Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05LAGOS1570
2005-10-12 09:30:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Lagos
Cable title:  

NIGERIA'S VERSION OF MCDONALD'S SAYS PROFITS ARE

Tags:  ECON EINV EIND PGOV PREL NI 
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120930Z Oct 05
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 001570 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON EINV EIND PGOV PREL NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA'S VERSION OF MCDONALD'S SAYS PROFITS ARE
DOWN


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 001570

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON EINV EIND PGOV PREL NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA'S VERSION OF MCDONALD'S SAYS PROFITS ARE
DOWN



1. (SBU) Summary. The increase in food and transportation
prices had cut into the profit margins of Nigeria's
equivalent to McDonald's -- Mr. Biggs. The company's
executives told us food prices are rising because of weak
infrastructure, inconsistent agricultural policies, and lack
of local capacity to match demand for certain staple foods.
Executives stated profit margins decreased by one to two
percent from 2004 as the restaurant was forced to find
substitutes for food items such as rice. End Summary.

--------------
Mr. Biggs - Nigeria's Own McDonalds
--------------


2. (U) The United Africa Company (UAC) is one of Nigeria's
largest, diversified companies involved in agriculture,
manufacturing, logistics and warehousing, and the food and
beverage service industry. It owns the largest chain of fast
food restaurants in Nigeria -- Mr. Biggs with 137 stores
nation wide, including: Lagos (53),Port Harcourt (13),
Ibadan (8) and Abuja (7). UAC also produces its own brand
name ice cream, bread, and cereal goods.

--------------
Rising Food Prices Hurt Profit Margins
--------------


3. (SBU) UAC Head of Finance, Layi Adetomiwa, told us food
price increases as well increases in fuel prices,
transportation costs, and infrastructure costs were cutting
into the company's profit margins. Cost of production has
risen by 15-20 percent over last year, he said. Last year,
Mr. Biggs exceeded sales of naira 10 billion (USD 77 million)
with a profit margin of eight percent. This year, with more
stores, projected sales are between naira 11-12 billion (USD
85 million to USD 92 million),but the profit margin has been
reduced by one to two percent, Adetomiwa said. Company
executives have indicated that they are now placing greater
focus on providing restaurant services to foreign oil
companies to recuperate some of the lost revenues from its
local restaurant businesses.


4. (SBU) Increased food prices forced the company to shift
additional costs onto consumers by raising the price of many
menu items. Consumers are now paying 10% higher prices than
in 2004. Meat pies, a very popular item, sell now for naira
100 (USD .76) as opposed to naira 90 (USD .68) last year and
combination meals (consisting of rice, chicken, and
vegetables) now sell for naira 350 (USD 2.69) as opposed to
naira 320 (USD 2.46) in 2004. Mr. Biggs is also finding
substitutes for rice because "there is not enough local
capacity to provide good quality rice," Adetomiwa said.

5.(SBU) Comment. Nigeria's Federal Office of Statistics
(FOS) reports an increase of 18% for various staple foods
during the past year. Nongovernmental industry experts give
a higher estimate. Depending on their location and on their
particular dietary mainstays, the average consumer in Nigeria
is paying between 20-60% more for various staple food items
than 2004, calculating for both inflation and naira
fluctuations. A 50 kilogram bag of rice now sells for naira
6,000 (USD 46) as opposed to naira 4,500 (USD 35) last year,
an increase of 33%. Imported food items like frozen chicken
and turkey now sell for naira 4,000 (USD 31) per 10 kilogram
carton, as opposed to naira 2,500 (USD 19) in 2004, an
increase of 60%. A standard loaf of bread now sells for
naira 150 (USD 1.12) as opposed to naira 120 (USD .90) in
2004, as input costs for sugar and wheat, increased.
According to industry experts, food items like beans and
maize have increased by 16.7% and 54% respectively. End
Comment.

--------------
Weak Infrastructure and Inconsistent
Agricultural Policies Hurt Food Industry
--------------


6. (SBU) UAC representatives said poor infrastructure remains
the key obstacle in local companies' ability to provide lower
priced meals and services to consumers. Inadequate power
supply and bad roads significantly increased transportation
and production costs. UAC CEO, Ayo Ajayi, believes Nigeria
has the capacity to export agricultural products, but
inadequate infrastructure and an undercapitalized
agricultural sector are major obstacles. Adetomiwa said that
"years of inconsistent agricultural policies had led to an
underdeveloped sector."

--------------
Comment
--------------


7. (SBU) Comment. The rising cost of food has hurt both the
average Nigerian and the local restaurant industry. Fuel
price increases, bans on agricultural products, and high
infrastructure costs negatively affected UAC and other
companies involved in the food industry. If Nigeria's
largest fast food chain restaurant felt the impact of higher
costs, it is almost a sure bet that less financially robust
companies have felt an even deeper sting. So long as
imprudent agricultural policies remain in play, 2006 is
likely to be a repeat of 2005 for the local food and
restaurant industry. End Comment.
BROWNE