Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04RANGOON1488
2004-11-19 11:14:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Rangoon
Cable title:  

BURMESE REGIME BEGINS RELEASE OF 4,000 PRISONERS

Tags:  PGOV PHUM BM 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 RANGOON 001488 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/BCLTV; PACOM FOR FPA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/18/2014
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BM
SUBJECT: BURMESE REGIME BEGINS RELEASE OF 4,000 PRISONERS

REF: A. USDAO RANGOON IIR 6812001505 25OCT04

B. RANGOON 1462 AND PREVIOUS

C. RANGOON 1409

Classified By: CDA a.i Ronald K. McMullen for Reasons 1.4 (b,d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 RANGOON 001488

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EAP/BCLTV; PACOM FOR FPA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/18/2014
TAGS: PGOV PHUM BM
SUBJECT: BURMESE REGIME BEGINS RELEASE OF 4,000 PRISONERS

REF: A. USDAO RANGOON IIR 6812001505 25OCT04

B. RANGOON 1462 AND PREVIOUS

C. RANGOON 1409

Classified By: CDA a.i Ronald K. McMullen for Reasons 1.4 (b,d)


1. (C) Summary: Citing "irregularities" of deposed Prime
Minister Khin Nyunt's recently disbanded National
Intelligence Bureau (NIB),the Burmese regime commenced on
November 18-19 to release nearly 4,000 prisoners, including
an unknown number of political detainees. Although some
observers speculate that the regime's move is an attempt to
improve its standing with the international community, the
SPDC is more likely focused on the domestic political scene.
Criticism of the NIB is yet another assault on Khin Nyunt and
the next step in an ongoing campaign to blame the country's
ills on the former Prime Minister. We see no signs that the
gesture to release prisoners represents a fundamental change
in the regime's posture toward the democratic opposition.
The NLD does not have immediate expectations that the prison
release will include party leaders Aung San Suu Kyi and U Tin
Oo. See para 11 for press guidance recommendations. End
Summary.


2. (U) In a brief statement issued on November 18, the SPDC
announced that it had suspended the prison terms of 3,937
"convicts," with plans to release all of them from their
respective prisons. The announcement referenced an October
22 order issued by SPDC Chairman Than Shwe dissolving the
National Intelligence Bureau (NIB) (ref A) and "observed"
that investigations had revealed the NIB may have committed
"irregularities," presumably associated with the arrest and
imprisonment of thousands of Burmese individuals over the
past 16 years.


3. (SBU) The prison release list, which the regime has not
made publicly available, includes at least some, if not many,
of Burma's estimated 1,400 political prisoners, the majority
of whom were originally rounded up by agents from the Office
of the Chief of Military Intelligence (OCMI, known simply as
"MI."). MI dominated the NIB, an inter-departmental entity
that coordinated the activities of four regime intelligence
and investigative units and the entire MI apparatus has been
the target of a massive purge underway since the October 19

ouster of former OCMI chief, and Prime Minister, General Khin
Nyunt (ref B).


4. (U) It is uncertain how many of Burma's political
prisoners will be affected by the massive release. NIB
detainees include not only "traditional" political prisoners
such as political party members and student activists, but
also armed insurgents and other ethnic minorities;
perpetrators of politically motivated violent acts; violators
of immigration law; and many white-collar criminals.
Although prison authorities may assist some released
prisoners with transportation, it is likely that many will
have to fend for themselves and it could, therefore, take
days or weeks to learn the fate of prisoners held in many
remote locations. Burma's total prison population is
unknown, but is reported to be in the tens of thousands.


5. (SBU) On November 19, Embassy sources indicated that
officials at several of the 45 known regime prisons
throughout Burma had already begun to release prisoners in
accordance with SPDC instructions. Among those observed
departing prisons or reported to have joined their families
at home were the following well-known political prisoners,
several of whom have been the object of international
campaigns seeking their release (Note: One source claimed
that Min Ko Naing, a student leader during the 1988
pro-democracy movement and perhaps the most well-known of
Burma's political prisoners, had been released from prison in
Rakhine State, but this could not be confirmed by COB. End
note).

