Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05TAIPEI1112
2005-03-15 12:32:00
CONFIDENTIAL
American Institute Taiwan, Taipei
Cable title:  

SPECIAL BUDGET POLITICS: NO PLAN TO SPLIT PACKAGE

Tags:  PREL MASS MARR PGOV CH TW 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TAIPEI 001112 

SIPDIS

STATE PASS AIT/W

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/01/2015
TAGS: PREL MASS MARR PGOV CH TW
SUBJECT: SPECIAL BUDGET POLITICS: NO PLAN TO SPLIT PACKAGE


Classified By: AIT Deputy Director David J. Keegan, Reason: 1.4 (B/D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TAIPEI 001112

SIPDIS

STATE PASS AIT/W

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/01/2015
TAGS: PREL MASS MARR PGOV CH TW
SUBJECT: SPECIAL BUDGET POLITICS: NO PLAN TO SPLIT PACKAGE


Classified By: AIT Deputy Director David J. Keegan, Reason: 1.4 (B/D)


1. (C) Summary: National Security Council (NSC) officials
denied March 11 press reports that the Ministry of National
Defense (MND) is preparing to remove PAC-III anti-air systems
from the special defense procurement budget package awaiting
approval by the Legislative Yuan (LY). The Chen
administration is prepared to accept a reduction in the
overall funding-levels for the package, on the assumption
that shortfalls can be made up through the regular annual
budget cycles. However, NSC officials are adamant that they
will resist calls from opposition legislators to restructure
the substance of the package. In order to address USG
concerns, MND Minister Lee Jye has agreed to clarify publicly
and in writing to the USG that the government is committed to
moving ahead during the current LY session on all three
programs in the special defense procurement budget package.
End Summary.

Bad Report?
--------------


2. (C) NSC aide Cmdr. Yu Hsiao-pin told AIT that March 11
media reports stating that MND Minister Lee Jye had agreed to
move the PAC-III missile procurement program from the special
budget currently under review by the LY into the regular
budget cycle were inaccurate. Yu, following up to a March 11
AIT request for clarification, said that MND Minister Lee
explained to the NSC on March 12 that the Taiwan media
reports were the result of a miscommunication. According to
Lee, during a March 10 press conference a reporter asked
whether Lee supported the proposal by People First Party
(PFP) Defense Committee Co-chair Lin Yu-fang to move the
PAC-III anti-missile system portion of the special
procurement budget into the regular budget cycle (Septel).
This approach would entail breaking the package into parts,
likely delaying the start of PAC-III procurement until the
next regular MND procurement budget is submitted to the LY in
two years. Lee told the NSC that he did not hear the
question, and proceeded to close the meeting with his

standard "that's it" (jiu shi zheiyang). According to Yu,
the reporters apparently took Lee's comment as affirmation
and proceeded to report the story accordingly.


3. (C) Yu contacted AIT a second time on March 15 to add
further information. Yu said that NSC Deputy Secretary
General Henry Ko urged Lee earlier in the day to clarify
directly to the USG his commitment to keeping the PAC-III
system in the special budget. Yu said that Lee asked the NSC
to convey to AIT his agreement to make the following steps to
ease possible USG concerns: 1) Lee will find an early public
forum to publicly clarify his position on the PAC-IIIs; 2)
MND will instruct TECRO to deliver a formal clarification to
OSD/ISA Gen. Allen; and 3) Lee will sign a letter to DUSD
Lawless committing MND to moving forward on the entire
three-program special budget package.

All or Nothing
--------------


4. (C) Yu further clarified that the government is firmly
against the idea of separating funding for the PAC-III
launchers from the missiles. Yu said the government will
move ahead on the entire PAC-III program -- launchers and
missiles together -- as soon as it secures approval from the
LY. Yu added that the Chen administration has also decided
against revisiting the earlier "2.2" proposal to use the
current special budget funds to only support the full PAC-III
and P-3C programs and the design and planning stages of the
submarine program. Under this proposal, a second special
budget would then fund the remainder of the submarine
program. Noting the difficulty of engaging Taiwan's LY, Yu
stated that no one in the government wanted to try to submit
a second special budget request two years in the future. As
an aside, Yu asserted that it is President Chen Shui-bian who
is most actively pushing submarine procurement rather than
MND Minister Lee, despite Lee's submariner background.


5. (C) Yu acknowledged that the government is resigned to
accepting significant cuts in the proposed funding levels for
the special budget package, but insisted that they would
compensate for these through out-year injection of funds from
the regular budget. Yu acknowledged that moving any of the
three programs, but particularly the PAC-III system, into the
regular budget cycle would result in a two year delay. For
this reason, Yu said the government would reject demands by
the Pan-Blue to fully move any of the three programs into the
regular budget process.

Improving Coordination
--------------


6. (C) Yu endorsed AIT suggestions that the government use
the March 14 PRC passage of the Anti-Secession Law to enhance
its case for accelerated action on the special procurement
budget, noting that the NSC has advised President Chen along
similar lines. Yu noted that the MND, Executive Yuan (EY),
and NSC have scheduled a lunch meeting on March 18 to
formulate a PR strategy that will seek to leverage recent
attention to the Anti-Secession Law. Yu expressed
disappointment, however, over the government's weak
coordination on special budget strategy, noting that the NSC
asked to hold the meeting earlier, but was unable to assemble
the key players before March 18. Yu also noted that
coordination between the NSC, EY, and MND appeared to unravel
while Ko and he were away from Taipei in early March. Yu
said, however, that after his return, Ko instructed the
various players on the issue to communicate more actively
with each other. Yu said that MND and NSC are also eager to
bring AIT more actively in on their LY strategy planning.

Comment: On Notice
--------------


7. (C) Even well-placed officials inside MND privately
expressed suspicion that reports of Lee's endorsement for
removing the PAC-IIIs from the special budget package may
have been at least partially accurate. However, quick
intervention by the Taiwan NSC and AIT appears to have put
MND on notice that Washington is watching closely for any
signs that elements within MND, especially those representing
Navy interests, might try to sacrifice the PAC-III systems in
order to secure early Pan-Blue support for the submarines.
AIT has also let the PFP leadership know that we do not look
favorably on Defense Committee Co-Chair Lin's proposal to
delay action on procuring anti-missile systems that would
address an immediate Taiwan defense need.
PAAL