Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06BEIRUT3543
2006-11-05 13:41:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Beirut
Cable title:  

RIZK FRETS ABOUT RUSSIA'S IMPACT ON TRIBUNAL, GOL

Tags:  KCRM PREL PGOV PTER LE SY 
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BEIRUT 003543 

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NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/MARCHESE/HARDING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/07/2026
TAGS: KCRM PREL PGOV PTER LE SY
SUBJECT: RIZK FRETS ABOUT RUSSIA'S IMPACT ON TRIBUNAL, GOL
DEBATE

REF: BEIRUT 3517

Classified By: Jeffrey Feltman, Ambassador, per 1.4 (b) and (d).

SUMMARY
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BEIRUT 003543

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SIPDIS
NOFORN

NSC FOR ABRAMS/DORAN/MARCHESE/HARDING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/07/2026
TAGS: KCRM PREL PGOV PTER LE SY
SUBJECT: RIZK FRETS ABOUT RUSSIA'S IMPACT ON TRIBUNAL, GOL
DEBATE

REF: BEIRUT 3517

Classified By: Jeffrey Feltman, Ambassador, per 1.4 (b) and (d).

SUMMARY
--------------


1. (C/NF) Asking to see the Ambassador urgently on 11/5,
Minister of Justice Charles Rizk said that his lunch the
previous day with Russian Ambassador Sergui Boukin had
unnerved him. Despite soothing words about Moscow's
"reservations" rather than "objections," Boukin presented
Rizk with a list of concerns that, if heeded entirely, Rizk
feared would have the combined effect of rendering the
special tribunal on the Hariri assassination "meaningless."
It would be impossible, under the Russian preferences, to try
Bashar al-Asad or Emile Lahoud, Rizk claimed. Besides
getting Russia to back down on at least some of its demands,
all efforts need to be made, Rizk urged, to achieve explicit
Russian blessing for the tribunal. Rizk feared that Russian
silence or abstention would be interpreted by Syria and its
Lebanese allies as a green light to do anything to stop the
tribunal. Rizk, claiming that his former friend Lebanese
President Emile Lahoud is now determined to have Rizk removed
from the cabinet, revealed that he had started to leak
information about the Bank al-Medina scandal as subtle
warning to Lahoud to be careful. End summary.

RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR OUTLINES CONCERNS
--------------


2. (C/NF) Rizk said that Boukin had emphasized that Russia
had "reservations," not "objections," to the draft protocols
to establish a special tribunal to try suspects in Rafiq
Hariri's assassination. According to Rizk, Boukin's raised
the following: duration of the tribunal (with Boukin arguing
for an expiration date of two years),trials in absentia
(with Russia rejecting the concept, and citing U.S. law among
other justifications to oppose this),appointment of judges
(with Russia asking that the Security Council, not the
Secretary General, be responsible),the responsibility of

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superiors for actions taken by their subordinates (with
Russia opposed altogether),and the linkage to the other
fourteen attacks (with Russia opposed). After quizzing
Boukin (who was "remarkably well informed about the
details"),Rizk concluded that the Russians might reconsider
who appoints the judges and whether a sufficiently tight
formula could be found to permit the possibility of linkages
to other cases. But Boukin, Rizk reported, was inflexible on
the other points.

RIZK FEARS CUMULATIVE IMPACT
WOULD RENDER TRIBUNAL "MEANINGLESS"
--------------


3. (C/NF) Rizk, more pessimistic and alarmist than he had
been only a few days earlier (reftel),expressed concern that
the cumulative impact of Russia's concerns, if accepted,
would render the tribunal "meaningless." This is especially
true, he argued, given the previous decision by UN/OLA to
respond to P-5 concerns by eliminating the "crimes against
humanity" language that would have paved the way to lifting
national immunity. The Ambassador asked if Rizk could tell
from Boukin what motivated the Russian concerns: "Maybe
Putin is afraid of the precedent," Rizk mused; "maybe they
are trying to protect the Syrians."

"IMPOSSIBLE" TO GET LAHOUD OR ASAD,
IF RUSSIAN RESERVATIONS ACCEPTED
--------------


4. (C/NF) In any case, the Russian reservations would make
it "impossible," Rizk said, for the tribunal to consider the
roles of Syrian President Bashar al-Asad or Lahoud. Both
enjoy presidential immunity that now can't be lifted, he
said, meaning that they cannot be turned over to the
tribunal. The Syrians in particular will argue that all
sorts of other officials, "anybody important," have immunity
and refuse to turn over suspects, Rizk said. The elimination
of the absentia trials means that none of these people will
be tried. The two-year duration Russia wants would make it
very easy for "clever lawyers" to delay or complicate
proceedings until the court expires.


5. (C/NF) Rizk then raised the case of former Presidential

BEIRUT 00003543 002 OF 003


Guard chief Mahmoud Hamdan, one of four Lebanese generals
jailed since August 2005 on suspicion of involvement in the
Hariri murder. Hamdan, Rizk said, "practically lived" with
Lahoud (who is rumored to have had a sexual relationship with
Hamdan, a possibility Rizk thinks unlikely while still
finding the Lahoud-Hamdan relationship "weird"),spending
most meals and evenings with Lahoud. If Hamdan is implicated
in the Hariri murder, it is "not plausible" to think Lahoud
did not know something was up. Yet Lahoud will not, under
Russian reservations, be considered suspect by virtue of his
supervision of Hamdan. "With all of these Russian concerns,
Syria is winning," Rizk complained. "Russia would let Syria
off the hook!"

