Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05OTTAWA3765
2005-12-29 21:17:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Ottawa
Cable title:  

OPPOSITION PARTIES SEIZE ON RCMP INVESTIGATION OF

Tags:  EFIN ECON PREL CA SIPDIS 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 003765 

SIPDIS

NOFORN

DEPARTMENT FOR EB/IFD/OMA, AND WHA/CAN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/07/2015
TAGS: EFIN ECON PREL CA SIPDIS
SUBJECT: OPPOSITION PARTIES SEIZE ON RCMP INVESTIGATION OF
POSSIBLE LEAK FROM DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE

REF: 04 OTTAWA 2822 (IMETS)

Classified By: Classified by Curtis Stone, Acting Economics Minister Co
unselor, Ottawa. Reason: 1.4(b) and (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 003765

SIPDIS

NOFORN

DEPARTMENT FOR EB/IFD/OMA, AND WHA/CAN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/07/2015
TAGS: EFIN ECON PREL CA SIPDIS
SUBJECT: OPPOSITION PARTIES SEIZE ON RCMP INVESTIGATION OF
POSSIBLE LEAK FROM DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE

REF: 04 OTTAWA 2822 (IMETS)

Classified By: Classified by Curtis Stone, Acting Economics Minister Co
unselor, Ottawa. Reason: 1.4(b) and (d).


1. (U) Summary: Opposition parties have seized on
confirmation of an RCMP criminal investigation into the
possible leak of tax information from the Department of
Finance, calling for Finance Minister Ralph Goodale to
resign. Goodale, reiterating his confidence that he, his
political staff, and officials at the Finance Department will
be cleared, has said he does not intend to step aside. The
story led the national news and was carried in front, not
business, sections of the newspapers but it is too early to
tell if this will affect the outcome of the January 23
election. End summary.


2. (U) In a letter to NDP Finance Critic Judy
Wasylycia-Leis, Commissioner Giuliano Zaccardelli confirmed
that the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) will
investigate "a possible breach of security or illegal
transfer of information in advance of the federal
government's announcement of changes to the taxation of
Canadian corporate dividends and income trusts Nov. 23,
2005." He added that there is no evidence of wrongdoing by
anyone including Mr. Goodale.

What happened?
--------------


3. (U) The investigation arose from a request by
Wasylycia-Leis, who was concerned about a surge in trading in
the hours before Minister Goodale announced his new policy.
On November 23, after markets closed, Minister Goodale
announced that he had decided not to tax investment trusts
but would cut taxes on corporate dividends to reduce the
advantage that income trusts had enjoyed in the market. The
GOC has long expressed concern about the surge in the
tax-advantaged income trusts and was widely expected to
increase taxes on those instruments.


4. (U) Goodale's announcement was preceded by unusually
heavy trading and sharp increases in the price of financial
instruments that would benefit from the new policy. A
forensic accountant who examined the trading records told the

press that he would guess "there was an over 90 per cent
probability of insider trading" and that the case requires an
investigation. Canada's Association for the Fifty-Plus
(CARP) has vigorously denied a TV report that it received a
call on November 23 from the Liberals reporting that
something was going to be said (about income trusts).

Campaign Windfall for the Opposition
--------------


5. (U) Wasylyscia-Leis has asked that Goodale step aside as
Finance Minister and the Conservative party is also calling
for Goodale's resignation. When allegations of a leak first
arose, Minister Goodale stated that he was confident that
neither Finance officials nor his ministerial staff leaked
the information. He confirmed December 28 that "I have
looked at this situation very carefully and I am absolutely
confident about my conduct in this matter and I do not see
any basis on which to resign." With over three weeks to go
in a hard-fought election campaign, the Minister is not in
Ottawa these days, or involved in policy decisions at
Finance.

What next?
--------------


6. (U) Commissioner Zaccardelli has confirmed that the RCMP
is investigating the possible leak. This type of
investigation is likely to be handled by the Commercial
Crimes section rather than the Integrated Market Enforcement
Teams (reftel),although they might call on the IMET for
expertise.


7. (U) Market Regulatory Service (MRS) is the regulatory
body with jurisdiction in this case. MRS was created when
the Toronto Stock Exchange was privatized and has
responsibility for monitoring the markets. Self regulatory
organizations such as the Investment Dealers Association
would not be likely have a role in the investigation.


8. (C/Noforn) The Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) has
not said publicly whether it is investigating the complaint
(although it was requested to do so by the Conservative
party),but the OSC manager of Surveillance Enforcement
(please protect) told us this is not an insider trading case
as the Minister, and Finance officials, do not have a
"special relationship" with the traders. Although he was
reluctant to discuss the case, he said the OSC could take
action on public interest grounds "if it (the leak) happened"
but would need to establish a profit motive (presumably by
the leaker). He confirmed that Federal officials are not
"issuers" subject to OSC regulation. Comment: The OSC would
clearly like to steer clear of this controversy. End comment.


9. (C) At the Department of Finance, the issue of taxation
of dividends and income trusts was handled by officials in
the Financial Sector Branch, the Tax Branch, and of course by
the Minister's staff and the communications office. A
high-level public servant at Finance said the investigation
has not had an impact on his staff yet, although he expects
"the RCMP will be around to talk to us." He is confident
that, if there was a leak, it was not from bureaucrats at
Finance. "I know the people here and know how they handle
things, and we handle much more sensitive things routinely"
(without leaks).


10. (C/Noforn) Comment: This investigation joins the
Dingwall affair and the sponsorship scandal in cementing the
image of Liberal Party entitlement and corruption, although
the Opposition may be jumping a bit prematurely as the
investigation is still in a very early stage. (Conservative
Party Leader Steven Harper, contradicting his party's
official press release, said at a press conference today that
he personally hopes Goodale doesn't resign, but continues to
campaign as a symbol of Liberal corruption.) While the
impact on voters is not clear, the investigation's timing,
following recent embarrassing gaffes by Liberal staffers, is
just one more negative for a party trying to dig out from
under the perception of corruption revealed by the
sponsorship scandal.


11. (C/Noforn) Comment continued: Whether or not there was
wrongdoing involved, the politically inept handling of the
issue of taxing income trusts in one in a series of decisions
on which the Liberal party has stumbled. There had been
criticism that the popularity of income trusts reflected the
need to revamp the entire corporate tax system rather than
focusing on penalizing one product. The November 23 decision
was preceded by what one columnist described as the Liberals
"sending mixed signals, dithering, contradicting themselves."
The long-delayed clarification on bank mergers is another
example of a decision that has significant financial sector
ramifications but successive governments have chosen inaction
and ambiguity over clear policy making.

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WILKINS