Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
05ANKARA492
2005-01-28 13:52:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Ankara
Cable title:  

TURKEY: AES INTERESTED IN ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION

Tags:  ENRG EINV BEXP TU 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 000492 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

USDOC FOR 4212/ITA/MAC/OEURA/CPD/DDEFALCO

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ENRG EINV BEXP TU
SUBJECT: TURKEY: AES INTERESTED IN ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION
PRIVATIZATION

REF: A. ANKARA 446


B. 04 ANKARA 6797

C. 04 ANKARA 6963

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED. BUSINESS INFORMATION.

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 000492

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

USDOC FOR 4212/ITA/MAC/OEURA/CPD/DDEFALCO

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ENRG EINV BEXP TU
SUBJECT: TURKEY: AES INTERESTED IN ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION
PRIVATIZATION

REF: A. ANKARA 446


B. 04 ANKARA 6797

C. 04 ANKARA 6963

SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED. BUSINESS INFORMATION.


1. (SBU) Summary: Arlington, Virginia - based power company
AES is seriously interested in investing in Turkey's
electricity distribution sector. The GOT has still not
clearly established the privatization methodology. This is
the second major expression of strong interest by a U.S.
company in a Turkey privatization opportunity in a little
over a month. Both are approaching this often troubled
market seriously and carefully. End Summary.


2. (SBU) In a second visit to Turkey on January 27, five AES
Corporation officials called on EconCounselor to discuss AES'
serious interest in investing in Turkey's electricity
distribution sector. The AES officials stated that they had
identified Turkey as a key market of interest for the company
that maintains an extensive global presence. They said AES
makes strategic investments for the long-term, and with the
exception of one case in Georgia, had not exited from any
international investment. Therefore, they did not enter new
markets lightly. They were making the rounds of the GOT
Energy Ministry (MENR),Energy Market Regulatory Authority
(EMRA),and Privatization Authority (PA) to pursue their
investment decision due diligence. As a good faith gesture
of their ability to add value, they were providing GOT
officials with a detailed briefing on reducing electricity
transmission and distribution technical loss.


3. (SBU) Despite a poor track record, the Government of
Turkey (GOT) has an ambitious privatization schedule in 2005
(Ref A). In the energy sector, the GOT has worked with the
World Bank to establish both: 1) the Natural Gas Sector
Strategy Paper, which sets forth a framework for
privatization of gas distribution (underway) and gas import
contracts (in tender process)(Ref B); and 2) the Electricity
Sector Reform and Privatization Strategy Paper, which sets
forth a timeframe for liberalization and privatization of
electricity distribution and production sectors. The
electricity paper identifies the timing of privatization of
the electricity distribution company (TEDAS) for mid 2005
through 2006, for electricity production (EUAS) for
2006-2009, and for the electricity trading company (TETAS) at
a yet to be identifed date in the future. The transmission
company (TEIAS) would remain in the state's hands. The
strategy plan is ambitious, and according to EMRA and MENR
interlocutors, there have been a number of delays already
(some combination of seeking to get it right and inability to
get it right).


4. (SBU) There is still uncertainty over the privatization
methodology. The Privatization Authority (PA) has been given
authority to move forward on the distribution tendering
process. The PA has chosen to pursue Transfer of Operating
Rights (TOR)- backed share sales as an expedient way to move
forward that minizimizes risks of later attack from the
judicial system and/or labor unions (persistent "nay-sayers"
in privatization) and minimizes potentially time-consuming
and burdensome inventorying of assets and land title. On the
other hand, EMRA and MENR argue for outright asset sale, as a
cleaner, investor-friendly method of assuring control. The
latter method would have a potentially more direct effect on
TEDAS' almost 30,000 employees, but would minimize
bureaucratic and regulatory risk for new investors, they
argue. There appears to be room for a middle course in which
TOR backed share sale could transition to a full-fledged
asset sale. MENR is identified as the process coordinator,
but the ultimate decision for privatization of electricity
distribution will reside with the Treasury and the Prime
Minister.


5. (SBU) Comment: After US Steel's expression of interest in
purchasing the GOT's stake in Erdemir Steel Company, this is
the second recent expression of serious interest by an
American company in Turkish privatizations (Ref C). GOT
interlocutors have regularly told Embassy that they would
welcome U.S. investors in a variety of sectors, including but
not limited to energy and telecom, so AES' interest will be
welcomed. GOT can ill afford any additional embarrassment of
failed and/or delayed privatization, so it appears to be
working assiduously to get a timely success story in
electricity distribution. The lively debate on privatization
methodology will have to be resolved soon to keep investor
interest and move forward on timely tendering. AES is taking
a careful approach, cognizant of the challenges and setbacks
foreign investors have faced in Turkey. Post will work to
encourage timely and transparent decision-making on the part
of the GOT and will assist AES and other potential American
investors.
DEUTSCH