BAD OPTION: PROCEEDING WITHOUT RUSSIA,
AS THEN "ANYTHING" MIGHT HAPPEN
--------------


6. (C/NF) Rizk urged that efforts be made to get Russia to
drop its reservations, particularly regarding the duration of
the court and the absentia trials. The Ambassador asked
whether Rizk thought that Russia might be satisfied with
expressing its concerns but allowing the drafts to move
forward to Lebanon in any case. That option, Rizk said,
would be "terrible." The Lebanese need to know that all P-5
countries are behind the drafts in order to win acceptance of
the drafts in Lebanon. Without an explicit Russia
acceptance, then Syria and its Lebanese allies will feel that
they have an implicit green light from Moscow to do anything
to block the tribunal. He predicted "enormous problems,"
including the possibility of further assassinations and
bombings, if the drafts are forwarded to Tunisia without
Russian approval. Yet Rizk also renewed his call that the
drafts, with Russian approval, be sent to Lebanon "this week."

DRAFTS TO BE CIRCULATED IMMEDIATELY
UPON RECEIPT, BUT CABINET DEBATE LATER
--------------


7. (C/NF) The Ambassador asked Rizk's views on the timing
for the cabinet debate, if in fact UN/OLA forwards tribunal
drafts soon to Rizk. Rizk vowed to circulate the drafts
immediately to cabinet ministers. But, ackowledging that
these were simply his initial thoughts and subject to further
consideration, he did not expect to table the drafts for
formal cabinet approval until the conclusion of the political
consultations called by Parliament Speaker Berri starting on
11/7. Quizzed by the Ambassador, Rizk said that, if the
drafts were tabled immediately for cabinet debate, the
tribunal would then become part of the political
consultations, something to be "bargained over."


8. (C/NF) The Ambassador responded that, whether drafts are
circulating or cabinet debate scheduled or not, surely the
tribunal would be an important focus of the political
consultations. Yes, Rizk responded, but it is better to have
the tribunal only as a "subtext" than something tangible to
be decided upon or "played with" in the explosive atmosphere
likely to characterize Berri's consultations. "We have to
insulate the tribunal from the politics and pretend it is a
technical issue," Rizk argued, referring to the unanimous
decision by the National Dialogue in March to accept the
concept of the tribunal.

BANK AL-MEDINA TOOL FOR RIZK
AGAINST FORMER FRIEND LAHOUD
--------------


9. (C/NF) The Ambassador asked Rizk about his ongoing spat
with his childhood friend, Emile Lahoud. Rizk, calling
Lahoud "unbelievable stupid," claimed that he has good
sources telling him that Lahoud now insists that Rizk be
ousted from the cabinet. (Comment: We, too, have heard
this, from a variety of sources. End comment.) Lahoud feels
betrayed by Rizk's support of the tribunal, and Rizk said
that he did not discount the possibility of danger to his
life.


10. (C/NF) Rizk then drew the Ambassador's attention to a
small article in the 11/5 al-Nahar newspaper noting that an
unnamed judge alleged to be involved in the Bank al-Medina
scandal had traveled with funds to a country known for its
bank secrecy laws (which Rizk identified as Switzerland).
This article, Rizk said, will set off alarm bells in Baabda
Palace, for Lahoud will understand the reference and realize

BEIRUT 00003543 003 OF 003


that Rizk has information on presidential son Emile Emile
Lahoud's dealings with Bank al-Medina. While refusing the
share the details, Rizk said he would not hesitate to leak
"all" if Lahoud continues to threaten Rizk. The Ambassador
urged Rizk to accelerate judicial proceedings on the
notorious Bank al-Medina file in any case, so that, at last,
there can be transparency and justice in what is considered
to be an enormous black hole of corruption linked to Syrian
and Lebanese officials. Rizk claimed that the case is taking
more time to develop than he would like.

COMMENT
--------------


11. (C/NF) Rizk gave us a tall order: persuade the Russians
to drop their "reservations," and prod UN/OLA to provide the
GOL with tribunal drafts enjoying P-5 consensus as soon as
possible, preferably this week. We defer to the Department
and to USUN as to whether Rizk's recount of the Russian
concerns are up to date and to the lawyers as to whether the
cumulative impact of the Russian reservations has the
alarming potential Rizk describes. But we share Rizk's
analysis that explicit Russian acceptance for the two drafts
(one the tribunal's statute and the second the UN-GOL
agreement establishing it) is needed here. Even P-5
consensus does not guarantee easy passage of the tribunal
drafts, of course, but Russian objections will provide easy
excuses here to those who wish to delay or block acceptance.



12. (C/NF) As for Rizk's proposed timing -- to share the
drafts with cabinet ministers immediately, but to delay
formal submission for cabinet discussion and approval until
the conclusion of Nabih Berri's political consultations -- we
see self-preservation at work: Lahoud is out for Rizk's
head, and Rizk's importance to the March 14 majority is
linked solely to his work on the tribunal. Rizk probably
suspects that the March 14 politicians, pressed to compromise
on something with Hizballah and Michel Aoun in Berri's
consultations, would be willing to trade him away if the
tribunal is already finished. Despite his new admirers in
March 14 circles, we suspect he is right. But we also know
that, once UN/OLA submits the final tribunal drafts to
Beirut, Rizk alone will not be able to delay formal cabinet
debate. As for his intriguing comments about solid evidence
linking the Lahoud family to Bank al-Medina, we will continue
to press him for details.
FELTMAN