Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05LILONGWE152
2005-02-17 04:45:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Lilongwe
Cable title:  

PRESIDENT TO LAUNCH NEW PARTY; UDF DEFECTIONS

Tags:  PGOV KDEM MI 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LILONGWE 000152 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

FOR AF/S, INR/AA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM MI
SUBJECT: PRESIDENT TO LAUNCH NEW PARTY; UDF DEFECTIONS
CONTINUE

REF: LILONGWE 117

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LILONGWE 000152

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

FOR AF/S, INR/AA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM MI
SUBJECT: PRESIDENT TO LAUNCH NEW PARTY; UDF DEFECTIONS
CONTINUE

REF: LILONGWE 117


1. (U) Summary: President Mutharika intends to form a new
political party called the Democratic Progressive Party
(DPP). Mutharika has stated that, unlike his predecessor,
he will not be involved in the administration of the party,
but will only serve as its symbolic head. Meanwhile, the
president has gathered significant public support following
his resignation from the United Democratic Front (UDF),and
the exodus from that party continues. End summary.

New Party, New Style of Management
--------------


2. (SBU) President Mutharika has indicated that he intends
to launch a new political party, the Democratic Progressive
Party (DPP). In an interview with BBC last week and again
in a meeting with heads of mission of donor countries on
February 13, the President discussed his intention to form
the new party, although he has not yet made a formal
announcement.


3. (SBU) The president told the donor heads unequivocally
that "I can run this country without a party", but he
admitted that he must think ahead to the next general
election in 2009 and consolidate his political base.
Mutharika claimed that there is a "mass exodus" from the UDF
going on, even in rural areas that have been traditional
party strongholds. He said that support for a new party has
"come on like wildfire" and that he must capture that
political momentum. The president emphasized that he will
only be the figurehead of the DPP and will not be involved
in its operations. He added that he would appoint a
secretary general to run the party, that auditors will be

SIPDIS
hired, and that unlike Muluzi's UDF, he will not personally
control the party's assets.

Growing Support for Mutharika
--------------


4. (U) There has been a wave of public support for Mutharika
since his resignation from the UDF, from a wide range of
political figures. Most of the UDF's senior members have
expressed their support for the president and some have
resigned from the party. Almost the entire Cabinet, 23
independent parliamentarians, and a number of other veteran
politicians-- including opposition leaders Gwanda Chakuamba
of the Republican Party (RP) and Aleke Banda of the People's
Progressive Movement (PPM)-- have sided with the president.
Many grassroots supporters are also reported to be
abandoning the UDF.



5. (U) Some notable defections from the UDF include:

- Uladi Mussa, Minister of Home Affairs and Internal
Security. On February 8 Mussa resigned from the party and
declared himself an independent MP. He also publicly called
on Muluzi to resign from the UDF Chairmanship and retire
from politics.

- Dr. Isaac Lamba, historian and former Ambassador to the
UN. Lamba announced his resignation from the UDF on
February 4. He had previously served as UDF regional
Governor for the Central Region.

- Dr. Ben Dzowela, chairman of the agricultural parastatal
ADMARC. Dzowela resigned from the UDF National Executive
Committee on February 1, but has retained his membership in
the party. During the Muluzi Administration Dzowela served
as Ambassador-at-Large (at the Foreign Affairs) and Chair of
the University of Malawi Council. Dr. Dzowela said that
since "ADMARC is Parastatal Number 1" he felt he had to send
a clear message that he was with the President and not
Muluzi.

- Yusuf Mwawa, Minister of Education and Leader of the House
in Parliament announced his resignation from the UDF NEC,
but retained his seat in Parliament as a member of the UDF.

- Salule Masangwi, formerly the UDF's official spokesman,
resigned that position on February 1, but remains a member
of the party.

Comment
--------------


6. (SBU) One unknown quantity in this equation is Vice
President Cassim Chilumpha, who is also Water Development
Minister. Chilumpha is known to be a close ally of Muluzi,
and he has remained noticeably silent while most of the
Cabinet members have been trumpeting their support for
Mutharika. There is plenty of speculation on the street
about Chilumpha's future, but under Malawi's constitution
his job is secure, since the vice president is directly
elected and can only be removed from office through an
impeachment process.


7. (SBU) Independent MPs and former UDF members who have
declared their support and loyalty to President Mutharika
are probably going to end up in the new DPP. Malawians will
see many of them as political opportunists; this mass
desertion is reminiscent of politicians' abandonment of the
Malawi Congress Party (MCP) for opposition parties during
Malawi's democratization process from 1992 to 1994.


8. (U) Independent parliamentarians may join the DPP without
breaching Malawi's parliamentary aisle-crossing law, which
only prevents MPs from switching from one party to another
within Parliament. Moving from independent to an entirely
new party, or moving from party member to independent is not
explicitly prohibited. Mutharika's challenge lies not so
much in the constitutionality of his alliances but in the
political alliances of Parliament. Some observers estimate
that he will have about a 50/50 split in his parliamentary
support, which may make for a difficult road ahead.

GILMOUR