Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05HANOI3096
2005-11-23 07:30:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Hanoi
Cable title:  

SENIOR ADVISOR TO THE PRIME MINISTER SPEAKS ON

Tags:  ECON ETRD VM WTRO ASEAN WTO SOE FINREF 
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 HANOI 003096 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/MLS AND EB/TPP/BTA/ANA GOODMAN AND WICKMAN
STATE PASS USTR ELENA BRYAN AND GREG HICKS
USDOC FOR 4431/MAC/AP/OPB/VLC/HPPHO
TREASURY FOR OASIA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD VM WTRO ASEAN WTO SOE FINREF
SUBJECT: SENIOR ADVISOR TO THE PRIME MINISTER SPEAKS ON
WHETHER VIETNAMESE BUSINESS IS READY FOR WTO

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 HANOI 003096

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/MLS AND EB/TPP/BTA/ANA GOODMAN AND WICKMAN
STATE PASS USTR ELENA BRYAN AND GREG HICKS
USDOC FOR 4431/MAC/AP/OPB/VLC/HPPHO
TREASURY FOR OASIA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD VM WTRO ASEAN WTO SOE FINREF
SUBJECT: SENIOR ADVISOR TO THE PRIME MINISTER SPEAKS ON
WHETHER VIETNAMESE BUSINESS IS READY FOR WTO


1. Summary: In a speech to the AmCham Madame Pham Chi Lan,
a senior advisor to the Prime Minister, said that despite
Vietnam's progress in economic reforms it is falling behind
its international competitors. Vietnamese businesses are
mainly small to medium-sized and lack experience and
resources. They know little about the WTO, but generally
support accession although they also fear increased domestic
competition and expect to face high international standards
and continuing unfair trade practices and protectionism from
other countries. Vietnamese businesses want the government
to continue and deepen economic reforms. They hope for more
efficient and less corrupt government services, better
infrastructure, and more support for business associations.
End Summary.


2. Madame Pham Chi Lan, a senior advisor to the Prime
Minister, spoke September 16 at the American Chamber of
Commerce in Hanoi on whether Vietnamese business is ready
for the WTO and the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA). Lan
has worked in the Prime Minister's Research Commission since
2003 and before that had served six years as executive vice
president of the Vietnamese Chamber of Commerce and Industry
(VCCI). Following is a summary of Lan's remarks to the
AmCham.

International Competition Outstripping Internal Reform
-------------- --------------


3. Vietnam, according to Lan, is reforming in the context
of growing globalization, regional integration, and reform
and restructuring in other Asian countries. China's
accession to the WTO and India's rising economic importance
also affect the environment in which Vietnam must operate.
As a result, Vietnam faces increased competition in
attracting foreign investment and in its exports. Vietnam,
as a latecomer to the WTO and lagging behind other regional
and international developments, must do a lot in a short
period of time to catch up. Vietnam has adopted a proactive
integration policy, accepting AFTA and "ASEAN plus"

commitment, joining ASEM and APEC, as well as the World
Bank, IMF, ADB, and other international organizations.
However, these relationships need further deepening and
development.


4. Internally, Vietnam has developed remarkably since
adopting its "doi moi" reform policy. It has achieved macro-
economic stability, reduced poverty, restructured the
economy, improved its infrastructure, developed a private
sector and increased exports, FDI, and ODA. Nevertheless
Vietnam remains a poor country and has a long way to go to
complete the transition to a market economy. Although the
new private sector is playing an increasingly important role
in the economy and state-owned enterprises are reforming,
Vietnam's business sector needs to improve its international
competitiveness. In particular, Vietnam needs to improve
the cost of its inputs (by maintaining political and
economic stability, making basic infrastructure more
efficient and lowering regulatory costs) and to move to a
higher level economy, driven by investment and innovation.
"Vietnam is moving, but Vietnam's competitors are moving
quicker," Lan noted.


5. Vietnam has about 165,000 private enterprises in the
formal sector, 4,500 state owned enterprises, and 5,000
foreign enterprises, in addition to about 2.6 million
households engaged in non-agricultural business and 9
million in agriculture. The overwhelming majority (95
percent) of Vietnamese businesses are small to medium sized
businesses (SMEs). They tend to lack experience, have low
productivity, few resources and high operation costs. They
are weak in the six M's: money, machinery, materials,
manpower, management and marketing and have limited access
to land, financial infrastructure, public and business
services.

A Strategy for Vietnam
--------------


6. Lan discussed Vietnam in terms of the three basic
strategies defined by Harvard business professor Michael
Porter. Most Vietnamese businesses focus on "cost
leadership," i.e., being the low cost producer, she noted.
Only a few successful private enterprises have succeeded in
moving to a "differentiation" (creating a unique product
brand) or a "focus" (focusing on a few, defined markets)
strategy. Vietnam needs to move beyond reliance on export
growth dependent on low wages and develop an independent and
vibrant domestic private sector by improving privatization
and governance and developing the financial sector. In
Porter's view the key weaknesses in Vietnam's business
environment are corruption and bureaucracy and bottlenecks
in physical infrastructure, she noted. The emerging
business "clusters" that Vietnam should mobilize are
tourism, shoes, textiles, fishing products and oil and gas.

Vietnamese Business and the WTO
--------------


7. The attitudes of Vietnamese business towards the WTO are
mixed, according to Lan. They know little about the WTO,
but most want Vietnam to join. The majority of Vietnamese
businesses believe that WTO accession will have a positive
effect on Vietnam's economy, but they also see WTO accession
as bringing many challenges. They see opportunities such as
export expansion from market opening, more stable economic
development, improved business environment, better access to
technology, credit, information and other services, reduced
cost of services due to competition, and a fairer method of
settling business disputes. On the other hand, they also
expect sharper competition in the domestic market and higher
costs due to the removal of government subsidies and special
privileges. Abroad they expect to face new international
standards, new technical barriers to trade, unfair trade and
protectionism in other countries and more trade disputes.

What Vietnamese Businesses Want from the Government
-------------- --------------


8. Vietnamese business, according to Lan, wants the
government to complete institutional reforms and the
formation of a market. They want the creation of a
"friendly and equal" business environment. They also want
the government to adopt "bold" reforms in the administrative
system, fight against corruption, and improve the
capabilities of government institutions and officials. They
want "bold" reforms in banking and the state owned
enterprise sector. The government should lower the costs of
government services and reform the education and training
system. Infrastructure and the R&D system need more
development. Finally, the government should facilitate the
development of a business support system and the development
of business associations and trade promotion organizations.

MARINE