Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06ASHGABAT1292
2006-12-21 14:55:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Ashgabat
Cable title:  

NIYAZOV DEATH SITREP 001: 12/21/2006

Tags:  PREL PGOV ASEC CASC TX 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO1445
OO RUEHDBU
DE RUEHAH #1292/01 3551455
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 211455Z DEC 06
FM AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8120
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO PRIORITY 0043
RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA PRIORITY 0076
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY 1718
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY 0462
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY 0517
RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL//CCJ2/HSE/CCJ5// PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC//J5/RUE// PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC//DHO-2/REA/NMJIC-J2// PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASHGABAT 001292 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN, NSC FOR DAVID MERKEL, DS/IP/SCA AND DS/DSS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/21/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV ASEC CASC TX
SUBJECT: NIYAZOV DEATH SITREP 001: 12/21/2006

REF: ASHGABAT 1289

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Jennifer L. Brush for reasons 1.4 (B)
and (D).

Summary
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASHGABAT 001292

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN, NSC FOR DAVID MERKEL, DS/IP/SCA AND DS/DSS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/21/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV ASEC CASC TX
SUBJECT: NIYAZOV DEATH SITREP 001: 12/21/2006

REF: ASHGABAT 1289

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Jennifer L. Brush for reasons 1.4 (B)
and (D).

Summary
--------------


1. (C) Post has learned that Afghanistani President Karzai,
Ukrainian President Yushchenko, Kazakhstani President
Nazarbajev, Uzbekistani President Kerimov and Tajikistani
President Rahmonov are planning to attend the funeral. In
addition Armenian Prime Minister Andranik Margaryan, Georgian
Prime Minister Zurab Nogaideli, Azerbaijani Prime Minister
Artur Rasizade, Turkish Prime Minister Ergogan and Vice
President of Iran Dowoodi will attend. Russian Federation
attendance still is unclear, Prime Minister Fradkov currently
is scheduled, but President Putin is in Kiev and may fly into
Ashgabat on Friday. Niyazov's death is an historic
opportunity to send a clear signal that we desire a new
relationship with the new government. Embassy will send
suggestions for defining this new relationship septel, but
USG attendance at the funeral will be the first opportunity
to send this signal. To this end, embassy requests A/S
Boucher consider heading the USG delegation. Proposed text
for consolation letters from President Bush to Interim
President Berdimuhammedov, and from Secretary Rice to Foreign
Minister Meredov are contained in para 6.


2. (C) The newly created "National Security Council"
immediately charged Mejlis (Parliament) Chairman Atayev with
"various crimes" and he reportedly already is in jail. The
Council declared Deputy Chairman of the Council of Ministers
Gurbanguly Berdimuhammedov interim President. The Halk
Maslahaty (People's Council) will meet at 3:00 pm (local) on
December 26, likely to confirm Berdimuhammedov as
Turkmenistan's interim president and may also amend the
constitution to allow him to run for president and/or declare
him president, foregoing elections. Ashgabat remains calm,
as do the provinces, according to local sources, though there
is a substantially heightened police presence. All embassy
staff and amcits are safe and are either in Ashgabat or on

their way back. The diplomatic corps mainly has busied
itself today with sorting out the news and determining
delegations. End Summary.

Already Monkey-Business
--------------


3. (C) The official media has announced the creation of a
"National Security Council," whose exact membership is
unknown. One of the Council's first acts was to charge
Mejlis (Parliament) Chairman Atayev with various crimes; he
reportedly already is in jail. The Council appointed Deputy
Chairman of the Council of Ministers Gurbanguly
Berdimuhammedov interim president. The Halk Maslahaty,
empowered to set a date for national elections, change the
constitution, or even declare Berdimuhammedov president, is
scheduled to meet December 26 at 1500 hours. Though
Berdimuhammedov earlier told local diplomats he thought he
was in trouble, he now has outlasted Niyazov and observers
agree he is the president of choice for Turkmenistan's
security apparatus. Berdimuhammedov, a dentist by training,
is well-known to the embassy as a rapid nationalist with a
bad temper. Berdimuhammedov was the likely choice for
president even before he decided to get rid of Atayev. He
appears to have foregone attempts to become president
legitimately in favor of ensuring he gets the job. There is
unlikely to be more visible maneuvering before the December
26 Halk Maslahaty.

Atmosphere: Calm Under Heavy Police Presence
--------------


4. (C) Ashgabat remains calm -- even numbed -- under a heavy
police presence. New Years decorations are coming down and
some local residents have been observed weeping in the
markets and on the streets; most likely out of fear of the
unknown. Embassy has witnessed one act of jubilation, a car

ASHGABAT 00001292 002 OF 002


carrying a Turkmenistan flag drove honking with the driver
and passengers cheering past the President Hotel. American
Corners representatives in the welayats (provinces) note that
all is quiet and that people are showing little emotion.
There is no official curfew but police sources tell RSO there
will be a heavy police presence on the streets this evening.
The government ordered all weddings to ben canceled, and
ordered all discos and bars closed. Some planning travel
outside of Turkmenistan have told emboffs all citizens have
been banned from traveling into or out of Turkmenistan
through at least December 24. Embassy activated the warden
system.



Proposed Condolence Letters
--------------


5. (C) Post welcomes condolence letters from President Bush
to Interim President Berdimuhammedov and from Secretary Rice
to Foreign Minister Meredov and suggests the following
language:

Begin Text of Letter to Interim President Berdimuhammedov:

Please accept my condolences on the occasion of the death of
President Saparmyrat Niyazov and allow me to congratulate you
on your appointment as Turkmenistan's Interim President.
Though the occasion is sad, the United States looks forward
to your leadership in building a new relationship with the
people of Turkmenistan. In the coming days, as the people
select their new president, be assured the United States
Government stands ready to support the development of
democracy, prosperity and security in Turkmenistan. You and
the people of Turkmenistan are with us in our thoughts and
our prayers as you mourn the passing of your president.

Begin Text of Letter to Foreign Minister Rashit Meredov:

Please accept my condolences on the occasion of the death of
President Saparmyrat Niyazov. The Department of State
appreciates all the efforts you have made to create a rich
and productive bilateral relationship and hopes to continue
working with you during the transition to a new
administration. In the coming days, as the people select
their new president, be assured the United States Government
stands ready to support the development of democracy,
prosperity and security in Turkmenistan. You and the people
of Turkmenistan are with us in our thoughts and our prayers
as you mourn the passing of your president.


BRUSH