From Insein Prison (Rangoon):
--U Win Tin, a famous 75 year-old journalist and founding NLD
member from Rangoon (imprisoned since 1989);
--U Kyaw Sann (Hsan),NLD MP-elect from Sagaing (since 1998);
--U Ohn Maung, NLD MP-elect from Bago (1998);
--U Toe Po, NLD MP-elect from Thanintharyi (1998);
--Dr. May Win Myint, female NLD MP-elect from Rangoon (1997);
--U Aung Zin, NLD member from Lashio;
--U Htwe Myint, journalist and leader of the "Democracy
Party" from Rangoon (1995).

From Swebo Prison (Sagaing):
--U Khun Sai, NLD supporter.

From Thayet Prison (Magwe):
--U Nyan Hla, NLD member from Rangoon.
--Min Zaw Thein, youth activist from Rangoon.


6. (SBU) On November 19, Emboffs visited Insein Prison in
northern Rangoon, Burma's most notorious destination for
political prisoners. A crowd of 150-200 family members and
political party supporters were gathered at the prison
entrance, waiting with hope and anticipation that their loved
ones would be among those released. Witnesses confirmed that
prison authorities had already released dozens of political
prisoners, as well as numerous common criminals, and were
expected to release some 1,000 prisoners by the end of the
day. The release operation was orderly, but prison officials
were noticeably tense and vigorously questioned Emboffs,
insisting they cease taking photographs at the scene.


7. (C) We also spoke briefly with NLD Secretary U Lwin, who
was pleased about the prison releases but had no immediate
expectation that the SPDC would release party leaders ASSK or
U Tin Oo anytime soon. He observed that the general prison
release was a step in the right direction, but "only a first
step" that does not address the larger issues of political
dialogue and reconciliation. U Lwin opined that the regime
had ordered the releases not as a goodwill gesture, but
rather as a malicious action directed at military
intelligence.

Comment: Not the Strategic Move It Appears to Be


8. (U) Burmese leaders have a long tradition of periodically
offering amnesty for prisoners, usually as a means of gaining
religious merit in this predominantly-Buddhist culture or in
order to curry political favor with one segment or another of
this diverse and fractious country. The current regime is no
exception, having released large numbers of prisoners,
including political detainees, on several occasions in the
1990s. However, the November 18 announcement, if fully
implemented, is without precedent in its scale and apparent
scope.


9. (C) International observers are likely to speculate that
the Burmese regime has undertaken this massive prison release
in a calculated move to soften potential criticism at the
ongoing International Labor Organization Governing Body
meeting in Geneva and at the upcoming ASEAN Summit in
Vientiane. However, from our perspective, the SPDC is purely
motivated by the domestic political situation. Citing
"irregularities" of the National Intelligence Bureau is yet
another frontal assault on Khin Nyunt and the next step in an
ongoing campaign to blame the country's ills on the former
Prime Minister and his expansive empire, which included his
once-powerful military intelligence network as well as broad
commercial interests.


10. (C) It would not appear that the gesture to release
prisoners represents by any means a change in the regime's
posture toward the democratic opposition or dissenters in
general. To the contrary, harassment of opposition
supporters has continued in recent months (ref C),including
the arrest on November 5 of three NLD members in Irrawaddy
Division for possession of party position papers on education
and health. End Comment.

Recommended Press Guidance


11. (SBU) We recommend the Department welcome the inclusion
political prisoners among the general prisoner release, with
several important caveats: for this step to have genuine
meaning, all of Burma's political prisoners and detainees
must be released, including ASSK and U Tin Oo as well as
recently arrested pro-democracy activists; the SPDC must
cease the arbitrary arrest and prolonged detention of
individuals for their peaceful political activities; the
regime must improve its overall human rights record, in
particular by allowing and improving freedoms of association
and speech; and, substantive political and economic progress
in Burma will not be achieved unless the SPDC fosters a
meaningful and fully inclusive political dialogue aimed at a
genuine transition to democracy. End recommendations for
press guidance.
MCMULLEN