Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05BRATISLAVA979
2005-12-12 14:39:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Bratislava
Cable title:  

SLOVAKIA POLITICAL ROUNDUP, DECEMBER 12, 2005

Tags:  PREL PGOV PHUM KDEM PINR ETRD SOCI BO LO 
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C O N F I D E N T I A L BRATISLAVA 000979 

SIPDIS


FOR EUR/NCE

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/09/2015
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM KDEM PINR ETRD SOCI BO LO
SUBJECT: SLOVAKIA POLITICAL ROUNDUP, DECEMBER 12, 2005

REF: A. BRATISLAVA 936

B. BRATISLAVA 948

C. BRATISLAVA 950

Classified By: Ambassador Rodolphe M. Vallee for Reasons 1.4 (B) and (D
).

SLOVAKIA TO INCREASE FOCUS ON BELARUS
-------------------------------------

C O N F I D E N T I A L BRATISLAVA 000979

SIPDIS


FOR EUR/NCE

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/09/2015
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM KDEM PINR ETRD SOCI BO LO
SUBJECT: SLOVAKIA POLITICAL ROUNDUP, DECEMBER 12, 2005

REF: A. BRATISLAVA 936

B. BRATISLAVA 948

C. BRATISLAVA 950

Classified By: Ambassador Rodolphe M. Vallee for Reasons 1.4 (B) and (D
).

SLOVAKIA TO INCREASE FOCUS ON BELARUS
--------------


1. (C) SMK MP Laszlo Nagy told Poloff on December 7 that
the SMK party continues to develop venues through which to
promote democracy in Belarus. Having signed agreements with
opposition parties in Minsk already, Nagy said that he has
met with the Minister of Education to begin discussions of
bringing Belarusian students to Slovakia on study stays, and
has begun working through the private sector to get Slovak
businesses -- many of whom do business with Belarusian
partners -- to finance reform efforts in Belarus. In
addition, Slovakia has been working with the V-4 to
coordinate "message" and determine at what level such a
message should be delivered (Nagy mentioned the possibility
of Javier Solana traveling to Minsk to demarche the
Lukashenko regime),and said that SMK -- through MFA State
Secretary Berenyi -- may dedicate as much as 70 percent of

SIPDIS
its 2006 foreign aid budget to democracy promotion in Belarus.

THOSE FAMILIAR FACES AT THE PROTEST? SMER MPS
-------------- -


2. (C) Katarina Nevedalova, a young Smer activist who is
involved in the party's foreign affairs and youth portfolios,
told Poloff that Chairman Robert Fico was "quite pleased"
with the Smer party congress on December 3, which yielded no
significant changes to the party's platform or organization
and insured stability moving in to next year's election
cycle. While some Smer members remain "SDL members at heart"
following SDL's merger with Smer last December, Nevedalova
told Poloff that other members have embraced their new party
and have leadership positions within Smer. Nevedalova noted
that many of the participants in the Smer party congress used
the mid-day break to walk the short distance to the

government offices, where they joined protesting police
employees in their rally for higher pay and more benefits
(see para 5). (COMMENT: KDH Minister of the Interior
Vladimir Palko would not be surprised by the news that Smer
members were joining his police officers in the rally, as he
has been claiming from the onset that the rallies are more
motivated by politics than labor issues. END COMMENT.)


3. (C) When asked about Smer's performance in the regional
elections (ref B),Nevedalova said Fico was pleased with the
outcome, which showed that the party had significant
"coalition potential." Nevedalova said Smer "will enter the
elections as a single party and will worry about coalitions
the next day." Still, she admitted, some options were more
attractive than others, especially given the "personality
conflicts" between Fico and several other party heads.

DOES SMER HAVE THE SUPPORT IT THINKS IT HAS?
--------------


4. (C) Despite the high polling numbers often cited by Smer
party leaders, the party may not have the support it thinks
it has. During a meeting with the head of the Mayor's office
in Liptovsky Mikulas, Poloff was told that voters in that
region "see through" Smer's facade and consider them "the
same as the Communists who used to occupy this (the mayor's)
office." Additionally, Slovak pollster Pavel Haulik told DCM
that Smer has a young and therefore "unstable" voter base
that will not show up on election day. He believes that the
party pays too much attention to polling in shaping its
message. Instead, Haulik said, the party should soften its
"negative" rhetoric and focus on offering concrete proposals.

POLICE PROTEST AGAIN
--------------


5. (SBU) In another in a string of police protests in
Bratislava, 3,000 officers -- augmented by representatives
from EuroCop, a Europe-wide law enforcement trade union --
protest low wages as well as the decision by Minister of the
Interior Vladimir Palko to demote the head of the Slovak
police union in the days following the previous protest on
October 25. One sign that drew media attention and the ire
of many onlookers was one policeman's sign stating that "If
police officers aren't paid by the state, the mafia will
gladly step in." Palko, who has taken a rhetorical beating
from socialist European Parliament members in Brussels for
his tough stance, declared the protest yet another "small
coup" within his Ministry; no follow-up actions have been
taken, but some police officials tell us that they feel the
protests have become counter-productive and that they are

losing confidence in the labor union's leadership.

UKRAINE, SLOVAKIA TO INCREASE ENERGY SECTOR COOPERATION
-------------- --------------


6. (SBU) Ukrainian Charge told DCM on November 29 that the
late November visit of Ukrainian Prime Minister Yuriy
Yekhanurov went "extremely well," and that Dzurinda and
Yekhanurov agreed to more economic cooperation, particularly
in the energy sector. Ukraine will export gas to the Czech
Republic via Slovakia; Slovak companies, in turn, are joining
in the privatization of electrical power in Ukraine.

MIKLOS: ELECTION DATE A TEST OF HRUSOVSKY'S LOYALTY
-------------- --------------


7. (C) Finance Minister Ivan Miklos told Ambassador that he
is looking forward to the announcement of the national
election date next summer, as it will be very important for
SDKU. Two dates are possible -- September 9 and September 16
-- and the September 16 date would, in effect, extend an
already long Holiday weekend in Slovakia. If Hrusovsky
chooses September 16, SDKU's urban voter base will likely be
away for the weekend, which could hurt SDKU at the polls.
Thus, Miklos said that the announcement of the date by
Chairman of Parliament Pavol Hrusovsky will be an "important
test of loyalty" for the coalition. Miklos also told the
Ambassador that he feels Freedom Forum (SF) could meet the
five percent parliamentary threshold in the national
elections.

OECD: SLOVAKS FOURTH FATEST PEOPLE IN WORLD
--------------


8. (U) In the OECD's 2005 international rankings for adult
obesity, the United States remained in first place, followed
by Mexico, Britain and then the Slovak Republic.
VALLEE


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