Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04VILNIUS1455
2004-11-30 14:18:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Vilnius
Cable title:  

LITHUANIAN PM PRESENTS CABINET LIST TO A SKEPTICAL

Tags:  PGOV LH 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 VILNIUS 001455 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/NB

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/29/2014
TAGS: PGOV LH
SUBJECT: LITHUANIAN PM PRESENTS CABINET LIST TO A SKEPTICAL
PRESIDENT

Classified By: Pol/Econ Officer Christian Yarnell
for Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 VILNIUS 001455

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/NB

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/29/2014
TAGS: PGOV LH
SUBJECT: LITHUANIAN PM PRESENTS CABINET LIST TO A SKEPTICAL
PRESIDENT

Classified By: Pol/Econ Officer Christian Yarnell
for Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)


1. (C) SUMMARY: President Valdas Adamkus on November 29
appointed Algirdas Brazauskas the new Prime Minister of
Lithuania. Brazauskas, in turn, presented the President with
his list of ministerial candidates, which includes Labor
Party boss Viktor Uspaskich and Peasant Party leader
Kazimiera Prunskiene. The list includes several
controversial figures Adamkus opposes. The President has 15
days to approve the PM's Cabinet before it goes to the
Parliament for confirmation. Although Adamkus could reject
Brazauskas's list in whole or in part, we expect he will in
the end approve the Cabinet list to avoid charges that he is
destabilizing the government. The ruling coalition promises
to be unstable enough regardless of what the President does.
END SUMMARY.

--------------
PM Brazauskas Presents Cabinet List
--------------


2. (U) President Valdas Adamkus signed a decree November 29
appointing Algirdas Brazauskas as the new Prime Minister of
Lithuania. The decree also directed the PM to present,
within 15 days, his list of Cabinet members to the President.
Brazauskas, who had already reached agreement with his
coalition partners on the composition of the Cabinet,
immediately presented the following list to Adamkus:

- Gediminas Kirkilas (Social Democrat),Defense;
- Algirdas Butkevicius (Social Democrat),Finance;
- Zigmantas Balcytis (Social Democrat),Transportation;
- Arunas Kundrotas (Social Democrat),Environment;
- Gediminas Vaitkus (Social Democrat),Education;
- Antanas Valionis (New Union),Foreign Affairs;
- Vilija Blinkeviciute (New Union),Labor;
- Zilvinas Padaiga (Labor),Health;
- Vladimiras Prudnikovas (Labor),Culture;
- Viktoras Uspaskich (Labor),Economy;
- Gintautas Buzinskas (Labor),Justice;
- Viktoras Muntianas (Labor),Interior;
- Kazimiera Prunskiene (Peasant Party),Agriculture.

The Special Investigative Service (STT) has already conducted
background investigations on all these candidates and issued
a clean bill of health.

--------------
List not to Prez or PM's Liking
--------------


3. (C) Adamkus had opposed Uspaskich, Muntianas, Buzinskas,
Prudnikovas, Vaitkus, and Prunskiene during negotiations with

Brazauskas. Presidency officials told us that Adamkus had
recognized that he would not be able to block all of these
controversial candidates, most notably party leaders
Uspaskich and Prunskiene. He had, however, hoped to convince
Brazauskas to remove at least two of the most objectionable
nominees, Muntianas and Vaitkus. Many consider Muntianas,
whose principal qualification seems to be his association
with Uspaskich and Uspaskich's business, under-qualified for
a ministerial position. Some, including at least one top
Presidential advisor, also worry that Muntianas is "too close
to the Russians." Meanwhile, media reports have linked
Vaitkus to a forgery scandal involving the Latvian-based
Baltic Russian Institute, and he earned a reputation as a
poor manager during his tenure at the Ministry of Education.


4. (C) Brazauskas publicly supported Vaitkus's nomination.
Of the other controversial candidates, he said that coalition
partners had refused substitutions and that he would refuse
accountability for the actions of his ministers.
Nonetheless, Laurynas Bucalis, head of the PM's press
service, told us that the PM would in the upcoming days make
clear his responsibility for the work of the government as a
whole.

--------------
The President's Options
--------------


5. (C) Arnoldas Pranckevicius, advisor to the President for
domestic policy, told us that the Constitution is silent on
what would happen if the President rejects the PM's list, and
the Constitutional Court has never ruled on this issue. A
"thumbs down" could trigger another round of parliamentary
elections, although Pranckevicius argued that Adamkus could
instead ask Parliament to vote down Brazauskas as PM and
select a new candidate. Pranckevicius said that this would
"not be a real option," however, given the strength of the
Brazauskas-led coalition in Parliament.


6. (C) Another option for Adamkus, according to his advisor,
would be to present an incomplete Cabinet for Parliamentary
approval, excising one or two controversial candidates from
the list. Adamkus could thereby try to force Brazauskas's
hand to make some substitutions. Partial approval of the
cabinet would also lead Lithuania into uncharted
Constitutional territory, according to some analysts,
although Brazauskas has already opined that the Constitution
allows only for the approval of a complete Cabinet.


7. (U) Reluctant acceptance of the PM's list is the
President's final option.
--------------
Comment: Adamkus Likely to Yield
--------------

8. (C) Adamkus does not have firm ground to stand on in
rejecting candidates on the list, and we suspect that in the
end he will present Brazauskas' list in its current form to
Parliament for confirmation. Adamkus did not support the
formation of this coalition government, but he will not
likely risk taking the blame for its premature demise. In
the end, we believe that he will conclude that the coalition
is unstable enough to collapse on its own, with no
presidential fingerprints. The past week's tug-of-war within
the nascent coalition over Lithuania's response to the
post-election turmoil in Ukraine supports such a conclusion.
FM Valionis and his New Union compatriots side with Adamkus
in seeking a Lithuanian leadership role in brokering a
negotiated solution, while Brazauskas and his fellow Social
Democrats have espoused a more hands-off policy. This debate
exposes the fault lines of what promises to be an inherently
fragile government.
MULL