Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06BAGHDAD1355
2006-04-25 20:48:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Baghdad
Cable title:  

PROVINCIAL REACTION TO PM SELECTION

Tags:  PGOV PNAT IZ 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO4396
PP RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHIHL RUEHKUK RUEHMOS
DE RUEHGB #1355/01 1152048
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 252048Z APR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4093
INFO RHEHNSC/WHITE HOUSE NSC WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAGHDAD 001355 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/25/2016
TAGS: PGOV PNAT IZ
SUBJECT: PROVINCIAL REACTION TO PM SELECTION

Classified By: POLITICAL COUNSELOR ROBERT S. FORD, FOR REASONS 1.4 (B)
AND (D).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAGHDAD 001355

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/25/2016
TAGS: PGOV PNAT IZ
SUBJECT: PROVINCIAL REACTION TO PM SELECTION

Classified By: POLITICAL COUNSELOR ROBERT S. FORD, FOR REASONS 1.4 (B)
AND (D).


1. (C) SUMMARY: Initial reactions from provincial
contacts to Nuri Kamal (Jawad al-Maliki)'s selection as
Iraq's
next PM have been positive. Shia Islamists tended
to view the new PM as equally capable as Jafari at
promoting the UIC agenda. Sunnis and Kurds tended to
question his independence, while expressing general
relief that the Jafari era is over and Government
formation can move forward. END SUMMARY

--------------
Anbar
--------------


2. (C) The Sunni Arab mantra in Fallujah has long
been that PM Jafari needed to go and that they want
strong leadership above all else. The Fallujah
police chief told SETOFF April 22 that he did not
care if a rock star became Prime Minister, as long
as the new leadership improves security. Anbar
Governor Ma'moun told SETOFF that while Maliki is
only known as a spokesman for Dawa, his initial
promises on April 22 seemed promising. Ma'moun
added that key factors to watch will be Maliki's
stance toward militias and the selection of cabinet
positions.

--------------
Diyala
--------------


3. (C) Contacts in Diyala -- both Sunni and Shia --
expressed relief that government formation is
finally underway. Mixed with this relief was a
sense of apathy about the new government's prospects
of resolving the current security situation.
A Sunni provincial council member from the central,
conflict-ridden region of Abu Sayda glumly predicted
that conflict would continue unabated in his area.
A Kurdish provincial council member's only positive
comment was that at least Jafari is now gone. Sunni
contacts focused on the importance of the selection
of the as-yet-unnamed ministers in determining
success of the new government.

--------------
Kirkuk
--------------


4. (C) Contacts in Kirkuk expressed satisfaction
with the progress made toward government formation.
Bahman Husayn, Head of the Kurdistan Toilers Party
in Kirkuk, likened a country without a government to
an airplane without a pilot. Najat Hassan, Head of
the KDP in Kirkuk, said the new government must
establish a plan to restrict interference from

neighboring countries. Omar Muhammad, Head of the
KIU in Kirkuk, commented that his party will
strongly support the new government which it would
call upon to take steps to improve living conditions
and end corruption. Jalal Jawher, Head of PUK
Kirkuk, indicated that the KDP will work to support
the new government, which will ease Iraqi suffering
and provide a new foundation for trust throughout
the country.

--------------
Mosul
--------------


5. (C) In Ninewa, diverse political party contacts
generally reacted positively to the selection of
Nuri Kamal to lead the new government. While many
claimed they did not have enough information about
his administrative ability, they tended to
believe that he would be an improvement over Jafari.
Contacts characterized him as a strong personality
without much high-level leadership experience. Non-
Shia questioned the PM-designate's independence, given his
allegiance to Dawa, particularly with regard to
militias and consensus building. National Assembly
member Mahmood Al Azzawi from INDC claimed Maliki as
a good friend, but doubted his ability to draw UIA
away from militias and sectarian strife. PUK
provincial spokesman Omar Azzo saw him as a
strong leader, but one who would still "have to take
orders" from the Dawa leadership. Ninewa KDP leader
Khassro Goran said he did not have much faith in

BAGHDAD 00001355 002 OF 002


Maliki's qualifications and doubted Maliki's ability
to be "truly independent" of Jafari (who occupies a
higher rank in Dawa) and the UIA. Gevara Zia, Ninewa
provincial council member (Assyrian Democratic
Movement),said he believed Maliki was a "secular
man" who did not have the same sectarian views as
Jafari but who "without a doubt, will support
Muqtada Al Sadr." Hameed Zenal of the Shia, Shabek
Democratic Assembly (SDA) party said Maliki would be
"on the same path" as Jafari, meaning he was "loyal
first to Muqtada Al Sadr."

--------------
BABIL
--------------


6. (C) Babil Deputy Governor Hassoon Ali Hassoon
(SCIRI affiliated) said Maliki was a good choice
because he is number two in the Dawa party and the
UIC lost nothing by replacing Jafari with him.
The most important issue, Hassoon said, was that the UIC
agenda will be implemented irrespective of which
Dawa member is PM.


7. (C) Sabah Allawi of the Iraqi National Accord
expressed support for any PM who will apply the
constitution regardless of sectarianism or
ethnicity. Adnan Abid Al-Turki, an Islamist journalist from
Al-
Fayhaa newspaper, said Maliki was a good compromise
solution. He noted that the UIC could accomplish
its program, whether through Jafari or Maliki.

--------------
NAJAF
--------------


8. (C) Provincial Council Chairman Dr. Abdul Hussein
Al-Mousawi welcomed Maliki's nomination.
Mousawi expected Maliki to have a more stable
support basis in the Council of Representatives than
Jafari. Mousawi surmised that the Kurdish and Sunni
blocs would offer substantive concessions to the UIC
for agreeing to drop Jafari. If such concessions are
made, Mousawi predicted that the remainder of the
government formation negotiations will move quickly.
Sa'ad Zawain, the Islamic Dawa Deputy head in Najaf,
asserted that Maliki would be "more flexible" than
Jafari.

--------------
Basrah
--------------


9. (C) Basrah Governor Muhammad al-Wa'eli told REO
April 23 that the selection of the Prime Minister-
designate was a step forward. Though 555 is still
extant, he offered, fissures resulted from the
Jafari nomination. Dr. Hayder al-Wa'eli, Head of
the Fadillah party in Basrah, told REO on April 22
that Fadillah supported Maliki because of the PM-
designate's support for national unity. (COMMENT:
In contrast, Nadeem al-Jabiri told PolOff April 22 that, in
the
previous day's UIC 555 internal meeting, The Fadhila
Party voted for al-Jabiri as PM, while the other six
parties, which he termed "Iranian" voted for
Maliki. In an April 23 phone conversation with
PolFSN. Mohammed Ismael al-Kusai claimed that the
Fadhila party CoR members all turned in blank
ballots during the voting for the Presidency Council
and the CoR Speakers.) Hassan al-Rashid, Head of Badr
Organization in Basrah, said that the problem of
forming the government has now been solved and the
difficulties removed.
KHALILZAD