Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04COLOMBO628
2004-04-14 11:05:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Colombo
Cable title:  

Sri Lanka: Under pressure from the main LTTE

Tags:  PGOV PTER PINS MOPS EAID CE LTTE 
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 COLOMBO 000628 

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR SA, SA/INS, INR/NESA
NSC FOR E. MILLARD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04-14-14
TAGS: PGOV PTER PINS MOPS EAID CE LTTE
SUBJECT: Sri Lanka: Under pressure from the main LTTE
organization, forces of rebel commander Karuna buckle

Refs: (A) Colombo - SA/INS 04-13-04 class email
- (B) Colombo 620, and previous

(U) Classified by Ambassador Jeffrey J. Lunstead.
Reasons 1.5 (b, d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 COLOMBO 000628

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR SA, SA/INS, INR/NESA
NSC FOR E. MILLARD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04-14-14
TAGS: PGOV PTER PINS MOPS EAID CE LTTE
SUBJECT: Sri Lanka: Under pressure from the main LTTE
organization, forces of rebel commander Karuna buckle

Refs: (A) Colombo - SA/INS 04-13-04 class email
- (B) Colombo 620, and previous

(U) Classified by Ambassador Jeffrey J. Lunstead.
Reasons 1.5 (b, d).


1. (C) SUMMARY: The forces of dissident eastern LTTE
commander Karuna have buckled in the face of the
offensive launched by the main LTTE organization on
April 9. There is word that Karuna's forces have
retreated and that hundreds of them have apparently
surrendered without a fight. Karuna's precise
whereabouts are not known at this time. With the ebb in
the fighting, the humanitarian situation appears to be
improving. Although Karuna may still have some forces
with him, the main LTTE seems very close to re-
establishing its dominance in Tamil areas of the east.
END SUMMARY.



2. (C) COLLAPSE OF KARUNA'S FORCES: The forces of
dissident Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE)
commander Karuna appear to be buckling in the face of
the offensive launched by the main LTTE organization on
April 9. (Per Ref B, early April 9, the LTTE attacked
Karuna's forces arrayed near the Verugal river, which
straddles the border area separating Trincomalee and
Batticaloa districts. The LTTE attack was highly
coordinated and included a seaborne assault.) According
to recent reports on the pro-Tiger website "TamilNet,"
the main LTTE faction had captured as of April 13 most
of the areas of the east formerly claimed by Karuna,
including several fortified camps. Mission has heard
information from several sources that tends to confirm
the TamilNet claims, and it appears that the main LTTE
organization has re-established control of Tamil areas
in Batticaloa District and in much of Ampara District.


3. (C) At this point, many of Karuna's troops have
either surrendered to the main LTTE, or have dropped
their weapons and returned to their home villages.
Given the fact that there have been no reports of

fighting between the factions since April 10, it is not
clear exactly why so many of Karuna's troops have given
up the fight. Some press reports have suggested that
Karuna, in a bid to avert further bloodshed, ordered at
least some of his forces to demobilize. At the same
time, although there appears to have been something of a
ceasefire in place between the factions due to the Tamil
New Year holiday, forces loyal to the main LTTE
organization have fanned out across the east in small
groups. By moving to points in the east so quickly and
with apparent impunity, the main LTTE organization
appears to have gained the decisive military edge, which
probably helped convince Karuna's forces that further
resistance was not wise, thus precipitating the
surrenders.


4. (C) KARUNA'S WHEREABOUTS UNKNOWN: Amid a swirl of
rumors, Karuna's exact whereabouts are not known. There
are reports that Karuna along with the remnants of his
forces may have retreated into jungles located in
northern Ampara District. There are other reports that
he is deep in the Thoppigala jungle which is located due
west of Batticaloa city. In TamilNet postings, the main
LTTE has asserted that Karuna is now under the
protection of the Sri Lankan military. Most Sri Lankan
military sources, however, have not confirmed these
reports. When queried, Agnes Bragadottir, the
spokesperson of the Norwegian-run Sri Lanka Monitoring
Mission (SLMM),told poloff on April 13 that the SLMM
was also unsure of Karuna's whereabouts. Late April 14,
DAO received word of an emergency meeting at the Joint
Operations Headquarters of the Sri Lankan military,
possibly dealing with Karuna.


5. (C) The Ambassador spoke to Norwegian Ambassador
Hans Brattskar on April 12 about the situation in the
east. Brattskar confirmed that he had no firm word
regarding Karuna's location. He noted that trying to
get Karuna out of the country would be extremely
difficult should the matter come up. UNHCR, for
example, would not be able to assist Karuna because of
his very poor human rights record.


6. (SBU) HUMANITARIAN SITUATION UPDATE: With the ebb
in the fighting, the humanitarian situation in the east
appears to be on the upswing. From what Mission
understands, the fighting on April 9-10 displaced
approximately 3,000 people in Batticaloa District.
(This figure on displacements only involves those who
have asked for assistance and the overall figure may be
higher.) The Sri Lanka Red Cross and Tamil
Rehabilitation Organization, a pro-LTTE NGO, are working
to provide relief to the displaced. In the meantime,
contacts in the east report that many of those
individuals who fled the fighting earlier have now
returned to their homes. In addition, in an unexpected
gesture, the main faction of the LTTE also released
approximately 150 child soldiers who had previously been
in Karuna's armed forces. The children were returned to
their families on April 12 with UNICEF's assistance.


7. (C) COMMENT: The GSL continues to keep out of the
situation in the east. This is a net positive because
if the government interferes militarily on Karuna's side
it would almost certainly provoke an angry response by
the main LTTE. This, in turn, might negatively impact
the peace process. That said, if Karuna tries to take
refuge in a Sri Lankan military base, it would seem
inhumane if the GSL did not allow him in given that his
certain sentence if captured by the main LTTE is a
brutal death. Overall, although Karuna may still have
some forces with him, the main LTTE seems to be very
close to re-establishing its dominance in Tamil areas of
the east. END COMMENT.


8. (U) Minimize considered.

LUNSTEAD