBANON: SENATOR NELSON MEETS WITH PRIME MINISTER
SINIORA

Classified By: Christopher W. Murray, Charge d'Affaires. Reason: Sect
ion 1.4 (d)

SUMMARY
--------------


1. (C) Visiting Senator Nelson praised Prime Minister
Siniora's leadership and courage and said that he had
instructed Syrian President Asad to stop interfering in
Lebanon. The Senator reassured the PM that the United States
would continue to support Lebanon regardless of difficulties
or developments in the rest of the region. Siniora recounted
for the Senator President Asad's past bullying behavior and
stressed the importance of establishing the Hariri tribunal
as one way to curb Syrian and Iranian influence in the
region. The PM described his government's flexible and
accommodating stance in negotiations with the opposition and
appealed for USG diplomatic help in returning the Shebaa
Farms and curbing Israeli overflights of Lebanese territory.
End Summary.


2. (C) Senator Bill Nelson and a delegation of three of his
staffers plus a military escort visited Beirut December 14.
They met with Prime Minister Siniora at the Grand Serail.
Senator Nelson began by telling the Prime Minister "Thank you
for standing up for what is right." He noted that he had
visited SARG President Basha al-Asad the previous day and
"made clear that the USG and I personally support you and
your government and told him to keep his hands off Lebanon."
This was the Senator's third visit with Asad, he noted, and
he had gone over the same issues with the Syrian President
twice before. Each time, he noted, Asad had lied. The
Senator had visited Syria this time, he said, following the
assessment of the recently-published Iraq Study Group report
indicating that there might be some value in engaging Syria
on the subject of Iraq; Asad told the Senator that he wants
to cooperate with the U.S. and Iraqi militaries on control of
the Iraq/Syria border.


3. (C) Senator Nelson continued that he had pressed Asad hard
on the subject of the Hariri investigation and special
tribunal. He noted that while Asad and his Foreign Minister

Walid Muallem (who, the PM interjected, is an "implicit hawk"
as opposed to his predecessor Farouq Sharaa, an "explicit
hawk") had heard him out politely, but did not engage with
him on this topic. Nelson told Siniora that he warned Asad
of a looming problem with Iran, which is seeking to impose a
new "Persian Empire" in Arab lands. Asad replied, the
Senator recounted, with his standard talking points and then
mentioned the two Israeli soldiers captured by Hizballah.
Why, the Senator asked Asad, don't you use your influence
with Hizballah to get them back? Asad countered that Israel
is holding 20 Syrian prisoners.


4. (C) The Ambassador noted that Asad had also called for new
parliamentary elections in Lebanon, in a clear case of
interference in Lebanon's internal affairs. The Senator
added that Asad had told him outright that he opposes the
Siniora government. The Senator's Deputy Chief of Staff
noted that Asad had commented that Siniora had lost the
confidence of his people and that the solution in such cases
is to have early elections. The Senator's Legislative
Assistant added that Asad claimed to the Senator that he had
invited Siniora to visit Damascus three times.


5. (C) The Prime Minister responded that he had visited
Damascus shortly after his election as Prime Minister, and
that he had had a "good visit" in which he expressed his wish
that Lebanon and Syria would enjoy good relations and solve
all their outstanding issues. Siniora told Asad that while
he did not want Lebanon to become a "center of any action
against Syria," he could not censor Lebanese newspapers --
the world has changed. (Note: At the time of Siniora's
visit to Damascus, the Syrian army had only recently
withdrawn from Lebanon after a nearly 30-year stay and
anti-Syrian feeling in Lebanon was high. End Note.) Even in
Damascus there are TV satellite dishes everywhere, he
continued.


