Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05MUSCAT98
2005-01-17 12:51:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Muscat
Cable title:  

MUSCAT MEDIA REACTION: POST ELECTION PALESTINE, IRAQI

Tags:  KPAO KMDR OIIP MU 
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UNCLAS MUSCAT 000098 

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR NEA/ARP (TROBERTS),NEA/PPD (CWHITTLESEY),NEA/P
(FFINVER),INR/R/MR
LONDON FOR GOLDRICH
PARIS FOR ZEYA
USCENTCOM FOR PLUSH
FOREIGN PRESS CENTER/ASILAS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KPAO KMDR OIIP MU
SUBJECT: MUSCAT MEDIA REACTION: POST ELECTION PALESTINE, IRAQI
ELECTION BOYCOTT, TROOP WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ

-------------
The Hard Part
-------------

UNCLAS MUSCAT 000098

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR NEA/ARP (TROBERTS),NEA/PPD (CWHITTLESEY),NEA/P
(FFINVER),INR/R/MR
LONDON FOR GOLDRICH
PARIS FOR ZEYA
USCENTCOM FOR PLUSH
FOREIGN PRESS CENTER/ASILAS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KPAO KMDR OIIP MU
SUBJECT: MUSCAT MEDIA REACTION: POST ELECTION PALESTINE, IRAQI
ELECTION BOYCOTT, TROOP WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ

--------------
The Hard Part
--------------


1. Government-owned Arabic daily "Oman" published an editorial on
January 15 under the title, "After the Palestinian Election":

"Now that the Palestinians have democratically elected Mr. Abbas
as their leader, the hard part will begin. Mr. Abbas in his new
role as President must now carry the weight of his people's
hopes, dreams and desires. If President Abbas is unable to gain
control of the disputed territories that Palestinians consider
their own or significantly improve the bleak Palestinian economy,
his supporters will quickly turn against him. Hamas and Islamic
Jihad officially boycotted the presidential election, though
members of both groups participated in the municipal elections.
Despite the boycott, both groups expressed a willingness to
cooperate with President Abbas. U.S. President George Bush's
prompt endorsement of the Abbas victory further strengthened the
prospects of the new president. The endorsement indicates the
importance that the U.S. places on the success of the Abbas
presidency. If a peace settlement is to be achieved during the
current Bush administration, the U.S. will need to provide
millions in aid to the Palestinians ... However, questions remain
as to whether the U.S. will be able to provide Abbas the support
he needs. After all, completing the mission in Iraq is also a
big priority for Bush."

--------------
Three-fourths of Iraq
--------------


2. On January 13, privately-owned Arabic daily "Al-Watan" carried
an editorial entitled, "The Tragedy of Iraq":

"One U.S. official has gone on record saying that the proposed
election will be considered acceptable if polling can be held in
three-fourths or four-fifths of the country, essentially the
majority of Iraq. Unfortunately, this kind of arithmetic is
unrealistic since over one fourth of the non-participating cities
fall largely in Sunni majority areas. Cities like Fallujah have
already been designated `no go' areas for polling because of the
extreme measures taken to ensure security in the zone. The Shia-
majority Baghdad suburb of Sadr City presents no less a security
challenge and is also considered a `no go' area. Yet how can
these Iraqi voices be excluded simply because they live in cities
with tenuous security? If the Iraqi elections are held under the
present circumstances, they will have little credibility with the
Iraqi people and will, therefore, fail, making it even more
difficult for the America and its allies to ensure a safe
withdrawal from the quagmire that Iraq has become."

-------------- --------------
Should Elections in Iraqi Mean American Withdrawal?
-------------- --------------


3. On January 13, privately-owned Arabic daily "Al-Watan" carried
an editorial entitled, "Changes through The Election":

"The Iraqi elections are a crucial final step before the U.S.
really returns power to the people of Iraq and not simply to the
U.S.-imposed Allawi interim government. It is vitally important
that the U.S. and Iraqi people alike understand that this
election will not bring the fighting to an end. What it will do,
however, is shift the fighting to the political arena with Iraqis
quarreling over positions of power in their own country, as
opposed to the current situation in which Iraqis are fighting a
foreign occupying force. Washington should show support for the
upcoming election by offering to withdraw U.S. troops following
the election. If the U.S. were to make such an announcement, it
would light a fire under the Iraqis, alerting them to the fact
that the time of the U.S. intervention is nearly over -- almost
two years after the war began. This announcement would also
alert Iraq's neighbors and the rest of the world that someone
other than the United States will be taking responsibility for
the political and security environment in Iraq."

BALTIMORE