Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06AITTAIPEI901
2006-03-17 10:08:00
CONFIDENTIAL
American Institute Taiwan, Taipei
Cable title:  

WHILE TAIWAN AND PRC PLAY FOR CHAD OIL, WORLD BANK

Tags:  EFIN EMIN ENRG PREL CH CD TW 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0019
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHIN #0901/01 0761008
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 171008Z MAR 06
FM AIT TAIPEI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9173
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 4900
RUEHNJ/AMEMBASSY NDJAMENA 0016
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 7680
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 7538
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L AIT TAIPEI 000901 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/TC, EB/ESC/IEC



E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/17/2012
TAGS: EFIN EMIN ENRG PREL CH CD TW
SUBJECT: WHILE TAIWAN AND PRC PLAY FOR CHAD OIL, WORLD BANK
HOLDS THE CARDS.


Classified By: ADIR DAVID KEEGAN FOR REASONS 1.4 B and D

C O N F I D E N T I A L AIT TAIPEI 000901

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/TC, EB/ESC/IEC



E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/17/2012
TAGS: EFIN EMIN ENRG PREL CH CD TW
SUBJECT: WHILE TAIWAN AND PRC PLAY FOR CHAD OIL, WORLD BANK
HOLDS THE CARDS.


Classified By: ADIR DAVID KEEGAN FOR REASONS 1.4 B and D


1. (C) Summary. The $30-million dollar Chad/Taiwan oil
exploration agreement looks good for Taiwan on the surface,
this is an energy poor island which needs oil to meet its
energy needs has found a new source in Africa, and can use
this latest project to assist cash-strapped Chad and maintain
its diplomatic ties. However the success of the Chad deal is
not only dependent on Taiwan finding the oil. The World Bank
(WB) holds the key in the mostly complete $3.7 billion
pipeline project from Chad to Cameroon. If the WB withdraws
support from the pipeline, then any oil found by Taiwan will
be uneconomical to export. Taiwan and Chad's interest in
keeping the WB engaged is therefore crucial to their ability
to generate revenue from any oil found in the new
concessions. end summary

TAIWAN IN CHAD: THE POLITICS OF INVESTMENT
--------------


2. (C). China Petroleum Company (CPC) exploration officials
at the CPC headquarters in Taipei met with AIT to give a
perspective on Taiwan's oil exploration agreement with Chad.
Shiao Tsung-Wen, the deputy manager of CPC overseas
exploration told AIT that the PRC preceded Taiwan in Chad oil
investment. The PRC he said they bought a 50 percent interest
in Chad exploration through a Swiss company . According to
Shiao there are an estimated 100 PRC staff on the ground in
Chad versus only 3 from Taiwan. Shiao said that the CPC,
being a government company, lacked the freedom of private
companies to bid on oil interests and had to be very careful
in its investment projects since they were accountable to the
legislature. On the day of econoff's visit, the CPC director
of overseas exploration had been summoned to the National
Security Council for consultations. According to CPC, the
Taiwan portion of the oil concession covers an area adjacent
to the "Cliveden/EnCana lease". The $30 million oil
exploration agreement with Chad will cover initial

exploration costs. CPC hopes that the 4-year exploration
license will allow Taiwan to find oil and to export it
through Cameroon.



3. (C) AIT met later with MOFA Africa Bureau Section Chief
Alex Cheng to get a readout of Chad/Taiwan relations in the
context of this oil agreement. Cheng said Taiwan/Chad ties
date back to 1997. Cheng did not explain the coincidence of
Chad petroleum minister Hassan's visit to Taiwan shortly
after the World Bank ended its the loan agreement with Chad,
but he added that Taiwan has an extensive aid program in
Chad. Taiwan's aid program covers agriculture,
infrastructure, medical assistance and education. Cheng
refused to divulge the total value of this aid simply saying
that was confidential information. He denied allegations that
part of the aid consisted of light weapons saying that was a
fabrication by an American scholar. (Note: Taiwan press
reports claim that the Taiwan ambassador was called from the
airport as he was leaving country to be informed that Chad
finally agreed to sign the oil exploration agreement. It also
reports that Taiwan gave in to Chad's demands for additional
aid in order to keep its tenuous diplomatic ties with Chad.
End note) Asked how Taiwan will be able to export the oil it
hopes to find in its concession, Cheng admitted that the
closest connection was the Doba oilfields located south of
the concession and that he didn't know how any oil found
would be shipped from Taiwan's concession area. Acknowledging
the importance of the World Bank's continued investment in
the Chad Cameroon oil pipeline, Cheng said however, that the
primary investors in the pipeline were the major oil
companies of EXXON/MOBIL with additional investment from
Malaysia's Petronas.

THE PRC CONNECTION: CLIVEDEN AND THE RECLUSIVE MILLIONAIRE
-------------- --------------


4. (U) Based on news reports, Cliveden, the Swiss company
owned by a British national: reclusive millionaire oil/dealer
Friedhelm Eronat, reached a $45 million deal with the PRC's
National Petroleum Company CNPC for a 50 percent share in
Cliveden. The other 50 percent is owned by Canadian partner
EnCana (a Canadian energy company). According to news
sources, EnCana was not notified by its partner of the
Chinese purchase until after the deal was finalized. EnCana
has since pulled out of Chad and Taiwan has been sold the
EnCana concession. CPC officials confirmed that their
concession is right next to the PRC's in an area that has a

high potential for oil deposits.


THE CHAD CAMEROON PIPELINE: WORLD BANK HOLDS SWAY
-------------- --------------


5. (U) The controversial $3.7 billion dollar Chad-Cameroon
pipeline runs from the Southern Chad oilfields of Doba to
Cameroon's coast. It is 1,070 km in length and began
operation in 2003. In 2005 it produced oil revenues to Chad
of $399 million. (Note: according to Taiwan MOFA officials,
Chad only gets 12.5 percent of the total oil revenues; the
remainder goes to the oil companies. End note). An average of
225,000 barrels of oil per day can be shipped from southern
Chad to the Atlantic coast of Cameroon and exported. The
World Bank has advanced loans to Chad to finance the cost of
the pipeline. EXXON/MOBIL and Petronas have co-financed the
project with the World Bank. The loans to Chad were made with
the proviso that Chad would use part of its oil revenue to
help its poor through social programs in health, education,
etc. Reports of the Chad authorities using part of the oil
revenue to purchase weapons to fight a civil war between its
Muslim north and Christian/Animist south have led the World
Bank to reconsider its loan commitment.


6Q(C) COMMENT. This is not the first time that Taiwan has
bowed to the pressures of diplomatic recognition. Although
CPC officials only refer to the $17 million exploration
agreement (advance payment on the $30 million agreement) it
is clear that this was not the only sum that was pledged by
Taiwan. While the exploration agreement looks promising for
Taiwan, without the World Bank's financing of the
Chad-Cameroon pipeline, the oil will not flow and Taiwan may
soon find itself being pressured by Chad for more assistance.
In order to get its exploration going and to be able to
explain to the public that it has potential, CPC will need to
show that its agreement with Chad is economically sound.
Therefore Taiwan and Chad have great interest in keeping the
WB engaged in the pipeline for the long run. CPC officials
have four years to prove that their concession has oil and
can be economically exploited. With so much at stake in the
Chad oil deal, it is no wonder that Taiwan is intent on
keeping the World Bank engaged in Chad. END COMMENT
KEEGAN