6. (C) Siniora recounted his second meeting with Assad, on
March 27 at the Arab Summit in Khartoum. He discussed with
Asad all the topics then on the table of Lebanon's National

BEIRUT 00003860 002 OF 004


Dialogue, such as the Shebaa Farms, the status of
Palestinians in Lebanon, and delineation of the borders
between Lebanon and Syria. Siniora also proposed in their
Khartoum encounter that he visit Damascus, Asad agreed in
principle, and requested that Siniora prepare a visit agenda.
The PM sent Asad an agenda, he said, which included as its
first item the discussion of confidence-building measures
between the two states and ways to improve the atmosphere of
their relations.


7. (C) Asad did not reply, Siniora told the Senator, until
May 2006 when Siniora was on an official visit to the United
Kingdom. The PM was contacted in London by the Lebanese
Chamber of Deputies Speaker, Nabih Berri, who told him that
Asad was ready to see him -- immediately. Siniora sent word
back that he could not break his official visit and could
proceed to Damascus in a few days, and that furthermore he
had heard nothing from Damascus about the proposed agenda.
There was no response to this counter-offer, Siniora told
Senator Nelson, and he explained Asad's perfunctory summons
as a way to engineer a smiling "photo op" with Siniora on the
day before the May 17 adoption of United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1680 (which called on Syria to take
measures against movements of arms into Lebanon).


8. (C) A similar experience occurred later, Siniora
recounted, when an invitation to Damascus was conveyed to
Siniora by the Emir of Qatar. Siniora used an intermediary
to approach Asad regarding a proposed visit agenda, and
conveyed to Asad his flexibility regarding the agenda. An
agenda was important in order to avoid returning from
Damascus with "no results," which would "reflect badly on our
relations." There was no response from Damascus, and Siniora
concluded that again, Asad was merely seeking a "photo op."


9. (C) With regard to his popular support in Lebanon, Siniora
noted to the Senator that he continued to enjoy the support
of Sunnis, Druze and many Christians in Lebanon but that the
opposition was exploiting Shia resentment against the rest of
Lebanese society and turning that resentment against
Siniora's government. He also noted that although far from
all Shia support Hizballah, most Shia are intimidated against
speaking out against the group.


10. (C) His government is still supported by a majority in
the Chamber of Deputies, Siniora continued. While some say
that the Parliament is not representative, the 2005 election
was subject to international observation and scrutiny and its
results have been accepted by the international community.
As for the election law which has been criticized by the
opposition as favoring the Sunni-dominated Mustaqbal Party,
this law had been made in 2000 under Syrian influence. Why
had no one spoken out about it until now? The extension of
the presidential term of Emile Lahoud was also engineered by
Syria. Even after the November assassination of Industry
Minister and MP Pierre Gemayel, Siniora noted, his government
still enjoys a 70 to 57 majority in Parliament -- "This is
democracy!" The issue should not be one of which side can
send more supporters into the street.


11. (C) Senator Nelson praised Siniora for being "very
courageous" and asked whether the ongoing Arab League
initiative to resolve Lebanon's political crisis will be
helpful. Siniora said that Arab League Secretary-General Amr
Moussa's work thus far had been helpful and that the GOL
continued to be willing to discuss all the issues. The
opposition, Siniora said, had claimed it wanted to "actively
participate" in Lebanon's government. The PM responded to
them that "every decision we have taken we have taken
unanimously" with the agreement of the Shia ministers (two
Hizballah and three Amal) except the recent decision to
approve the Hariri tribunal, which was taken following the
Shia ministers' resignation. (Note: The GOL's September
decision to approve the creation of a maritime component of
the expanded UNIFIL mission was also taken over the objection
of the Hizballah ministers, although the Amal ministers
approved. End Note.)


12. (C) Siniora noted that on another important matter -- the
installation of surveillance equipment in the capital's
streets -- he had acquiesced to the opposition's objections
and refrained from moving forward. He wishes to proceed with

BEIRUT 00003860 003 OF 004


consensus, he said, but does not wish to be subject to the
"tyranny of the minority." The opposition wants a "blocking"
one-third of the cabinet, which will give them "full control,
obstruction, and the ability to collapse the government."


