Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06ASHGABAT1283
2006-12-19 11:54:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Ashgabat
Cable title:  

EU SPECIAL ENVOY MOREL MEETS NIYAZOV -- TRIES TO

Tags:  PREL EPET PARM EUN TX 
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RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC//J5/RUE// PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS PRIORITY
RUEHUNV/USMISSION UNVIE VIENNA PRIORITY 0034
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASHGABAT 001283 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN (PERRY)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/19/2016
TAGS: PREL EPET PARM EUN TX
SUBJECT: EU SPECIAL ENVOY MOREL MEETS NIYAZOV -- TRIES TO
ENGAGE

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires a.i. Jennifer Brush for reasons 1.4(B)
and (D).

Summary
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ASHGABAT 001283

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN (PERRY)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/19/2016
TAGS: PREL EPET PARM EUN TX
SUBJECT: EU SPECIAL ENVOY MOREL MEETS NIYAZOV -- TRIES TO
ENGAGE

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires a.i. Jennifer Brush for reasons 1.4(B)
and (D).

Summary
--------------


1. (C) EU Special Envoy (and former French Ambassador to
Turkmenistan) Pierre Morel met with President Niyazov and
Foreign Minister Meredov December 18 and gave Charge a
readout on December 19. Highlights of the meeting include:

-- Observance of a more bloated and less animated Niyazov
than the 1992 vintage with whom Morel met when he was posted
to Ashgabat in 1992 immediately following independence;

-- Niyazov's categorical rejection of a Trans-Caspian
Pipeline (TCP) in favor of increased pipeline capacity
through Russia (and Gazprom);

-- Interest in border security cooperation with references to
Turkmenistan's bilateral programs with the USG as "exemplary;"

-- Interest in non-proliferation, including building a
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty seismic site, and pride in
stopping Iranian/North Korean overflights, when requested;

-- Growing paranoia over Iran and the politics of Iranian
President Ahmadinejad. End Summary.

Bloated but Coherent
--------------


2. (C) According to Morel, Niyazov looked bloated and tired,
but was still coherent, during their two-hour December 18
meeting. Morel remembered Niyazov immediately following
independence as being animated and fun-loving, stopping short
of charismatic. Morel said that, though the animation was
gone, Niyazov still methodically and cogently went through
his achievements and challenges during the December 18
meeting.


3. (C) Morel said he also was impressed with Foreign
Minister Meredov, contrasting him with his predecessor, the
now imprisoned -- and possibly dead -- Boris Shikmyradov.
Morel recounted his meetings with Shikmyradov while both were
serving as ambassadors in Beijing. Even then, Morel said,
Shikmyradov said he knew Niyazov considered him competition,
"that's why he sent me somewhere with no direct flights to
Ashgabat." Meredov, on the other hand, Morel, thought,
presented himself carefully and thoughtfully and as

completely loyal to Niyazov.


4. (C) Morel said his meeting with Oil and Gas Minister
Atayev was "painful." Atayev had nothing to say, according
to Morel, and furthermore seemed to have been instructed to
say nothing. (Comment: Charge was surprised at this
characterization of Atayev, who is a competent bureaucrat and
who in the past has been authorized by Niyazov to speak
"openly." End Comment.)

No TCP
--------------


5. (C) According to Morel, Niyazov dismissed the TCP as
impossible because of the intransigence of the Azeris and
instability in Georgia. Instead, Niyazov said, Turkmenistan
would concentrate its efforts on negotiating for a new
littoral pipeline along the northern shore of the Caspian
Sea. In response to Charge's question, Morel agreed that
Niyazov's definition of proliferation of pipeline options to
supply the European market consisted of more pipelines under
Gazprom's control. Niyazov did not mention a Trans-Afghan
pipeline and was dismissive of the plans for the Chinese
pipeline, saying "we'll see."

ASHGABAT 00001283 002.2 OF 002



Interest in Border Security
--------------


6. (C) Niyazov was quite positive about the possibility for
increased border security cooperation with the EU. He
mentioned border security cooperation with the United States
as "exemplary." Charge noted to Morel that the USG was not
quite so positive about the cooperation. Though security
cooperation was important to us, we saw little cooperation in
the areas of greater transparency or improved border security
operations. Charge outlined plans for the May 22 opening of
the Imamnazar border crossing station and said the embassy
was planning for a series of events leading up to the
opening. She said EU and UN cooperation would be very
welcome. Morel said that the EU already had assisted with
Tajikistani-Afghanistani joint security projects, but that
the Afghanistani side had been unprepared for any meaningful
participation. He said he hoped with increased German
cooperation in training Afghanistani border police units,
that there would be opportunity for joint
Turkmenistan-Afghanistani border security training and
cooperation.

Non-Proliferation Cooperation
--------------


7. (C) Morel said Niyazov had been proud to note
Turkmenistan's denial of over-flights, on several occasions
to flights between North Korea and Iran. He said
Turkmenistan would continue to deny such requests when it
received credible information that the flights were suspect.
During a subsequent meeting, Morel said, Meredov was
enthusiastic about building the seismic station under the
aegis of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty
Organization. Charge responded that this should be a win-win
opportunity for Turkmenistan, but instead, following the
visit of CTBTO Preparatory Commission Executive Secretary
Tibor Toth, nothing had been done.

Fear of Ahmadinejad
--------------


8. (C) Morel said Niyazov spoke at length of his fear of
Iranian President Ahmadinejad and his politics. Niyazov
spoke nostalgically of his relationship with former President
Rafsanjani. Still, Niyazov said, Turkmenistan's commercial
relationship with Iran was going smoothly. Though the
Iranians had been behind in their payments for gas earlier in
the year, they now were caught up and Niyazov looked forward
to increased deliveries of gas both through the pipeline and
as liquified natural gas.

Comment
--------------


9. (C) Morel appears to have a realistic appreciation for
possibilities for EU cooperation in Turkmenistan. He agreed
completely that, with the mutual hatred and incriminations in
the region, talk of regional cooperation was premature and
possibly counter-productive. Morel also seems not to have
had promotion of a TCP as part of his agenda. He said he
raised it briefly, but did not push it. Post looks forward
to working with the EU on border security projects and in
general with Special Envoy Morel. End Comment.

BRUSH