Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05GABORONE1539
2005-10-21 10:26:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Gaborone
Cable title:  

BYE-ELECTION VICTORIES HEARTEN OPPOSITION

Tags:  PGOV PHUM BC 
pdf how-to read a cable
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.


ACTION AF-00 

INFO LOG-00 NP-00 AID-00 AMAD-00 CA-00 CIAE-00 INL-00 
 DODE-00 DS-00 EB-00 UTED-00 H-00 TEDE-00 INR-00 
 IO-00 LAB-01 L-00 NSAE-00 OIC-00 PA-00 GIWI-00 
 PRS-00 P-00 SGAC-00 SP-00 SSO-00 SS-00 STR-00 
 TRSE-00 EVR-00 FMP-00 BBG-00 IIP-00 DSCC-00 PRM-00 
 DRL-00 G-00 SAS-00 SWCI-00 /001W
 ------------------50064C 211032Z /38 
FM AMEMBASSY GABORONE
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 2608
INFO SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
WHITE HOUSE NSC WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS GABORONE 001539 

SIPDIS


SENSITIVE

AF/S FOR MUNCY

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BC
SUBJECT: BYE-ELECTION VICTORIES HEARTEN OPPOSITION

UNCLAS GABORONE 001539

SIPDIS


SENSITIVE

AF/S FOR MUNCY

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BC
SUBJECT: BYE-ELECTION VICTORIES HEARTEN OPPOSITION


1. (U) SUMMARY: Botswana's opposition parties scored a
victory by combining forces to win a parliamentary seat and a
local council seat in an October 15 bye-election. The
President of Botswana's largest opposition party, the Botswana
National Front (BNF),Mr. Otsweletse Moupo bested wealthy
philanthropist and Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) candidate
Robert Masitara in the race to occupy a vacant parliamentary
seat. More important than the seats won is the possible
precedent this sets for opposition parties to oust ruling BDP
politicians from office by cooperating in the next general
election. The bye-election also saw the first instance of a
privately-owned newspaper openly endorsing a candidate, in
this case the opposition candidate, an act decried by the BDP
campaign manager. Moupo's victory against the well-funded
Masitara indicates that Botswana's multi-party democracy
remains vibrant and competitive despite 40 years of domination
by the BDP. END SUMMARY.

MONEY CAN'T BUY VOTES


2. (U) In an October 15 bye-election for the Gaborone West
North National Assembly seat vacated by the late Paul Rantao
(BNF),Otsweletse Moupo, President of the BNF, defeated BDP
candidate and wealthy philanthropist Robert Masitara.
Masitara attracted attention by handing out food and even one
hundred pula notes to audience members. Despite his
considerable financial advantage and ostentatious generosity,
Masitara lost decidedly. His candidacy had provoked
widespread criticism, especially from women's groups, because
he is currently facing charges for allegedly having raped an
employee. Moupo will now take over as Leader of the
Opposition, offering him a larger platform from which to
articulate an alternate policy agenda and providing the
opposition a more effective champion.

OPPOSITION TAKES COUNCIL SEAT FROM BDP


3. (U) Political parties also contested for a council seat in
the village of Ramotswa, southwest of Gaborone, on October 15.
Opposition parties united behind a candidate from the Botswana
Congress Party to win the seat, which had been vacated due to
the death of its erstwhile occupant from the BDP. Although
just a council seat, this victory gave tangible support to the
contention that opposition parties finally could make good on
their promise to cooperate to overcome the BDP.


4. (U) After the announcement of the results in Ramotswa, BDP

campaign manager Matshediso Fologang said BDP lost because of
the factions within the party, noting that the candidate and
the MP for the area came from different sides of the party.
He added that divisions within the party are so intense that
voters are starting to question the party's ability to deliver
on campaign promises, and predicted declining fortunes for the
BDP in that constituency.

PRIVATE PAPER ENDORSES CANDIDATE FOR FIRST TIME


5. (U) For the first time in Botswana, a newspaper explicitly
endorsed a candidate for political office. The front page of
the October 14 edition of Mmegi, Botswana's only privately-
owned daily, urged readers to "Vote Moupo!" Although the
independent press generally is considered sympathetic to the
opposition, no paper had ever clearly endorsed a particular
candidate before. Mesh Moeti, editor of the Mmegi newspaper,
told the embassy Political Assistant that he felt it was their
responsibility as a newspaper to articulate a clear position
on an important election. As if anticipating criticism from
the ruling party, Moeti observed that endorsing a candidate is
a standard practice the world over and that Mmegi would
support a BDP candidate if they conclude that he or she were
the most qualified.


6. (U) BDP Executive Secretary Comma Serema predictably but
improbably blmed his party colleague's loss on Mmegi's
headlies. Masitara's dejected campaign manager hinted drkly
that this incident exposed the need for someaspects of the
electoral regulations to be refored. On October 18, the BDP
registered a complaint with the Media Complaints Committee, a
body established by the media sector to help regulate the
conduct of its members, arguing that the endorsement violated
"the standards of journalism and the code of ethics." In an
October 20 conversation with Pol Assistant, Serema explained
that BDP submitted a complaint to test whether or not the
recently established Committee would take action against an
"erring" paper but did not sound intent on pursuing the issue
further.

VICE PRESIDENT REBUKES ELECTION OFFICIAL


7. (SBU) In the week leading up to the election, Vice
President Khama reportedly visited the Secretary of the
Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) to complain that an IEC
official had made partisan remarks against Masitara's
candidacy. In a conversation with Pol Assistant, an IEC
employ indicated that this intervention had left his
colleagues "scared" of the potential consequences of voicing
their opinions unguardedly. Whether the Vice President merely
intended to promote the professional and impartial conduct of
elections or sought to quiet a critic, the incident
contributed to a perception of him as intolerant of opposing
views.

BYE-ELECTIONS: ANOTHER COST OF HIV/AIDS


8. (U) The elections for the Gaborone West North
parliamentary seat and the council seat in Ramotswa were the
fifth and sixth bye-elections since the October 30, 2004,
general election necessitated by the death of an incumbent or
candidate. Although it is rare for families to acknowledge
that a loved one died because of HIV/AIDS, the absence of a
known cause of death indicates a high probability that these
politicians died from an AIDS-related illness. In addition to
the administrative costs of conducting the elections,
constituents suffer the political cost of losing experienced
representatives prematurely.

COMMENT


9. (U) Botswana's multi-party democracy is vital and
increasingly competitive after nearly forty years of
domination by the Botswana Democratic Party. Cooperation
among opposition parties and a bolder independent press are
strengthening political plurality. Persistent divisions
within the ruling party are creating new opportunities for
opposition politicians. The peaceful conduct of the elections
and universal respect for their results testifies to the
strength of Botswana's democratic institutions.

CANAVAN


NNNN