Identifier | Created | Classification | Origin |
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05SANJOSE2718 | 2005-11-23 22:37:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy San Jose |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. |
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 SAN JOSE 002718 |
1. The responses below key off reftel. A) PREPAREDNESS/COMMUNICATION -- DOES THE GOVERNMENT HAVE A PREPAREDNESS PLAN/STRATEGY FOR PREVENTING AVIAN FLU FROM BECOMING A PANDEMIC AND CONTAINING A PANDEMIC ONCE IT OCCURS? IF THE COUNTRY HAS A STRATEGY, HOW CAPABLE IS IT OF IMPLEMENTING IT? PLEASE PROVIDE A COPY OF THE PLAN OR THE INTERNET ADDRESS FOR THE PLAN. The GOCR is finalizing a preparedness plan establishing a Core Commission on avian flu seating key ministries and agencies like the Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Health, and the Costa Rican Fund for Social Security (Caja Costarricense de Seguridad Social -CCSS), which administers the country's public health care system. The plan also establishes a Communications Council that would manage outreach and education activities. The plan is modeled along the recommendations that emerged from the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization. The private sector has not yet been consulted or incorporated into the plan. A copy of the plan will be forwarded when it is issued. Capacity for implementing the strategy is low. Much will rely on the good will and common sense of the Costa Rican public to follow what will essentially be voluntary measures. The view among doctors is that emphasis of any effort should be on education before an outbreak as an epidemic would quickly overwhelm the health system. -- HOW TRUTHFUL WILL THE GOVERNMENT BE IN REPORTING THE SCOPE OF ANY DISEASE OUTBREAK AMONG PEOPLE? AMONG ANIMALS? WHAT INCENTIVES COULD BE OFFERED THAT WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN MORE TRANSPARENCY? We expect the GOCR to be truthful in reporting the scope of the disease in animals or humans. Costa Rica's Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock has good avian disease surveillance capabilities and a longstanding cooperative relationship with USDA's Animal & Plant Health Inspection Service. Difficulty in diagnosing the disease in humans and slow processing time of tests rather than a lack of truthfulness would be the more likely cause of a delay in reporting the scope of the disease in CR, should it be introduced. Timely reporting could be bolstered by contributing to an adequate supply of fast-reading tests that would permit a quicker diagnosis. -- WHERE DOES PREPARING FOR AN AVIAN FLU HUMAN PANDEMIC RANK AMONG GOVERNMENT PRIORITIES? WHO AND WHAT WOULD MOST INFLUENCE THE COUNTRY TO GIVE THE ISSUE A HIGHER PRIORITY? WHO IS THE KEY "GO-TO" PERSON, OFFICE OR DEPARTMENT (I.E. MINISTER FOR HEALTH, PRIME MINISTER, ETC.) FOR USG OFFICIALS TO ENGAGE ON THIS ISSUE? The Ministry of Health moved quickly to organize its approach and develop possible strategies (The Ministry of Agriculture already had an AI surveillance program in place). Avian flu and its implications for Costa Rica have received considerable public relations play. However, avian flu preparation is likely to take a back seat to pressing issues like burgeoning dengue numbers, malaria, TB, and deficient infrastructure. Key go-to people include the Minister of Health; Ministry of Health avian flu coordinator Dr. Salas; and senior officials at the CCSS. -- HAVE NATIONAL LAWS BEEN REVIEWED TO ENSURE THAT THEY ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE INTERNATIONAL HEALTH REGULATIONS AND DO NOT POSE BARRIERS TO AVIAN INFLUENZA DETECTION, REPORTING, CONTAINMENT, OR RESPONSE? Answer is not known. -- IS THE HOST COUNTRY ALREADY WORKING WITH INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS OR OTHER COUNTRIES ON THE AVIAN FLU ISSUE? ARE GOVERNMENT LEADERS LIKELY TO ASK FOR ASSISTANCE FROM THE US OR OTHER COUNTRIES? WOULD GOVERNMENT LEADERS BE RECEPTIVE TO MESSAGES FROM US LEADERS THROUGH A BILATERAL APPROACH, AT A MULTILATERAL FORUM SUCH AS THE UN (WHO,FAO,ETC.) OR APEC, OR THROUGH BILATERAL CONTACTS BY A THIRD COUNTRY? WHAT WOULD THE COUNTRY WANT FROM THE US IN RETURN FOR ITS EFFORTS? GOCR is working with the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization. GOCR is likely to seek U.S. assistance if an outbreak occurs. From technical staff to the Minister of Health, the Ministry of Health has comfortable contacts with their U.S. counterparts. GOCR would be open to whatever approach is likely to deliver assistance and cooperation soonest in the case of an emergency. In the preparedness phase, GOCR is likely to look to the U.S. for expertise and assistance in planning and in underwriting development of stockpiles. In case of an impending pandemic scenario, GOCR is likely to seek access and financing for vaccines and medicines. Depending on the scale of the outbreak, GOCR might request supplies needed to establish makeshift isolation wards or financial assistance to underwrite certain deferred infrastructure improvements. -- DOES