Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05COLOMBO1160
2005-07-05 11:57:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Colombo
Cable title:  

SRI LANKA: OPPOSITION UNP BEGINS MOVEMENT TO

Tags:  PGOV CE 
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UNCLAS COLOMBO 001160 

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR SA/INS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV CE
SUBJECT: SRI LANKA: OPPOSITION UNP BEGINS MOVEMENT TO
GALVANIZE ITS VOTER BASE

REF: COLOMBO 01151

UNCLAS COLOMBO 001160

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR SA/INS

SENSITIVE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV CE
SUBJECT: SRI LANKA: OPPOSITION UNP BEGINS MOVEMENT TO
GALVANIZE ITS VOTER BASE

REF: COLOMBO 01151


1. (U) Summary. On July 2 the Opposition United National
Party kicked off a ten-day march to protest the high cost of
living and demand presidential elections this year. Their
movement, which began July 2 and will run through July 12,
seems to be a campaign for future elections, be they
presidential, parliamentary, or for the provincial councils.
The march drew large support over its initial weekend, but
crowds tapered off as the work week began. The protest
continues with smaller numbers, with the UNP hoping for its
biggest bang on the final day. End summary.


2. (U) On July 2, the opposition United National Party (UNP)
began its Jana Bala Meheyuma, or People's Power Movement
(Reftel) in the southern city of Dondra. The march is due
to last until July 12. UNP leader Ranil Wickremasinghe,
accompanied by many UNP bigwigs, kicked off the movement by
calling upon the United People's Front Alliance (UPFA)
government to reduce the cost of living, find solutions to
unemployment, and build a lasting peace. He also demanded
that the President hold elections at the end of 2005.
(Note. The Constitution permits the President two terms of
six years each. The President called for early elections
during her first term and began her second term five years
after her first. According to the President's calculations,
she can remain in power from twelve years from her initial
election, which gives her until November 2006. However, her
opponents maintain that the clock started when she began her
current term in office in 1999, so elections must be held in
November 2005. End note.)


3. (SBU) Press reports indicated that over 25,000 people
participated on the movement's first day. Protesters marched
from Dondra on the coastal road for three days. The number
of protesters dwindled as they walked into their third day,
but when the group concluded in Galle on July 4 and held a
rally, a crowd of supporters attended. Wickremesinghe
addressed that meeting as well, and announced that if he is
elected President, he will revoke the requirement that no
one build within the 100 meters of land from the coast that
is now considered a tsunami buffer zone. He said that a
presidential election is the only solution to the nation's
problems. According to press reports, on the morning of
July 5, only about 5000 people were continuing with the
march. Nevertheless, organizers claim that the rally in
Colombo on July 12 will draw one million people.


4. (SBU) On July 1 Paikiasothy Saravanamuttu, Executive
Director of the Center for Policy Alternatives, a prominent
local think tank, told poloff he views the UNP's march to
demand presidential elections in late 2005 as pointless
political grand-standing. Observing that the Election
Commissioner alone has the authority to set the time frames
for elections, Saravanamuttu questioned the utility of
"demanding" earlier polls from the President. The march is
more likely an effort by the opposition party to galvanize
its grassroots organization and to try to gauge its own
popularity a year after its defeat in the 2004 general
elections, he suggested.


5. (SBU) Comment. Despite UNP claims that the march is a
general protest against the high cost of living, it seems
evident that the UNP is beginning its campaign for any
upcoming elections. The decrease in the number of
protesters is probably due to the start of the work week.
The number of participants will likely rise next weekend and
drop off again afterward. The UNP should be able to gather
a large crowd for the July 12 rally, but certainly nowhere
near the one million they are projecting. End note.
LUNSTEAD