Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05MUMBAI188
2005-01-18 10:52:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Mumbai
Cable title:  

BANERJEE STATES GODHRA FIRE MAY HAVE BEEN ACCIDENT - BJP

Tags:  PGOV PHUM PREL IN 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS MUMBAI 000188 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL IN
SUBJECT: BANERJEE STATES GODHRA FIRE MAY HAVE BEEN ACCIDENT - BJP
DISAGREE

REF: 2004 MUMBAI 2344


UNCLAS MUMBAI 000188

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL IN
SUBJECT: BANERJEE STATES GODHRA FIRE MAY HAVE BEEN ACCIDENT - BJP
DISAGREE

REF: 2004 MUMBAI 2344



1. (U) Justice U.C. Banerjee released an interim report in New
Delhi on January 17, 2005, which claimed that the February 27,
2002 fire in car S-6 of the Sabarmati Express just outside
Godhra might have erupted "in the coach itself without any
external input." Union Railway Minister Lalu Prasad Yadav of
the RJD in Bihar formed the Banerjee committee (a one-man
committee comprised solely of Banerjee himself) in September
2004 to discover the cause of the Godhra incident. The fire
burnt to death fifty-nine Hindu pilgrims and sparked-off
Hindu-Muslim violence in Gujarat from March to May 2002, killing
an estimated 1,000 to 2,000 people, a majority of them Muslims.


BJP Doesn't Agree with Justice Banerjee
--------------


2. (U) BJP Chief Minister Narendra Modi of Gujarat has always
claimed that Muslim "miscreants" from the town of Godhra set the
fire. National BJP leaders criticized the timing of the report's
release, with National BJP spokesperson Arun Jaitley saying it
was clearly aimed at garnering Muslim votes in the upcoming
February 2005 state legislature election.

Accident or Conspiracy?
--------------


3. (U) Depending upon their political persuasion, Indian
interlocutors have always advocated various theories about the
cause of the fire. According to the RSS and its various partner
organizations, it was a deliberate conspiracy by Muslims. Human
rights activists have claimed that the fire could not have been
set from outside, and that the car was locked from inside
(preventing any Muslims from entering the car and starting the
fire). As the Times of India on January 18, 2005 puts it, "The
(Banerjee) report, however, does not go so far as to blame the
kar sevaks (pilgrims) and others for starting the fire
deliberately in order to achieve the communal divide." The
Banerjee report has suggested the possibility that the kar
sevaks might have been cooking inside the car and that might
have set off the fire accidentally.


4. (U) The Gujarat police are still working on their own
investigation of the incident and have stated, via the media,
that they disagree with the report entirely. Rakesh Asthana, a
senior Gujarat police official heading the inquiry into the
train fire, told a media conference a few hours after the
report's release that police evidence indicates that someone
collected gasoline in a small hotel in Godhra the night before,
entered the car while it was in Godhra station, set the fire and
ran away.

Comment:
--------------


5. (SBU) The timing of the release of the report is indeed
significant. Some observers have stated that Indian Muslims
voted overwhelmingly anti-BJP and its coalition partners to show
their displeasure for the 2002 Gujarat violence in the April-May
2004 national elections, and in the September 2004 Maharashtra
state elections. The high-profile Best Bakery case being
retried in a Mumbai court may now be unraveling because the
chief witness has recanted (reftel),which may be causing some
Muslims to have second thoughts about voting for the UPA.


6. (SBU) Railway Minister Yadav is elated by the outcome and is
taking credit for instituting the report, which he claims
discredits the former BJP government. Yadav's RJD government in
Bihar faces the voters early in February and his opponents are
scoring points with their accusations of mismanagement and
corruption. Bihari Muslims are a key constituency of Yadav's
winning caste and communal equation in Bihar, and he can now
claim to be their champion against the BJP "communalists." End
Comment.

SIMMONS