13. (C) Siniora noted that he had agreed to a series of
proposed compromises, including a formula giving the
opposition 9 ministers in a cabinet expanded to 30 members
and including 19 "majority" ministers and two "independent"
members who would join consensus votes only. The GOL even
demonstrated its flexibility by agreeing to the opposition's
request for a 19-10-1 formula. Hizballah Secretary-General
Hassan Nasrallah engaged with Moussa on this issue but there
has been no agreement yet.


14. (C) Among the issues under discussion in the Arab League
initiative are: 1) the international tribunal, 2) a national
unity government incorporating opposition ministers, 3)
replacement of President Lahoud, 4) fulfillment of agreement
from the National Dialogue on past issues, 5) resolution of
the opposition "sit-in", 6) the Paris III debt and government
financing conference, and 7) a new electoral law. "It is
more or less agreed," Siniora said, "that election of a new
president will have priority over a new electoral law or
parliamentary elections." (Note: The opposition's
statements indicate they would not agree with that analysis.
End Note.)


15. (C) The consequences of the confrontation in Lebanon
could be "deadly" throughout the Arab world, Siniora said.
Syrian behavior vis-a-vis the tribunal suggests that Syria
was the author of the crime. Syria, which is now indicating
an interest in resolving the Golan Heights issue and in the
peace process, was the "agent to control Lebanon for 30
years" and molded Lebanon, he continued. "Especially after
the 2000 Israeli withdrawal, the Syrian presence became much
heavier. This was their place to practice all their
adventures -- political, moral, economic."


16. (C) Relations with Syria could only be whispered about
before the Cedar Revolution, he commented. Now they are on
the table. While many of the important issues for Lebanon
are greatly related to Israel -- such as "liberating" the
Shebaa Farms, stopping Israeli overflights, and obtaining
maps of Israeli-laid minefields and of cluster bomb drops --
delineation of the border with Syria is another important
issue. The opposition's calls for waging war against the
United States through conflict in Lebanon are not helpful,
Siniora added, saying that the Lebanese do not want their
country to be used as a battleground.


17. (C) The Shebaa Farms is definitely Lebanese territory, he
insisted. The French were not careful in their survey of the
area, and the Syrians have refused a "survey on the ground"
although Siniora countered that surveys could be done via air
or other means. The territory is definitely not Israeli,
though -- "Let them leave and the UN come in and take
custodianship." If that happens, the pretext for Hizballah's
keeping heavy weapons will disappear. "I have told the
President of the United States and the Secretary of State
that keeping the Shebaa Farms occupied is the best present
you can give to Hizballah. This 45 square kilometers is not
strategic -- they can place their listening posts somewhere
else!"


18. (C) Senator Nelson asked, "Is that where you want the
United States to help you?" Siniora responded emphatically,
"Yes! You now have Iran on the Mediterranean! If you want
to stop them, return the Shebaa Farms. Iran has been
hijacking most of the causes of this part of the world and
taking them on as its own. Iran took over the issue of
Salman Rushdie's book...of the cartoons insulting to the
Prophet, and of Jerusalem. On the Shebaa Farms, thank you
for your good words of support for me but that is not enough"
and perhaps counterproductive, given the opposition's
characterization of Siniora as an American stooge. He
continued, "I need support for the Shebaa Farms, for the
tribunal, and on overflights...I need support even if we have
to market it as a resort to Chapter VII."


19. (C) Senator Nelson pledged to continue pushing for
support for Prime Minister Siniora and his government. The

BEIRUT 00003860 004 OF 004


PM concluded, "the tribunal is not just about the death of
Rafiq Hariri; we'll use it to halt Iranian influence here.
Also we need to restart the move toward a permanent solution
in the Middle East; the current situation is an invitation to
militant groups and desperate acts. This is how the U.S.
government can help." The Senator thanked Siniora for his
thoughts, concluding "bless you and your leadership."


20. (SBU) The CODEL has cleared this cable.
MURRAY