THE COUNTRY CURRENTLY ADMINISTER ANNUAL FLU SHOTS? IF NOT, MIGHT IT CONSIDER DOING SO? WHAT IS THE PRODUCTION CAPABILITY (I.E. HOW MANY DOSES OF THE ANNUAL TRIVALENT FLU VACCINE CAN THE COUNTRY MAKE) FOR HUMAN INFLUENZA VACCINES IN THE COUNTRY? DOES THE COUNTRY PRODUCE INFLUENZA VACCINE FOR POULTRY AND IF SO HOW MUCH? IF THE COUNTRY IS DEVELOPING AN H5N1 VACCINE, WHERE IS IT IN PRODUCTION AND TESTING? ANY LICENSING ISSUES? IS THERE A LIABILITY SHIELD FOR FOREIGN MAKERS/DONORS OF VACCINES? IF NOT, ANY PROSPECTS OF ONE BEING ENACTED? Costa Rica administers annual flu shots to its most vulnerable population --children, the elderly, those with Cardiopulmonary Disease, or cardiopathology. Costa Rica does not produce vaccines. An H5N1 vaccine is not in development. Post does not know whether there is a liability shield for donors or foreign manufacturers. --HOW WELL INFORMED IS THE POPULATION ABOUT THE AVIAN FLU THREAT AND ABOUT MEASURES THEY SHOULD TAKE TO MITIGATE THE THREAT? WHAT MECHANISMS ARE AVAILABLE FOR PROVIDING ADDITIONAL INFORMATION TO THE POPULATION, PARTICULARLY IN RURAL AREAS AND HOW EFFECTIVE ARE THESE MEASURES? Recent press coverage focused on the risks of avian flu. The population is aware of the risk, but are likely not familiar with measures they can take to mitigate the threat. Most of the population can be reached through newspapers, TV and radio. The CCSS, system of hospitals and health care centers is within reach of most of the population. Of particular concern are the aboriginal peoples of remote southern Costa Rica, who are the hardest for the government to reach and whose subsistence farming occurs near wilderness areas that may host migratory birds. B) SURVEILLANCE/DETECTION -- HOW CAPABLE ARE THE MEDICAL AND AGRICULTURE SECTORS OF DETECTING A NEW STRAIN OF INFLUENZA AMONG PEOPLE OR ANIMALS RESPECTIVELY? HOW LONG MIGHT IT TAKE FOR CASES TO BE PROPERLY DIAGNOSED, GIVEN OTHER ENDEMIC DISEASES? CAN INFLUENZA VIRUSES BE SUBTYPED IN THE COUNTRY, IF SO BY WHO, AND IF NOT WHERE ARE THEY SENT? DOES THE COUNTRY SEND SAMPLES TO A WHO/EU/US REFERENCE LABORATORY? We expect that detection capacity by the Health Ministry is good and that Agriculture's capacity is better. However, the lack of quick flu tests indicates that Costa Rican tests may take a week or more to establish presence of the disease in humans - a delay inconsistent with the nature of a pandemic emergency. Influenza viruses are sent to CDC/Atlanta for subtyping. -- WHAT ARE THE CRITICAL GAPS THAT NEED TO BE FILLED IN ORDER TO ENHANCE THE COUNTRY'S DISEASE DETECTION AND OUTBREAK RESPONSE CAPABILITIES? WHAT IS THE COUNTRY'S GREATEST NEED IN THIS AREA FROM THE US OR INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS? Key gaps include shortage of fast flu tests for the number required in case of a pandemic; limited ability to isolate sick patients - and inadequate infrastructure for handling suspicious cases- waiting rooms are not separated between the infectious and non-infectious and many sick individuals using public transport to get to hospitals. GOCR could use equipment and supplies to quickly distinguish among types of flu. C) RESPONSE/CONTAINMENT -- DOES THE COUNTRY HAVE A STOCKPILE OF MEDICATIONS, PARTICULARLY OF ANTIVIRALS, AND IF SO HOW MUCH? IF SOME HAS BEEN ORDERED, HOW MUCH AND WHEN IS IT EXPECTED? NO. GOCR is considering an order for sufficient vaccines for 50 percent of their population. The GOCR has not decided whether to put itself on the waiting list for Tamiflu orders. --DOES THE COUNTRY HAVE A STOCKPILE OF PRE-POSITIONED PERSONAL PROTECTIVE GEAR? GOCR only has on hand a stockpile of personal gear to meet normal needs. Sometimes major public Hospitals have shortages for normal needs due to distribution problems. --WHAT IS THE RAPID RESPONSE CAPACITY FOR ANIMAL AND HUMAN OUTBREAKS? ARE GUIDELINES IN PLACE FOR THE CULLING AND VACCINATION OF BIRDS, DISINFECTING OF FACILITIES, AND LIMITATIONS ON ANIMAL MOVEMENT? Good. GOCR has worked with APHIS on tracking diseases among domesticated poultry and other animals. -- HOW WILLING AND CAPABLE IS THE GOVERNMENT OF IMPOSING QUARANTINES AND SOCIAL DISTANCING MEASURES (CLOSING SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GATHERINGS, MASS TRANSIT)? WOULD ITS MILITARY ENFORCE QUARANTINES? GOCR can persuade organizers to cancel many public events. However, its capacity for enforcing restraints on private behavior is limited. With no military, civil security forces will bear the burden of persuading citizens to respect government recommendations. 2. COMMENT: Costa Rica's underfunded, deteriorating health care system is unlikely to be able to handle a full-scale epidemic. Should the first line of defense, isolation of the earliest cases, fail to contain the outbreak, the health care system will have to resort to home quarantine, rely on the "Honor System" for restraining public activities, and trust that the common sense of the citizenry will respect precautionary measures. In this case, as one doctor put it to the Embassy nurse, "Cada uno a su santo" - Each to his saint. End comment. LANGDALE |