Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05RANGOON861
2005-07-25 06:55:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Rangoon
Cable title:  

GOB OFFICIAL: FREEDOM FOR ASSK "INEVITABLE"

Tags:  PGOV PHUM PREL BM ASSK 
pdf how-to read a cable
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L RANGOON 000861 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/BCLTV; PACOM FOR FPA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/24/2015
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL BM ASSK
SUBJECT: GOB OFFICIAL: FREEDOM FOR ASSK "INEVITABLE"

REF: A. RANGOON 860

B. RANGOON 814 AND PREVIOUS

Classified By: COM Carmen Martinez for Reasons 1.4 (b,d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L RANGOON 000861

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/BCLTV; PACOM FOR FPA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/24/2015
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL BM ASSK
SUBJECT: GOB OFFICIAL: FREEDOM FOR ASSK "INEVITABLE"

REF: A. RANGOON 860

B. RANGOON 814 AND PREVIOUS

Classified By: COM Carmen Martinez for Reasons 1.4 (b,d)


1. (C) Summary: A senior MFA official told Emboffs it is
"inevitable" that the SPDC generals will release ASSK in
order to include her in the national reconciliation process
and achieve a durable solution to the country's political
crisis. However, while the official's observations are
logical, we continue to assess that the illogical SPDC is
unlikely to release ASSK or other senior opposition leaders
anytime soon. End Summary


2. (C) During a July 22 courtesy call on Denzil Abel, the
MFA's Director for International Organizations (ref A),A/DCM
and P/E officer pressed for the release of political
opposition leaders Aung San Suu Kyi (ASSK),U Tin Oo, and
Hkun Htun Oo--observing that their prolonged detention would
continue to hamper progress on a host of bilateral and
multilateral issues of importance to the GOB.


3. (C) Abel, clearly uncomfortable at having to respond to
issues involving ASSK, offered that in order to achieve a
durable solution to Burma's political crisis it is inevitable
that "they" (SPDC generals) will have to make the national
conciliation process "an inclusive one"--predicting that at
some undefined point ASSK would be released and consulted.


4. (C) We also noted that recent releases of political
prisoners (ref B) were a step in the right direction, but
that Burma needed to release all political prisoners,
including ASSK, in order to achieve progress in engaging such
institutions as the UNGA, the UNCHR, the ILO, and ASEAN.
Abel acknowledged this point and said that (the SPDC) "can't
continue to operate in a vacuum" without the country's
political opposition.


5. (C) Comment: Abel's comments are noteworthy given the
rarity that GOB officials will address with us the current
detention of ASSK and other high-profile democracy leaders.
However, he and his senior MFA colleagues, including the
Foreign Minister, are not decision makers and have little
influence with the SPDC regime. His conclusion that the
generals will have to deal eventually with ASSK is a logical
one. However, we continue to assess that, despite external
pressure, the interminably illogical SPDC believes there is
no significant incentive in releasing ASSK--and no particular
disincentive in keeping her detained. End Comment.
Martinez