Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04KATHMANDU1658
2004-08-19 11:53:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Kathmandu
Cable title:  

MAOISTS' VIRTUAL BLOCKADE EFFECTIVE; MAOIST

Tags:  PTER PGOV ASEC NP 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KATHMANDU 001658 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SA/INS, DS/IP/SA
NSC FOR GREEN/DORMANDY
LONDON FOR POL-BELL

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/19/2014
TAGS: PTER PGOV ASEC NP
SUBJECT: MAOISTS' VIRTUAL BLOCKADE EFFECTIVE; MAOIST
FEELERS ON WAY OUT OF INDUSTRY SHUTDOWN

REF: A. KATHMANDU 1644

B. KATHMANDU 1632

Classified By: Ambassador James F. Moriarty, Reasons 1.4 (b/d)

SUMMARY
--------
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KATHMANDU 001658

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SA/INS, DS/IP/SA
NSC FOR GREEN/DORMANDY
LONDON FOR POL-BELL

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/19/2014
TAGS: PTER PGOV ASEC NP
SUBJECT: MAOISTS' VIRTUAL BLOCKADE EFFECTIVE; MAOIST
FEELERS ON WAY OUT OF INDUSTRY SHUTDOWN

REF: A. KATHMANDU 1644

B. KATHMANDU 1632

Classified By: Ambassador James F. Moriarty, Reasons 1.4 (b/d)

SUMMARY
--------------

1. (C) Although the virtual Maoist blockade of Kathmandu
Valley continues, there are no reports of Maoist violence or
incidents anywhere. Vehicle traffic remains very light due
to fears of Maoist reprisals despite government attempts to
reassure the people. Targeted industries remain closed in
compliance with the All Nepali Trade Union Federation's
threat. The Maoists may feel the closure of industries is
creating a backlash and have sent feelers to find a way out
of the current situation. End Summary.

BLOCKADE: LIMITED TRAFFIC MOVING
--------------


2. (C) Although there are reportedly no Maoists stationed or
blockades erected anywhere along the roads into the Kathmandu
Valley, people are still afraid to travel. Fear of landmines
or possible Maoist reprisals has been enough to nearly halt
traffic. Traffic remains light. According to the police,
only eleven passenger buses, nineteen trucks, and 41 light
vehicles entered Kathmandu Valley yesterday, and they came
from a close distance. Nepal's National Security Council
(NSC) updated Emboff that from 6:00 p.m. last night until
6:00 this morning, movement along the main highway into the
valley from the Terai was limited to 126 vehicles (including
29 trucks) incoming and 148 vehicles (including thirteen
trucks) outgoing. While exact number of vehicles moving
today varies, there is a consensus that it is considerably
less than normal. NSC reports indicate an increase since
6:00 a.m. Media contacts stated there are fewer vehicles on
the "blocked" roads today, but police reports are
contradictory. According to police control headquarters, as
of 2:00 p.m. today, 77 vehicles (a mixture of light vehicles,
motorcycles, a few buses and a couple of trucks) have
traveled the road leading west to Pokhara and then south to
the Terai (the Prithvi Highway). (The average flow along
this main route--the Prithvi-Tribhuvan highway--is 1000
vehicles a day.) Eighty-eight vehicles (including 25 buses)
have traveled the northwest road to Nuwakot as of
mid-afternoon. Traffic flow on the road east to Bhaktapur
and then northeast to Thatopani, which the Maoists did not
target, is normal.


3. (C) Home Ministry Spokesman Gopendra Bahadur Pandey told
the press that the government is escorting convoys of
essential goods and passengers, however media contacts told
the Public Affairs Section that there were no escorts today.
Pandey also said that the government had increased the
mobility of security forces along the highway and was ready
to add more security if needed. DATT sources stated that two
Royal Nepal Army (RNA) Brigades with responsibility for the
main highway have a standing offer to escort vehicles in and
out of the Valley.

MAOIST FEELERS ON WAY OUT OF INDUSTRY SHUTDOWN
-------------- -

4. (C) Prabhakar Rana, a close confidante of the Palace and
stake-holder of the Soaltee Hotel, told the Ambassador today
the Maoists were surprised that the Soaltee actually decided
to close after the August 16 pipe bombings and that other
industries followed suit. Rana asserted that the Maoists
appeared to feel they had gone further than intended and had
already sent out feelers on how to climb down from the
situation in which they found themselves. The Maoists were
nervous that their support from workers would suffer
significantly as a result of the industry closings, and
widespread trade union condemnation. The industry closures,
coupled with the recent execution of a journalist, was
creating huge PR problems for the Maoists. Meanwhile, Rana
added, the Soaltee had told the Maoists that it would remain
closed unless the Maoists provided a written guarantee (which
could be confidential) that they would no longer extort money
from industries or threaten to close enterprises. Rana
thought it unlikely the Maoists would provide such a
guarantee.
MORIARTY